Just for clarification on the caption...the winner would most likely lock up home field advantage for the region playoffs, not the entire playoffs. Broad Run and Tuscarora (possibly Liberty-Bealton too) will have more points than anyone that wins region D so, Region D champ will have to travel to the region C champ in the state-semis unless someone other than the top 3 seeds wins Region C.
Not necessarily. In the latest VHSL points standings that came out today, Broad Run is at 282 total (game + bonus) points, Liberty (Bealeton) is at 276, and Tuscarora is at 273. Salem is at 270.
This week:
IF Stone Bridge defeats Broad Run (which is probably at least a 50/50 probability), and Liberty, Tuscarora, and Salem all win, Salem would definitely pass Broad Run, very likely pass Tuscarora, and be very close to passing Liberty - that would come down to what both teams’ past opponents do this Friday. Since Liberty will still be the underdog to both Broad Run and Tuscarora to win Region C, Salem would have a good chance of hosting the state semi
IF they were to win Region D. Which I’m not predicting; just pointing out, the Region D champion traveling in the semis is not a completely foregone conclusion.
Again, that’s all based on a Salem win and a Broad Run loss this week, and Liberty (Bealeton) losing in the regional (
if they do indeed finish ahead of Salem on points). It’s also based on me hoping that I understand the points system as well as I think I do. If someone knows for certain that I’ve miscalculated, I’ll be happy to be corrected.