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OT: Minor Snow/Sleet Weds evening, 2/12: ~1" near and N of 80; <1" S of 80 to 78; up to 0.1" freezing rain for NWNJ/Poconos/LV; just rain S of 78

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RU848789

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Rather than trying to keep all the weather/snow info in the other thread, bac suggested (and I bet @e5fdny would approve, lol) that a separate thread would make more sense, especially given the hoops game Weds night. So here we go. Below is the NWS map of the expected snowfall from wave 2 from 7 am Weds to 7 am Thurs, with the snow likely to start between 7 pm and 10pm Wednesday night, so hopefully minimal impact on the game, but some impact can't be ruled out. The snow will start to changeover to sleet and then rain (minimal freezing rain expected) from south to north through the evening/nighttime, after putting down 1-2" a little SE of 95 from Philly to Perth Amboy (and everywhere south of Philly), with 2-3" likely along and NW of that line from Philly to Perth Amboy all the way to NWNJ and the Poconos/Lehigh Valley/NW Phillly burbs. Could be about 1/4" of plain rain after the changeover for most (with more sleet/less rain in the colder locations well NW of 95).

 
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knightru

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So- assuming a 7 pm start for snow on Wednesday … 1/2 inch or so at the end of the game as ppl head home?
 
WhiteBus

WhiteBus

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RU848789 said:
Rather than trying to keep all the weather/snow info in the other thread, bac suggested (and I bet @e5fdny would approve, lol) that a separate thread would make more sense, especially given the hoops game Weds night. So here we go. Below is the NWS map of the expected snowfall from wave 2 from 7 am Weds to 7 am Thurs, with the snow likely to start between 7 pm and 10pm Wednesday night, so hopefully minimal impact on the game, but some impact can't be ruled out. The snow will start to changeover to sleet and then rain (minimal freezing rain expected) from south to north through the evening/nighttime, after putting down 1-2" a little SE of 95 from Philly to Perth Amboy (and everywhere south of Philly), with 2-3" likely along and NW of that line from Philly to Perth Amboy all the way to NWNJ and the Poconos/Lehigh Valley/NW Phillly burbs. Could be about 1/4" of plain rain after the changeover for most (with more sleet/less rain in the colder locations well NW of 95).

Click to expand...
Map shows a pull back since earlier maps posted this morning. Now 1 to 2in in Philadelphia.
All these systems training through the region have very little precipitation. At a time the region is desperate to get out of it's drought.
 
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e5fdny

e5fdny

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See, this is why you prep your snowblower…



I’ll take it every season.😎
 
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RU848789

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RU848789 said:
Rather than trying to keep all the weather/snow info in the other thread, bac suggested (and I bet @e5fdny would approve, lol) that a separate thread would make more sense, especially given the hoops game Weds night. So here we go. Below is the NWS map of the expected snowfall from wave 2 from 7 am Weds to 7 am Thurs, with the snow likely to start between 7 pm and 10pm Wednesday night, so hopefully minimal impact on the game, but some impact can't be ruled out. The snow will start to changeover to sleet and then rain (minimal freezing rain expected) from south to north through the evening/nighttime, after putting down 1-2" a little SE of 95 from Philly to Perth Amboy (and everywhere south of Philly), with 2-3" likely along and NW of that line from Philly to Perth Amboy all the way to NWNJ and the Poconos/Lehigh Valley/NW Phillly burbs. Could be about 1/4" of plain rain after the changeover for most (with more sleet/less rain in the colder locations well NW of 95).

Click to expand...

And here's the NWS map for the Weds evening into Thursday morning event, which has been downgraded a bit by the NWS (based on less precip) - looking at 1-2" for the northern half of CNJ now...could be a bit of snow falling after the RU game, so keep an eye out - unlikely to be anything significant though.

 
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RU848789

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WhiteBus said:
Map shows a pull back since earlier maps posted this morning. Now 1 to 2in in Philadelphia.
All these systems training through the region have very little precipitation. At a time the region is desperate to get out of it's drought.
Click to expand...
Just wait for Saturday night into Sunday - looking like a real soaker with 1-2" of rain (could be some initial snow/sleet NW of 95, but this is likely to be >90% rain even well inland.
 
WhiteBus

WhiteBus

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RU848789 said:
Just wait for Saturday night into Sunday - looking like a real soaker with 1-2" of rain (could be some initial snow/sleet NW of 95, but this is likely to be >90% rain even well inland.
Click to expand...
I'll take 2in to start the spring run to "April showers"
 
bac2therac

bac2therac

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would think that sleet may be an issue initially at start rather than snow like the past couple of events
 
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RU848789

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RU848789 said:
And here's the NWS map for the Weds evening into Thursday morning event, which has been downgraded a bit by the NWS (based on less precip) - looking at 1-2" for the northern half of CNJ now...could be a bit of snow falling after the RU game, so keep an eye out - unlikely to be anything significant though.

Click to expand...

The NWS cut snowfall amounts a little more this morning, so this is quickly becoming a non-event south of 78 (and along 95 in NENJ and east of there through NYC, where up to 1" is forecast and especially south of 276/195 where no snow is forecast. For areas a bit south of 78 up to about 80, 1-2" are forecast, with 2"+ forecast NW of 80/287 in PA/NJ. For the RU game light snow will likely start around 7-8 pm and there could be a coating on the ground by the end of the game around 8:30-9:00 pm, but nothing serious.

