Smart Football...<span style="font-weight: bold;">2.</span> <span style="font-style: italic;">The rise of the terrible spread team.</span> I forecast this day some time ago, but this year's college football season has wowed me with the number of just awful spread teams. Now, there's some good ones: <span style="font-weight: bold;">Florida has great talent</span>, and just about every top team has some kind of "spread" element to their gameplan. But there's a ton of just awful spread teams. This topic deserves a much more in depth treatment, but the basic gist is what I forecast a few years ago: <span style="font-weight: bold;">the offense just isn't an equalizer anymore, but instead more of an amplifier</span>. <span style="font-weight: bold;">If you have great athletes you can isolate them in space, but if you don't then you're just giving them one-on-one matchups they can't win and asking your quarterback to play perfect or you can't win.</span>
<span style="font-weight: bold;">But the biggest reason is simply that everybody is doing it and there's just not much novelty to it.</span> <span style="font-weight: bold;">And it's not like you can fool a defense with some dizzying array of spread formations when each guy on defense played against spread teams for four years in high school and every week in college.</span> That said, this also makes the cries from these teams and their coaches that there's a "steep learning curve" with their spread offense ring rather hollow. How much different is it to tell guys to line up differently and read the defensive end on the zone-read? There's lots of teams who successfully do that who use it only sparingly; it's unconvincing when teams that rely heavily on the zone-read and zone options claim that they need more time to teach it.
More logical opposition to your "spread is the magic bullet" theory. And I couldn't agree more.