Up to this point, our "supposed to lose" games have far outnumbered our "supposed to win" games. So it's no surprise that Mullen is doing comparatively well in that respect. He simply has a lot of opportunities to pull off upsets than he does at taking care of business in games we have good odds in.
Dan's first job is to manage to win a couple of those "supposed to lose games" (check) and the second job is to get us in a position where we start having more "supposed to win games". It appears we are getting to that point. Before the season started, I would have classified the UK game as a "game we could win", but now, I think we should win it. Big difference. Dan is doing his job so far.
However, the biggest difference between a great team/coach and a decent team/coach is getting to point where the likely wins begin to exceed the likely losses and you actually capitalize on the opportunities you do have. Hell, Crooms knocked off a couple of teams that he wasn't supposed to - so upsets aren't unique to good coaches and teams only. Croom sucked he never got us to a point where the should wins made up a significant portion of our schedule - or even beat the Maines and LaTechs of the world.
The next two games are huge in the grand scheme of things. We have 2 games where I believe most feel very good about our prospects of winning. Do we capitalize? Or do we choke? The old MSU chokes. We'll find out very soon how the new regime reacts to a little bit of success and opportunity to continue it...