Over the next few weeks, keep your eyes on the Middle East

leetp

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Dec 6, 2021
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We've got 6 B2 bombers at Diego Garcia. 1 more to arrive this week. B52s are also on station there now. Over 10 C17s that are obviously transporting munitions for said bombers. Nearly 10 KC135 tankers. This is NOT a show of force. This is guarantee of force.

By end of week, the USS Carl Vinson will be on station with her Strike Group. The USS Truman has had it's Middle East deployment extended and has been attacking the Houthis in Yemen repeatedly for around a week or so now. A 3rd Strike Group is likely heading that way as well and I would guess it's either the Nimitz (that just departed on her last mission) or the USS Gerald Ford that is in pre-deployment maneuvers in the Western Atlantic. The USS GHWB is also prepping for departure from Norfolk and the USS Lincoln at North Island is prepping for departure. That's a lot of Naval hardware about to be a sea.

Trump's comments that Iran either plays ball or bad things are going to happen is not a bluff. We're gonna continue to hammer the Houthis. The dumbasses actually tried to launch missiles at the Truman Strike Group last week.

Add to it that the Israelis are very wary of Iran's nuclear program. They took out most, if not all air defenses around Iranian Military Critical Infrastructure in their last attack.

Just saying, something to keep close eyes on. This can all be found on the internet if you look. We're not even trying to hide it.
I'm a former B-52 crew chief. I spent time in Diego Garcia in the 90s, and I've flown on several supply missions through there as a C-17 crew chief in the early 2000's.

1. They have munition stockpiles there.

2. We've done countless tours there that never amounted to anything. We didn't do squat the whole time I was there. We used to call it, OPERATION DENY CHRISTMAS because it seemed like we always deployed there over Christmas and we never actually did anything.

Still, you may well be right. Your post just brought back a bit of nostalgia and I thought I'd share. Most people have never heard of Diego Garcia.
 
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leetp

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Dec 6, 2021
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Question: Why do Netanyahu and his political party financially support Hamas and have done so for over a decade?
Not saying you are correct, but perhaps for humanitarian reasons, to show benevolence, to attempt to undermine Iran, or as part of some sort of flimsy peace deal? There are potentially a myriad of legitimate reasons.
 

GDead_Tiger

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Dec 7, 2021
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Not saying you are correct, but perhaps for humanitarian reasons, to show benevolence, to attempt to undermine Iran, or as part of some sort of flimsy peace deal? There are potentially a myriad of legitimate reasons.
They support Hamas because they want a militant Islamist running Gaza because that makes it easier for them to invade and ethnically cleanse the Palestinians. Netanyahu and co aren’t interested in peace or securing the hostages
 

Jhstans86

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Whats the significance of AADS/Batteries?
The US employs a joint and integrated air defense strategy. There are many different weapons systems in this layered defense. Patriot falls in the short to medium range air defense. It defends against air breathing threats (fixed wing, rotary, cruise missiles etc) and tactical ballistic missiles. These TBMs are most effectively intercepted by the Patriot system depending on the type of TBM threat.

Patriot is set up to defend a specific asset (air base, cities, etc). Most air bases that we use to launch strikes will most likely be defended by a Patriot battery or a short range air defense system.

Mobilizing a unit could be for a multitude of reasons (training, equipment replacements, live fires etc). Mobilizing doesn’t necessarily mean anything is imminent, but could be a good indication of preemptive defense of a critical asset.
 

nmerritt11

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Yes, every country having access to nuclear power, clean energy, either through their own plants or via another country’s is shooting for the best

I'd say that is shooting for a fairy tale...

That is a recipe for disaster. Clean energy sounds good until it is used by terrorists. no way you can think this is a real possibility. And even if it was who's paying for it?
 

Chrisco11

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We should’ve never allowed the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism to ever have a nuclear program or research. It’s beyond moronic that we did. Iran controls Lebanon, Yemen and Gaza through terrorist organizations but people thought they were going to use nuclear capabilities to make their country more energy efficient/climate friendly? Morons.

That’s the Biden admin for ya
 

USMClemson2007

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My understanding is Iran is with in weeks of having

They support Hamas because they want a militant Islamist running Gaza because that makes it easier for them to invade and ethnically cleanse the Palestinians. Netanyahu and co aren’t interested in peace or securing the hostages
If their goal is ethnic cleansing they are doing a terrible job at it. Their Air Force is good enough that they could kill off most of the population of Gaza and not put troops at risk, yet they put their own troops at risk going house to house. If you’ve ever been involved in urban combat you’d understand it’s the most dangerous and resource intensive combat you can experience.
 

nmerritt11

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We should’ve never allowed the world’s leading state sponsor of terrorism to ever have a nuclear program or research. It’s beyond moronic that we did. Iran controls Lebanon, Yemen and Gaza through terrorist organizations but people thought they were going to use nuclear capabilities to make their country more energy efficient/climate friendly? Morons.

yeah clean energy in those areas ain't happening. They don't give a **** about clean energy...they barely care about clean water.

