I'm a bit surprised the number is that high. That said, it makes sense considering that an emphasis on in-state recruiting is what you are advocating.
Thanks.
It's a very rough and dirty estimate, no doubt. It's somewhat to do with the fact that I think we underrate some and have to account for the fact that some JUCO's are getting legit D1 players. I know this guy has called some of the JUCO's trying to strike up some kind of partnership, and I don't necessarily think that's a bad thing, but I'm not sure about sign and placements in a league more limited by rules than others (the ones in Texas you alluded to that don't limit internationals, etc. That's why they usually beat ours and it's not close.)
Definitely my opinion, and it might be influenced by previous years where there were more. Talent usually comes in waves from what I've seen- the teams that go far in regionals produce a few D1 players alone. 2005 Madison St. Joseph guys had 9/11 starters I think that went on to play at 4 year schools, a couple being impact players.
I expect 8 around D1 level (so, USM and some even smaller D1 or good D2), 3-4 worth taking a shot on, usually need to land 1-2. Not a hard estimate by any stretch. If there's just 3, there's just 3.
EDIT: If this makes sense.... in the pool of 8, we're picking the other 4 to target it seems, while Georgia and Alabama are raiding our top few.
Asked a club director, he said 3-7. I agree with that, because at the end of the day, you'll OFFER the best 3 probably at most in any given year. You should still talk to that pool of 7-8 over the years and let it all play out. Need to promote your program period, you might find a kid that develops a little later (I think with girls you can usually see a lot at younger ages to get a head start), and that kid may be on a team that just has a lot of talent.