Last Saturday was a confusing scenario..All the forcing went through Memphis but there was over 2500 CAPE here in Starkville along that warm front..Southwesterly winds made me think nah tornado watch should not have been warranted as thats not that great...But the instability of 2500 is significant..Why storms initiated more in Alabama than here I'm not sure but when they initiated and went into Alabama and even in North MS, they produced massive hail and rotated quite a bit in Alabama...We were very lucky that we didn't get hit by a storm just north of Columbus produced large hail just to our northeast and tracked into Alabama and became a hook echo that produced a wall cloud that almost produced a tornado...We were very lucky to be just to the south of that warm front... There was a report of over 3 inch hail in Alabama and 4.25 inch hail in Georgia. So yeah my forecast of large hail was warranted as the NWS also forecast this.<div>
</div><div><table cellspacing="5" cellpadding="0" width="525" border="0" style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; "><tbody><tr><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">1955</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">425</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">9 W SENOIA</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">COWETA</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">GA</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">3331</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">8471</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">
(FFC)
</td></tr></tbody></table><table cellspacing="5" cellpadding="0" width="525" border="0" style="font-family: Arial, Helvetica, sans-serif; font-size: 12px; "><tbody><tr><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">2005</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">300</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">EAGLE CREEK</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">TALLAPOOSA</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">AL</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">3294</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">8575</td><td class="rpttext" style="font-size: 8pt; font-family: monospace; ">THREE AND ONE HALF INCH HAIL.
(BMX)</td></tr></tbody></table>
</div><div>So I wasn't kidding when I said it was producing very large hail. That system on Saturday all the forcing went through Memphis and north so I was still skeptical of it but w/ 2500 CAPE and an erosion of the cap, all the forecasters around believed we were going to get something at least...But this system on Monday there is a strong forcing feature coming through all of MS so I'm fairly confident in a severe weather event Monday for our area..</div>