Reply to thread

Message

<blockquote data-quote="skygusty_rivals" data-source="post: 129281576" data-attributes="member: 1500287">No I understand perfectly what you are saying.&nbsp; That was the measurement, that was the result.&nbsp; It simply isn't a good enough metric.&nbsp; There will never be a metric good enough to satisfy college fans and 4 teams guarantees incessant complaints.&nbsp; 6 teams would be better if workable.&nbsp; 8 teams in the playoff ought to silence nearly everybody because even though the metric is flawed it is inclusive enough to cover its inadequacy.&nbsp; If you aren't good enough to place in the top 8 you don't realistically have a shot at the national title.&nbsp; More than 8 teams is not practical anyway.&nbsp; Number 4 finishing number 1 illustrates perfectly the problem that the metric for selection is crude.&nbsp; All 5 major conferences should be in the playoff most years as well as 1 or more&nbsp; teams that excel who are not in one of the major conferences.&nbsp; I understand your metric - in the current system 4 will be chosen.&nbsp; In the years where there is really a tie for 4th there will be a decision based on something else. Let me put it another way - in statistics you place a confidence interval around a mean.&nbsp; Lets say the mean is 87.14, depending on the amount of variance between all the individual measurements you can place a confidence interval around the mean - Lets say it is 68.9-108.6, which says that you are 95% confident that the real mean is somewhere between these two extremes.&nbsp; The selection committee is tasked to select the best 4 teams, but because the measurements are so subjective, they really have to include 8 teams to have any sort of confidence that the 4 best teams are actually part of that group.&nbsp; It isn't exactly the same but you get the picture.&nbsp; TCU and Baylor is water under the bridge anyway, they are getting ready for next year.&nbsp; Like I said - I can't wait till it's another conferences turn to be left out.</blockquote>

[QUOTE="skygusty_rivals, post: 129281576, member: 1500287"] No I understand perfectly what you are saying. That was the measurement, that was the result. It simply isn't a good enough metric. There will never be a metric good enough to satisfy college fans and 4 teams guarantees incessant complaints. 6 teams would be better if workable. 8 teams in the playoff ought to silence nearly everybody because even though the metric is flawed it is inclusive enough to cover its inadequacy. If you aren't good enough to place in the top 8 you don't realistically have a shot at the national title. More than 8 teams is not practical anyway. Number 4 finishing number 1 illustrates perfectly the problem that the metric for selection is crude. All 5 major conferences should be in the playoff most years as well as 1 or more teams that excel who are not in one of the major conferences. I understand your metric - in the current system 4 will be chosen. In the years where there is really a tie for 4th there will be a decision based on something else. Let me put it another way - in statistics you place a confidence interval around a mean. Lets say the mean is 87.14, depending on the amount of variance between all the individual measurements you can place a confidence interval around the mean - Lets say it is 68.9-108.6, which says that you are 95% confident that the real mean is somewhere between these two extremes. The selection committee is tasked to select the best 4 teams, but because the measurements are so subjective, they really have to include 8 teams to have any sort of confidence that the 4 best teams are actually part of that group. It isn't exactly the same but you get the picture. TCU and Baylor is water under the bridge anyway, they are getting ready for next year. Like I said - I can't wait till it's another conferences turn to be left out. [/QUOTE]

Name