I cannot see how anyone can feel giving them access to nuclear energy is a good thing.
 

GDead_Tiger

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I'd say that is shooting for a fairy tale...

That is a recipe for disaster. Clean energy sounds good until it is used by terrorists. no way you can think this is a real possibility. And even if it was who's paying for it?
Lol what do you mean who is paying for it?
 

GDead_Tiger

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If their goal is ethnic cleansing they are doing a terrible job at it. Their Air Force is good enough that they could kill off most of the population of Gaza and not put troops at risk, yet they put their own troops at risk going house to house. If you’ve ever been involved in urban combat you’d understand it’s the most dangerous and resource intensive combat you can experience.
Well they’ve done tons of arial bombing in Gaza, have you seen pictures of the place?
 

ChucktownK

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Oct 28, 2010
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Actually Iran does have some missiles that can range Diego Garcia, but their accuracy is quite dubious, as you should've been able to tell from how well they (and the Houthis) miss everything in Israel.

But B-2s rarely forward deploy, that they're forward deployed makes it very serious. A lot of their missions are flown round trip from the USA to the ME or wherever.
 

nmerritt11

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Lol what do you mean who is paying for it?

so in your fairy tale world...

Every country will have it. We don't give the plants to the bad guys but we make the good guys share their plants with them so they can have clean energy that they don't give a **** about. And no one has to pay for it?

This is not real life
 

HunterPKP

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Nov 11, 2004
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With all this talk I am curious how a strike would go down

I think I read where the Iranian Air Defense is almost ZERO

Just asking the question

Would the first wave be another massive wave taking out every radar sight that turned on

Would it be a JOINT US IDP OPERATION

Then follow it with a huge wave of Bunker Buster bombing dropping them critters down the vent shafts of all the nuclear facilities

Would Iranian Gulf Naval Facilities be targeted

I am hearing in general conversations we are looking at just a few weeks

Well within the Trump 100 Day Window

Anybody SHARE ON WHAT THEY KNOW OR THINK

We've told Israel we will protect them. Therefore, I think there will be a degree of collaboration. It was our intel gleaned from UKR/Russia that let them know the S300/400s were dogshit and they should be able to attack Iran without fear. Over 100 Israeli planes used in that attack. All returned without a scratch. There will be a degree of collaboration.

I don't want war, but Iran's gotten way too big for their britches so to speak. My wish list if this goes forward.

1. Total obliteration of their Nuclear facilities.
2. Destruction of the QUDs and Special Forces. They help train all their proxies. Take away that.
3. Destruction of any offensive capabilities of the Navy.
4. Further destruction of all Military Critical Infrastructure (I'm looking at you missile bases)

I'm a former B-52 crew chief. I spent time in Diego Garcia in the 90s, and I've flown on several supply missions through there as a C-17 crew chief in the early 2000's.

1. They have munition stockpiles there.

2. We done countless tours there that never amounted to anything. We didn't do squat the whole time I was there. We used to call it, OPERATION DENY CHRISTMAS because it seemed like we always deployed there over Christmas and we never actually did anything.

Still, you may well be right. Your post just brought back a bit of nostalgia and I thought I'd share. Most people have never heard of Diego Garcia.

I hope you're right to a degree. I just don't see it. It costs nearly 165k an hour to operate 1 B2 bomber. We aren't taking 6 over there for show. A 7th will leave HNL at some point and join them. Supposedly 5-6 B52s on the ground. More C17s every single day and now as @BionicTiger said 5-6 C5s. Planefinder had a line of C5s leave Dover this morning as well. They've since turned off their Transponders.

It costs 6.5MM on average per day to operate a Carrier Strike Group. Two for certain will be there and I was told a 3rd is all but guaranteed. Yet again, with the climate of government entities like DOGE and more, this isn't for show IMO.

The US employs a joint and integrated air defense strategy. There are many different weapons systems in this layered defense. Patriot falls in the short to medium range air defense. It defends against air breathing threats (fixed wing, rotary, cruise missiles etc) and tactical ballistic missiles. These TBMs are most effectively intercepted by the Patriot system depending on the type of TBM threat.

Patriot is set up to defend a specific asset (air base, cities, etc). Most air bases that we use to launch strikes will most likely be defended by a Patriot battery or a short range air defense system.