The snow will turn to sleet and then rain for everyone after the snowfall amounts on the map are reached late Weds night, with 1/4" or so of plain rain falling for just about everyone through sunrise Thursday with temps climbing into the mid/upper 30s for most. The exception to this is for areas well NW of 95 in NWNJ (Sussex/Warren/Morris/NW Passaic) and the Poconos/Lehigh Valley/Hudson Valley where up to 0.1" of freezing rain could fall in the wee hours of Thursday morning before finally changing to plain rain after sunrise. Advisories will likely be needed for these areas for the freezing rain risk (and maybe even as far SE as Hunterdon/Somerset for a light glaze of freezing rain before the change to rain).

https://www.weather.gov/phi


 
e5fdny

e5fdny

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DJ Spanky said:
You're missing something here.
Click to expand...

bac2therac said:
Separate events separate storms
Click to expand...

RU848789 said:
I think the titles are quite clear that they're separate events, one being tonight into tomorrow morning and the 2nd being Weds evening into Thursday.
Click to expand...

RU848789 said:
I thought he'd be applauding, lol.
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Getting over a bad case of food poisoning.

So not all there, and also was reading the board without my glasses.

But as always…

Animated GIF



WhiteBus said:
A day or two after the event they should lock the thread. We have 3 weather threads at the top of the page and 2 on the same storm
Click to expand...
Which was part of my confusion.
 
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WhiteBus

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e5fdny said:
Getting over a bad case of food poisoning.

So not all there, and also was reading the board without my glasses.

But as always…

Animated GIF




Which was part of my confusion.
Click to expand...
Part of it is what he is calling Wednesday actually starts around 5/6pm today and ends here around 1am. His Thursday event starts at 6pm tomorrow.
 
bac2therac

bac2therac

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the wednesday night event looks to be fairly insignificant if you are south of 78...should be brief wintry mix to rain
 
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RU848789

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WhiteBus said:
A day or two after the event they should lock the thread. We have 3 weather threads at the top of the page and 2 on the same storm
Click to expand...
Disagree completely. There's often interesting post-storm analysis and conversation that goes on - we don't lock game threads after the game is over.
 
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RU848789

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e5fdny said:
Getting over a bad case of food poisoning.

So not all there, and also was reading the board without my glasses.

But as always…

Animated GIF




Which was part of my confusion.
Click to expand...
No sweat - get better soon - not a lot worse than food poisoning...
 
WhiteBus

WhiteBus

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RU848789 said:
Disagree completely. There's often interesting post-storm analysis and conversation that goes on - we don't lock game threads after the game is over.
Click to expand...
Yeah but it just becomes a mess about the half time music, no longer about the game 🤣🤣🤣
 
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bac2therac

bac2therac

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RU848789 said:
No sweat - get better soon - not a lot worse than food poisoning...
Click to expand...
currently coming down with rough chest congestion and feverish a bit the past couple of days, damn you Ace Bailey...making it to the RAC tomorrow night is in jeopardy especially with morning work to clear off an inch or so of pixie dust
 
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WhiteBus

WhiteBus

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bac2therac said:
currently coming down with rough chest congestion and feverish a bit the past couple of days, damn you Ace Bailey...making it to the RAC tomorrow night is in jeopardy especially with morning work to clear off an inch or so of pixie dust
Click to expand...
Lots of reports of a lot of people getting sick in New Orleans last week including a lot of people on radio row. Most likely the stomach virus that was going on around here a month ago. Recovery was quick but I was wiped out for 2 days!
 
bac2therac

bac2therac

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WhiteBus said:
Lots of reports of a lot of people getting sick in New Orleans last week including a lot of people on radio row. Most likely the stomach virus that was going on around here a month ago. Recovery was quick but I was wiped out for 2 days!
Click to expand...
not having any stomach issues, just beat up achy, congestion and trouble sleeping..thats the worst of it and leaves me perpetually tired
 
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RU848789

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bac2therac said:
currently coming down with rough chest congestion and feverish a bit the past couple of days, damn you Ace Bailey...making it to the RAC tomorrow night is in jeopardy especially with morning work to clear off an inch or so of pixie dust
Click to expand...
That sucks - need you at the RAC! If you get it, hope it's a mild case. Lots of folks getting sick between the flu (worst flu year in 15 years according to the CDC) and the norovirus. They said Harper lost 10-12 pounds from the "flu" but losing that much weight sounds like vomiting/diarrhea, which is much more common with the norovirus. Would much rather get the flu than the norovirus.

https://www.usatoday.com/story/news...cases-increase-2025-symptoms-cdc/78412536007/

https://www.vcuhealth.org/news/bugged-by-the-winter-surge-of-the-stomach-bug/
 
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RU848789

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It's a non-event south of 78 and for the game, with maybe a dusting/coating between 7 and 10 pm (but nada is also possible) and then all rain with 1/4-1/2" falling through the night into Thursday with temps well above 32F by midnight and in the 40s tomorrow. There are advisories up for the counties along/N of 78 in NWNJ (Morris/Sussex/Warren), as well as for NW Passaic/NW Bergen, the Lehigh Valley/Poconos in PA and the Hudson Valley in NY for up to 1" of snow/sleet, plus up to 0.1" of ice glaze before the changeover to rain overnight (temps mostly above 32F in those locations by sunrise). The advisories are really only for the freezing rain threat.

 
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DJ Spanky

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Came out from the gym just now and it's snowing. Got a light covering on everything.
 
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Section124

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Like Spanky started as snow but no real accumulation. Ended up being just a misty rain this AM.
 
DJ Spanky

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Had a bit of a wet and slushy covering on the car we didn't use last night, but nothing froze so the ground was fine. Light rain off and on during the drive to work.
 
bac2therac

bac2therac

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well this was a bust especially when you consider how inaccurate the map from NWS was in the first post in thread
 
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