Playoff Projection with 11/04/19 rankings

Mitchell county mountie

All-Conference
Aug 27, 2015
2,897
4,628
0
1aa West
1 East Surry
2 Mitchell
3 Mountain Island
4 North Rowan
5 Mount Airy
6 Swain
7 Polk
8 Bessemer City
9 Avery
10 Starmount
11 Union Academy
12 East Wilkes

1aa East
1 Tarboro
2 Holmes
3 Princeton
4 Granville Central
5 Manteo
6 South Stokes
7 Gates County
8 Hobbton
9 North Stanly
10 South Stanly
11 Louisburg
12 East Carteret

1a West
1 Robbinsville
2 Elkin
3 Murphy
4 Thomas Jefferson
5 Hayeville
6 Winston Salem Prep
7 Andrews
8 North Stokes
9 Allegany
10 Albemarle
11 Lakewood
12 East Columbus

1a East
1 North Edgecombe
2 Rosewood
3 Pamlico
4 Northside
5 Washington County
6 Northampton
7 Southside
8 South Creek
9 North Duplin
10 Perquimans
11 KIPP Pride
12 Bear Grass Charter

Big/Small cutoff is Gates 482 and Lakewood 466.
 

smcdom123

Sophomore
Jun 29, 2018
168
141
0
How do they figure out who gets the home game if both schools have the same record?
 

Mitchell county mountie

All-Conference
Aug 27, 2015
2,897
4,628
0
Any games Friday that can flip the cut line? 1A championship coming West for sure.
Possibly. It all depends on the lower rankings, who gets in and who doesnt. Mitchell is the 2nd smallest team in 1aa, and East Surry is the 2nd eastern most team in the West. Alot can change by Saturday morning. Also, I'm pretty sure that numbers can still be adjusted up until 6am Saturday.
 

Owen Stampede

All-Conference
Jul 20, 2006
4,389
1,451
62
Sounds good Mountie. I dont have the patience and overall knowledge of the process to do it myself
 

Owen Stampede

All-Conference
Jul 20, 2006
4,389
1,451
62
I can see that. I just broke down the 2a from smallest to largest in adms and that took forever. I just don't know from conference to conference who is in and out etc.
 

Moparforever

All-Conference
Aug 10, 2017
2,046
2,840
62
According to that Mitchell would go Big 1a and that 500 ish ADM will be the cutoff line.
Well scratch that is it’s using old ADM’s
 

SlickRich28120

All-Conference
Nov 4, 2006
1,279
1,608
113
Better get them Bears this year , next year will be somewhat competitive ( meaning ma by 14 to 21 or so ) but after that the cards have a long row to hoe from what I seen at the middle school this evening. I think this could be the best group I’ve ever seen come out of Ma middle. The bears are gonna be real good for several years to come
 
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Mathew36

Redshirt
Nov 1, 2019
32
27
0
How come North Stanly is so low? They are a 2 seed right now in their conference. They are below some teams that are 3rd in their conf
 

Dogs9

Senior
Jul 19, 2010
1,174
531
0
The YVC is weaker this year than in years past and that might be why North Stanly is where they are.
 

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
3,964
5,662
113
How come North Stanly is so low? They are a 2 seed right now in their conference. They are below some teams that are 3rd in their conf

North Stanly might get at least a 6 or 7 seed depending on if North Rowan is put in the East or West and home game in the first round if they win Friday night. They'll get an automatic bid for second place finish.
 
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Mitchell county mountie

All-Conference
Aug 27, 2015
2,897
4,628
0
This is right here, right folks. There are alot of games to be played friday. Alot of these are based off MY predictions on who will win. Nothing is set in stone, so don't whine to me if you think your team is too low. I'm just trying to get it as close as to what the state will put out as I can. If I were picking some homered up fantasy bracket, I'd have Mitchell #1, and Tarboro and East Surry in 3aa...
 