Mobilizing a unit could be for a multitude of reasons (training, equipment replacements, live fires etc). Mobilizing doesn’t necessarily mean anything is imminent, but could be a good indication of preemptive defense of a critical asset.

My brother had PAT III batteries around the DOHA National Gas Facility and the main refinery in Saudi Arabia when he was there over a decade ago. His THAAD was in Israel at the time.

Little known fact that I didn't know until then. In times of conflict, Army Air Defense and Naval Air Defense come under the command of our Air Force during said conflicts. When my brother arrived he was dotted line to an Army Brigadier General, but reported directly to an Air Force 3 star while there.
 

GDead_Tiger

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Dec 7, 2021
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so in your fairy tale world...

Every country will have it. We don't give the plants to the bad guys but we make the good guys share their plants with them so they can have clean energy that they don't give a **** about. And no one has to pay for it?

This is not real life
🙄

Yes, it is unreasonable, but I’d rather work towards that as an aspirational than some base slop. You don’t get to it but you still make the world a better place.
 

nmerritt11

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Oh sorry, I guess I should be relaxed about them killing tens of thousands of innocent Palestinians, how foolish of me to care about human life

you give access to these terrorist ran countries and watch what they do with nuclear capabilities. If you care about human life then the last thing you want is to give them access to something they would most likely use to end human life at some point.

🙄

Yes, it is unreasonable, but I’d rather work towards that as an aspirational than some base slop. You don’t get to it but you still make the world a better place.

unreasonable...

The US does not need to be spending time and resources on things that are unreasonable and pretty much impossible.

Things like this is why the Democrats have the lowest approval rating in their history right now. They want Unicorns and Fairy Tales. And think you can think unrealistic things into existence.
 
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HunterPKP

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What’s histrionics here? The Israelis have killed tens of thousands of Palestinians, including innocent men women and children

Have innocents been killed? Without a doubt. Do innocents get killed in every single conflict? Without a doubt. There are obviously very good Palestinians. There are also those that harbor Hamas and those that refused to leave even after repeated warnings. The latter I don't feel bad about. Those were either aiding and abetting Hamas or just critically stupid. Those that refused to leave for whatever reasons they had were winners of the Darwin Awards. I'm actually very angry at the folks who refused to leave. Especially those with CHILDREN.

If we were invaded and Atlanta was being marched on by an overwhelming force, I'm grabbing my wife, little guy and every single thing I think I need to survive and getting as far away as possible. When death is the likely outcome of staying, you get the **** out. Shame on those that refused to leave when they knew what was coming.
 

GDead_Tiger

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you give access to these terrorist ran countries and watch what they do with nuclear capabilities. If you care about human life then the last thing you want is to give them access to something they would most likely use to end human life at some point.



unreasonable...

The US does not need to be spending time and resources on things that are unreasonable and pretty much impossible.

Things like this is why the Democrats have the lowest approval rating in their history right now. They want Unicorns and Fairy Tales. And think you can think unrealistic things into existence.
Where did I saw the US would be doing this stuff?

Also yes, I think giving people access to nuclear weapons is bad, which is why I support getting rid of them.
 

GDead_Tiger

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Have innocents been killed? Without a doubt. Do innocents get killed in every single conflict? Without a doubt. There are obviously very good Palestinians. There are also those that harbor Hamas and those that refused to leave even after repeated warnings. The latter I don't feel bad about. Those were either aiding and abetting Hamas or just critically stupid. Those that refused to leave for whatever reasons they had were winners of the Darwin Awards. I'm actually very angry at the folks who refused to leave. Especially those with CHILDREN.

If we were invaded and Atlanta was being marched on by an overwhelming force, I'm grabbing my wife, little guy and every single thing I think I need to survive and getting as far away as possible. When death is the likely outcome of staying, you get the **** out. Shame on those that refused to leave when they knew what was coming.
Well there was nowhere for people to go because Israel was bombing the so called safe zones.

Dismissing the intentional targeting of civilians is bad.

Look, I’m a bleeding heart Catholic. We’re never going to see eye to eye on this
 

nmerritt11

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Where did I saw the US would be doing this stuff?

Also yes, I think giving people access to nuclear weapons is bad, which is why I support getting rid of them.

so now in your fairy tale you think this could be negotiated, handled, put into place, without the help of the United States?

And even if not using our financial resources, you think the US should just sit back and watch every country put in nuclear power without objection or without being a part of the process?

Rainbows and unicorns...
 
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leetp

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They support Hamas because they want a militant Islamist running Gaza because that makes it easier for them to invade and ethnically cleanse the Palestinians. Netanyahu and co aren’t interested in peace or securing the hostages
This statement defies reason. They'd have a much easier time annexing a friendly Gaza.
 
