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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

Shmuley

Shmuley

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Mar 6, 2008
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

Long range models show some potential for a nasty one right up the poop shoot. Disagreement among the models, but still bears watching. Time frame is 8/26 to 8/30.

[/sound familiar, MFers?]
 
Shmuley

Shmuley

Well-known member
Mar 6, 2008
23,277
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

Long range models show some potential for a nasty one right up the poop shoot. Disagreement among the models, but still bears watching. Time frame is 8/26 to 8/30.

[/sound familiar, MFers?]
 
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msuJD164

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Dec 1, 2008
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

Had a major hurricane hitting between Pensacola-New Orleans on 8/30
 
F

futaba.79

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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

and several different outlooks on strength. From nothing at all to a major hurricane hitting anywhere from NY to NO.
 
DesotoCountyDawg

DesotoCountyDawg

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Nov 16, 2005
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

It's too early to guess where its going. I'm still thinking that its going to curve and hit FL/GA/SC area similar to Hugo. At the moment the upper air pattern isn't favorable for an Andrew/Katrina track.
 
Bdog9090

Bdog9090

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Aug 11, 2008
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

 
R

randystewart

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Jan 14, 2009
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

I'll be in Destin during that time frame and would like to keep up.
 
T

tenureplan

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Dec 3, 2008
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

nm
 
Shmuley

Shmuley

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Mar 6, 2008
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

and look for the thread "Invest 97L east of the lesser antilles - CODE ORANGE"

It's a four page thread and kind of gangly, but it's the most up to date info I've found because a bunch of weather geeks post in it. I think I understand about 15% of what they are posting.
 
W

weblow

Member
Mar 3, 2008
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

Best site I have found. I am out in the gulf a good bit and use this site every single day during the season. There is a box on the top right corner that you need to click "forecast model" to see all the different tracks that are being predicted so far.

Click here
 
K

kcomphlint

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Mar 3, 2008
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

This is James Spann's blog. He is the head weather guy at the ABC affiliate in Birmingham, and much of the info on here is Alabama-centric, but his Weather Extreme videos have great info where he goes through the various models and explains what is happening.<div>
</div><div>This site explodes with traffic in the winter when snow/ice is approaching.</div><div>
</div><div>http://www.alabamawx.com</div>
 
J

JackWatkins.sixpack

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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

It's code red now, and thanks for the plug!

-Jack Watkins, TalkWeather Administration
 
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msubulldog0610

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Aug 25, 2009
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

Meteorologist here. Tropical Storm Irene has formed with winds of 50mph with higher gusts and it will likely become a hurricane. Could become strong and will likely impact the US as it is far south in latitude and will take awhile to start turning north. The questions are will Hispianola (Dominican Republic/Haiti) hinder development as it will likely be a hurricane before it strikes this area..Some models have it going directly over while some have it going south of the island. If it goes south, and stays south of Cuba, which one model predicts, this could be a very strong hurricane. Models are now showing some consensus over South Florida and that will be the likely area as the National Hurricane Center has that area. However the Canadian model still shows it missing Hispianola and Cuba and coming into the Gulf but would still be likely to hit west Florida. Some ensembles (same model but conditions changed to see similarities in outputs) still have it coming in the Gulf of Mexico.. You can't rule out it somehow taking an even further westward track. NOLA to Mobile to Pensacola still need to watch this thing as stuff can change. My areas to watch would be from Destin to Panama City to Tampa to South Florida..But can't ever rule out anything in weather...<div>
</div>
 
I

Indndawg

Active member
Nov 16, 2005
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

follow the trends, bitches....it could easily wind plastering Mobile-Gulfport/Biloxi-NOLA
 
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msubulldog0610

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Aug 25, 2009
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...



<div>
</div><div>Here is what mstatefan88 was talking about...Minimum pressure of 921 mb and maximum winds of 132kts or 152mph. Thats even before it would hit the warmest and deepest waters in the Gulf of Mexico. Lets hope this doesn't turn out..18z GFS has trended slightly west and the 18z ensemble GFS has plenty of members west of Florida when the 12z GFS had it all over Florida. About 4 of the 12 members had it in the Central Gulf. This storm could possibly come in the central Gulf so its something to watch closely..</div>
 
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msubulldog0610

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Aug 25, 2009
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

Tracks have trended eastward and the center of circulation was evident on radar last night in the northern Lesser Antilles. This thing will strike Puerto Rico and could miss Hispianola to the north. We will see if it tracks over the island and goes farther south to Miami but trends have been farther eastward. If it misses Hispianola to the north, this could be a powerful hurricane approaching eastern FL/GA but lots of consensus and agreement is more toward GA/SC border...This thing could blow up and I'd keep an eye on it as it could approach SC to even as far north as Wilmington, NC...
 
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MaroonInNashville

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Jan 15, 2008
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

You can listen to the ham radio operators talking to the National Hurricane Center on theHurricane Watch Net. The net goes active when a hurricane comes within 300 miles of a landmass.
 
thatsbaseball

thatsbaseball

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May 29, 2007
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

nm
 
aTotal360

aTotal360

Well-known member
Nov 12, 2009
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OT: Need the weather dawgs to weigh in. Too early, but need to keep an eye on the tropics, MFers...

<span> <span id="temp-1"> </span> </span><span> <embed src="http://www.youtube.com/v/mPQh4zcufLs?f=videos&app=youtube_gdata" type="application/x-shockwave-flash" wmode="transparent" width="425" height="355" allowScriptAccess="never" ></embed> </span>
 
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