DowntownDawg said:
Do you really think Cameron Lawrence is as good of a player as one of the top safeties out of Texas or Florida?
No. But you're not getting any of the top safeties or players out of Texas or Florida. You are getting the big boys' rejects. And yes I believe Cameron Lawrence, as a top 12 player in Mississippi, is as good as a recruit that the big schools didn't want in Texas or Florida.
See, this is where that whole "per capita" thing comes into play.
Texas - 24 million people
Florida - 18 million people
Mississippi - 3 million people
So, Texas has 8 times as many people as Mississippi, and Florida has 6 times as many people, so the gross numbers are still WAY in their favor. Using some numbers I found, these are the number of NFL players from each state:
Florida - 187
Texas - 181
Missisissippi - 49
Using those numbers, Texas and Florida produce about 3.5 times as much talent as the state of Mississippi. So, if you can find 20 SEC quality athletes in Mississippi, you're likely to find 70 in Florida and 70 in Texas. The big schools in those states can't sign them all. They can only sign 25, and they don't sign exclusively from their home state.
You could definitely make the argument that the "rejects" from a lot of these states are as good as what you'll find in Mississippi. For instance, Dexter McCluster is a Florida reject. Did the state of Mississippi produce a better player in his class at his position? What about Lawon Scott? He was a Florida reject. Did the state of Mississippi produce a better DT in the 2007 class? I'm not sure, but I doubt there are very many.
I wish we had done better in state this year, but in all I think we're signing a good class, and even if we had done better in state, I would've wanted us to go out of state for about half of our class. I just don't believe you can build a winner in the SEC with just Mississippi players. I just don't think the state produces enough. You have to supplement from outside, and states like Florida, Georgia, and Texas are the places to go for that talent.