Jan 3, 2018
6
3
0
I don’t see this as very accurate. North Stanly will be an automatic bid for 2nd place in conference. None of the following schools (South Stokes, Gates County, or Hobbton) will be able to finish 2nd In their respective conferences. I see North Stanly as a 6 seed and the others dropping. There is a good chance Hobbton could lose dropping them to a 10 or 11 seed
 

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
3,964
5,662
113
The differences between Mountie and Highschool OT projections in 1AA besides switching a a few seeds the biggest difference is HS OT has North Rowan in the East and CSD in the West at #12.
In 1A in the West they have Murphy #1 and instead of North Stokes & Allegheny they have North Duplin & Cherokee. In the East they have Rosewood #1 and Gates since they put North Rowan in the 1AA East which pushes Gates to 1A.
While these are just projections and you have to guess on some Friday night outcomes etc I think Mountie did a real good job and lot effort into this and I believe HS OT made at least one mistake he didn't. They have Bear Grass Charter #3 seed in the East but even if they win Friday night even though they are thier conference champions ( two teams) they won't have a .500 record and by the rules won't get an automatic bid and will be an at-large team. Maybe they'll notice and update again.
 

TD-FridayNight

All-American
Oct 28, 2015
7,213
5,809
0
1aa West
1 East Surry
2 Mitchell
3 Mountain Island
4 North Rowan
5 Mount Airy
6 Swain
7 Polk
8 Bessemer City
9 Avery
10 Starmount
11 Union Academy
12 East Wilkes

1aa East
1 Tarboro
2 Holmes
3 Princeton
4 Granville Central
5 Manteo
6 South Stokes
7 Gates County
8 Hobbton
9 North Stanly
10 South Stanly
11 Louisburg
12 East Carteret

1a West
1 Robbinsville
2 Elkin
3 Murphy
4 Thomas Jefferson
5 Hayeville
6 Winston Salem Prep
7 Andrews
8 North Stokes
9 Allegany
10 Albemarle
11 Lakewood
12 East Columbus

1a East
1 North Edgecombe
2 Rosewood
3 Pamlico
4 Northside
5 Washington County
6 Northampton
7 Southside
8 South Creek
9 North Duplin
10 Perquimans
11 KIPP Pride
12 Bear Grass Charter

Big/Small cutoff is Gates 482 and Lakewood 466.
Do you stick with this after the NCHSAA Adjusted MaxPreps Rankings - As of 11/04/19 ?

1 East Surry
2 Mitchell
3 Mountain Island
4 North Rowan
5 Mount Airy
6 Swain
7 Polk
8 Bessemer City
9 Avery
10 Starmount
 

KW2346

All-Conference
Feb 9, 2011
4,283
3,425
113
Mountie predictions is more accurate....highschool ot doesnt have albemarle or north stokes listed anywhere....mountie just needs to move north stanly higher since they will be a 2 seed from there conference.
 

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
3,964
5,662
113
I would love to see the bracket work out like this personally. But for the life of me I don't know enough about this process to understand why two teams like Lakewood and East Columbus would even be in the West. Are there really that many lower ranked 1a schools west of them? East Columbus is about as far west as you can go without taking a swim in the Atlantic lol

I was wondering the same thing. I looked at last year when East Columbus was put in the West them and all the schools in the East are out there together but I guess the East got full and someone had to be put in the West not sure why they got the Short straw, one or two looks barely more West to me on the map but I guess they have it exactly which is.
 

Old Mountaineer

All-American
Nov 4, 2018
3,964
5,662
113
Mountie predictions is more accurate....highschool ot doesnt have albemarle or north stokes listed anywhere....mountie just needs to move north stanly higher since they will be a 2 seed from there conference.

If they ( North Stanly) win Friday night. If they lose you'll have a three way tie. Then they have to have a tie breaker to see who gets second place.
 

tarheelg

Senior
Sep 21, 2001
3,256
702
0
Any games Friday that can flip the cut line? 1A championship coming West for sure.
CSD/PLP might be for the last spot in, WSP needs to beat Bishop McG., Lakewood/Union game could have a bid on line (Union has to win, Lakewood may be ok with loss but I wouldn't want to chance it), Louisburg/Warren Co....Warren has almost no chance even with a win, but Louisburg probably needs a win to stay safe, probably more.....I started looking at 1A/1AA today this afternoon and published blog post at 3:45....my 2A/2AA has been a work in progress all season and finally got posted this week after new ADM numbers and rankings Monday