Your possible opponent primer.
vs. AAC #5 Team.
Southern Methoidist (5-6) must beat Central Florida to become bowl eligible.
Rutgers (5-6) must beat South Florida to become bowl eligible.
SMU is unlikely to beat UCF, and Rutgers will be favored to win against USF. Best chance for opponent is a 6-6 Rutgers team.
But, if SMU and Rutgers both lose, the AAC will only have four bowl eligible teams and will be unable to fill their bowl slots. There are six teams that havd 6 wins that will need a place - there are likely to be 3-4 openings, including possibly the Compass Bowl. Pittsburgh has been to Birmingham 3 of the last 4 years, so they are likely out, and Buffalo, Toledo and Western Kentucky as well. That leaves North Carolina (6-6), Washington State (6-6), or Oregon State (6-6).
One of the bowls that will need a team will be the San Diego Poinsettia Bowl, which will probably take Oregon State. The Idaho Potato Bowl will probably take Washington State, who has already traveled to Auburn this year. Pittsburgh will probably end up in the Heart of Dallas and UNC will be the best available for the Compass. If UNC lands somewhere else, we'll see one of the MAC teams like Buffalo or Toledo or a Sun Belt team like Western Kentucky.
vs. AAC #5 Team.
Southern Methoidist (5-6) must beat Central Florida to become bowl eligible.
Rutgers (5-6) must beat South Florida to become bowl eligible.
SMU is unlikely to beat UCF, and Rutgers will be favored to win against USF. Best chance for opponent is a 6-6 Rutgers team.
But, if SMU and Rutgers both lose, the AAC will only have four bowl eligible teams and will be unable to fill their bowl slots. There are six teams that havd 6 wins that will need a place - there are likely to be 3-4 openings, including possibly the Compass Bowl. Pittsburgh has been to Birmingham 3 of the last 4 years, so they are likely out, and Buffalo, Toledo and Western Kentucky as well. That leaves North Carolina (6-6), Washington State (6-6), or Oregon State (6-6).
One of the bowls that will need a team will be the San Diego Poinsettia Bowl, which will probably take Oregon State. The Idaho Potato Bowl will probably take Washington State, who has already traveled to Auburn this year. Pittsburgh will probably end up in the Heart of Dallas and UNC will be the best available for the Compass. If UNC lands somewhere else, we'll see one of the MAC teams like Buffalo or Toledo or a Sun Belt team like Western Kentucky.