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GDead_Tiger

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so now in your fairy tale you think this could be negotiated, handled, put into place, without the help of the United States?

And even if not using our financial resources, you think the US should just sit back and watch every country put in nuclear power without objection or without being a part of the process?

Rainbows and unicorns...
to get back to the original point of argument, I think Iran getting nuclear energy u see the oversight of the US is fine. The problem is our invasion of Iraq convinced Iran that they needed nuclear weapons to be safe. I’d rather not have this state of Cold War between us and Iran at danger of breaking out into open war but certain elements within the US and Israel want war
 

Jam48Allay

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They support Hamas because they want a militant Islamist running Gaza because that makes it easier for them to invade and ethnically cleanse the Palestinians. Netanyahu and co aren’t interested in peace or securing the hostages
Every body here that doesn’t have to deal with the animals love Palestinians but don’t you find it a little odd nobody over there, none of their neighbors, I mean nobody wants them in their country.. Absolutely nobody wants them animals but all the anti simites ironically
 

CUT93

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What are you talking about?
I'm talking about your evident unicorn view of expecting the best of the worst. It's one thing to hope people whose actions indicate they are a threat to change and consider the greater good, but completely another to EXPECT and rely on that happening.
If that is truly your belief, rather than your ideal, put it into practice in YOUR life instead of advocating for the whole world to do something you don't do yourself.
 

HunterPKP

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Nov 11, 2004
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to get back to the original point of argument, I think Iran getting nuclear energy u see the oversight of the US is fine. The problem is our invasion of Iraq convinced Iran that they needed nuclear weapons to be safe. I’d rather not have this state of Cold War between us and Iran at danger of breaking out into open war but certain elements within the US and Israel want war

Sorry not sorry to say this to you. Iran even with oversight is not approaching Nuclear energy the safe and clean way. It's now believed they have over 60% of the enriched Uranium needed to build their first bomb. Get out of this fairy tale and think logically about this.

Certain elements within the USA and Israel want Iran to never have the capability to build and deploy Nuclear weapons. The larger state sponsor of terrorism in the history of the world cannot ever have Nuclear weapons. Why is this so hard to understand?
 

GDead_Tiger

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Every body here that doesn’t have to deal with the animals love Palestinians but don’t you find it a little odd nobody over there, none of their neighbors, I mean nobody wants them in their country.. Absolutely nobody wants them animals but all the anti simites ironically
Calling other humans animals is so antithetical to the gospel but I’m not surprised to see it. They don’t support taking Palestinian refugees because they know the Israelis won’t allow them to return home
 

GDead_Tiger

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I'm talking about your evident unicorn view of expecting the best of the worst. It's one thing to hope people whose actions indicate they are a threat to change and consider the greater good, but completely another to EXPECT and rely on that happening.
If that is truly your belief, rather than your ideal, put it into practice in YOUR life instead of advocating for the whole world to do something you don't do yourself.
No, I mean we’re already all chummy with murderers and rapists, just check out our government’s relationship with Netanyahu and Likud
 
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P. Marlowe

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Sorry not sorry to say this to you. Iran even with oversight is not approaching Nuclear energy the safe and clean way. It's now believed they have over 60% of the enriched Uranium needed to build their first bomb. Get out of this fairy tale and think logically about this.

Certain elements within the USA and Israel want Iran to never have the capability to build and deploy Nuclear weapons. The larger state sponsor of terrorism in the history of the world cannot ever have Nuclear weapons. Why is this so hard to understand?
When you’re as stupid as that particular poster, I imagine a lot of things are hard to understand. Going back and forth on whether it’s a septuagenarian hippie, or a 20 year old female sociology major. Tough to tell.
 

GDead_Tiger

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Sorry not sorry to say this to you. Iran even with oversight is not approaching Nuclear energy the safe and clean way. It's now believed they have over 60% of the enriched Uranium needed to build their first bomb. Get out of this fairy tale and think logically about this.

Certain elements within the USA and Israel want Iran to never have the capability to build and deploy Nuclear weapons. The larger state sponsor of terrorism in the history of the world cannot ever have Nuclear weapons. Why is this so hard to understand?
I’m saying our actions have made Iran getting nuclear weapons more likely
 
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HunterPKP

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I’m saying our actions have made Iran getting nuclear weapons more likely

Iran and the Shia Caliphate leadership have always had designs to get Nuclear weapons. They have ambitions of being the most powerful Caliphate as well, which is partially why Saudi hates them. This was happening at some point whether we went into Iraq or not.