spot on with all of these.There are a lot of question marks in that lineup. I don't think ANY team challenges PSU, but I would say Nebraska is almost certainly more likely to than OkState, if it doesn't end up being Iowa.
125: Spratley had a GREAT NCAA, but he was also rather beatable during the season. 125 has simply been a toss up amongst 8-12 guys the past couple years. Remember, Figueroa didn't even place the following year.
133: Figueroa is now up to 133 after a year I am sure he wants to forget. Rumors of personal issues could also play a factor...
141: Hughes has a lot to prove to even be consider a point scorer at NCAA's.
149: I like Jamison, but he is a fringe AA type at best.
157: Teague has 2 R16's and is coming off a 7-5 season. As a senior, I doubt much changes.
165: Lockett is an absolute stud. But, 165 isn't exactly an easy weight to come into as a TF. I want to see him against someone like Mantanona or even Sparks, before I consider him a top tier AA.
174: Facundo is probably the guy I want to see succeed the most in that lineup. But, he did go 0-2 his one NCAA appearance. Would like to see him AA, but he is much more likely a R12-R16 type guy at this point.
184: Ryder will AA. To me, he is probably the most "sure thing" in the lineup. Still, the top 5 or 6 guys at the weight are legit and Iowa's Ferrari tops that list....
197: I truly have NO IDEA what to expect from Merril. But, I would lean towards a mid AA finish.
285: Doucet is a 2-2 type at NCAA's...
Even at their most high end, I just don't see them over Iowa or Nebraska, without injuries playing a factor.
125: Give Spratley 2nd again 17 points
133: Even if Figueroa returns to form, I can't put him ahead of Crookham, Byrd and Ayala. So, lets say 4th at 13 points.
141: Hughes gets 2 wins and 2 points.
149: Jamison 8th, nets him 5.5 points.
157: See 141 2 points.
165: Lockett 4th and 14 points.
174: Facundo 7th and 6.5 points
184: Ryder 3rd and 15 points.
197: Merril 3rd and 14 points.
285: Doucet R16 and 2.5 points.
That is 7 AA's and 91.5 points. Nowhere REMOTELY close to challenging PSU and not even to the 100 threshold to really challenge Iowa or Nebraska. To catch one of them, they need some significant injuries from Iowa and Nebraska, while also pretty much having their best possible results at every weight...
Figs is undersized at 133
Lockett is going to be great. Unless Facundo magically gets better at getting to legs AND finishing - he ain't AAing. (see: Young, Carter). Doucet sucks. lol