1) Which Iowa wrestler is a lock to win? I don't see any.
2) They can't do it. Gable's hand-picked successors can't be fired as long as Gable is around.
IOWA WEEK!
- Thread starter pish69
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2) They can't do it. Gable's hand-picked successors can't be fired as long as Gable is around.
Blaze is a guy that studies his opponents and knows their tendencies very well. I am very interested to see how he approaches the one-knee defense. Nobody has really figured out a great offensive response to the defensive tactic yet. I hope to see on Friday that the PSU coaches have developed a roadmap to counter it.
Feel free to use whatever percentages you want, this exercise is more to illustrate probability math.
Let’s say the following are PSU’s chances to win each weight class:
125: 80%
133: 60%
141: 70%
149: 95%
157: 95%
165: 95%
174: 95%
184: 60%
197: 95%
285: 55%
The probability of all 10 winning using those odds is 8.6%.
Zahid tried that tactic at the Olympic team trials a few years ago. Brooks just blew right through him for a TD.
That's not how it works because it's not a large enough sample size and it's a wrestling match, not a random sequence.
That’s under the assumption that each match is an independent trial uncorrelated with previous results. In these contests, momentum builds and the prior outcomes do affect subsequent matches. That makes the tail outcomes more likely on both sides, so 8.6% is an understatement (as is the calculated probability that Iowa wins the dual under the assumption of independence). If Penn State is up 40-0 or something going into heavyweight, the odds that Mirasola wins might be more like 80% even if it’s 55% in a one-off match.
Arnold might not ever step on the mat opposite a PSU wrestler. Book it.
I don’t think that holding the beer is how Willie achieved it.
There was a video on one of these threads (Jason just doing takedowns) that had a wrestler going against Jason Nolf working from one knee. Jason put him in a headlock and took him down
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What? Mcpat is about as straight as it comes and calls them out just as much as anyone
Barr would hurt Ferrari. It wouldn't even be close.
I suspected it too. mcpat is IRON HAWK!
Do you think the Brands brothers would survive getting shut out at home? I don’t want to risk having another coach at Iowa so maybe we forfeit at 285…
Gotta share this with you guys. I saw a Facebook post about how great Spencer Lee is. I wrote “If he had gone to Penn State he would have won 4 NCAA titles and his knees would still be healthy.”
Someone replied, You’re an idiot.”
My reply to them was, “Ha ha ha! Nothing better than when an Iowa fan bites down hard on the bait.”
I don’t know how to post Facebook posts here, otherwise you guys could pile on, especially @johnstownsteel!
Someone replied, You’re an idiot.”
My reply to them was, “Ha ha ha! Nothing better than when an Iowa fan bites down hard on the bait.”
I don’t know how to post Facebook posts here, otherwise you guys could pile on, especially @johnstownsteel!
But I don't want to be a pirate!
Marcus is very good at getting to shots from his short offense. If Ayala goes to one knee and Marcus is able to snap him down to both hands, Marcus might be able to get an angle for a TD like he did in this clip from his match against Nebraska.
Round it to 8.3%
Cael will have something to handle the knee thing. I would imagine Rocco will hold center and not chase Ferrari backing up on one knee.
Gotta share this with you guys. I saw a Facebook post about how great Spencer Lee is. I wrote “If he had gone to Penn State he would have won 4 NCAA titles and his knees would still be healthy.”
Someone replied, You’re an idiot.”
My reply to them was, “Ha ha ha! Nothing better than when an Iowa fan bites down hard on the bait.”
I don’t know how to post Facebook posts here, otherwise you guys could pile on, especially @johnstownsteel!
GIAs shouldn’t take it so personal when talking about Lee not winning 4. I’m sure Brands could’ve coached some of the other 4 timers to 3 or less titles.Gotta share this with you guys. I saw a Facebook post about how great Spencer Lee is. I wrote “If he had gone to Penn State he would have won 4 NCAA titles and his knees would still be healthy.”
Someone replied, You’re an idiot.”
My reply to them was, “Ha ha ha! Nothing better than when an Iowa fan bites down hard on the bait.”
I don’t know how to post Facebook posts here, otherwise you guys could pile on, especially @johnstownsteel!
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Not likely. The 4 timers are middle to upper weights. There is practically zero evidence available to indicate TnT could squeeze multiple titles out of middle to upper weights. As elite as Metcalf was they had him ruined by his senior year.
LMAO. Spencer is the GOAT. Stieber or Dake would have been lucky to win one under Brands.,
You could have added if he went to Penn State his Mom would still have glasses.Gotta share this with you guys. I saw a Facebook post about how great Spencer Lee is. I wrote “If he had gone to Penn State he would have won 4 NCAA titles and his knees would still be healthy.”
Someone replied, You’re an idiot.”
My reply to them was, “Ha ha ha! Nothing better than when an Iowa fan bites down hard on the bait.”
I don’t know how to post Facebook posts here, otherwise you guys could pile on, especially @johnstownsteel!
Whenever the Brands Boys are no longer in charge, Who would be the odds on favorite to take over that program.?
Another meme that someone posted on Facebook!
I am hoping for AJ Ferrari.
If anyone has a clue they will try and land David Carr. He will someday be the next great head coach from the ISU coaching tree. It is nearly impossible to talk to that young man without instantly liking him and he knows wrestling very well, is highly intelligent, and well thought of among his peers. He would have no trouble bringing other young RTC athletes on board and would be a monster in living rooms when recruiting. Write it down. It may be another few years until he enters coaching which would be the timeline problem at Iowa. I'm sure ISU is hoping to keep him under the radar until the time comes.
Dresser is 63. He might get retired if Iowa starts sniffing around Carr.
Besides, if Iowa is gonna target an ISU alum, Downey is a better fit.
Let's face it. Coaching talent like Dan Gable and Cael Sanderson only comes around once in a generation. If there is anyone who might match this level of competency in the newest generation of wrestlers, it would be DT and he's already taken by Ok State. And of course, the jury is still out on whether or not Coach DT has the ability to reach the same level as Gable and Sanderson. Consequently, Iowa is going to have a very difficult time finding someone who has a good chance of doing better than TnT. If they dump TnT, they might go downhill like Iowa State did after Sanderson left. And if they keep them, their upside potential is limited to what we see now. Glad I don't have the job of AD at Iowa.
After Gable, Iowa hired Zalesky who won 3 championships and then Brands who has won 4 championships. Zalesky and Brands were from the Gable tree. The Hawks should probably keep it in house and go to the Brands tree. Telford or Morningstar seem to be the logical choices.
Metcalf seems to me to be the best Hawkeye choice.
Metcalf seems to me to be the best Hawkeye choice.
