Actually unrealistic standards are about the worst thing you can have.
My theory is based on analytics models that say Cincy was about the 50th best team and that bottom half of Big12 is better than the Big Ten. People act like Big is good but after PSU, OSU, Michigan and Oregon it is not better if not worse than Big12.
Predictive Analytics Model 2024 end of season as follows. Basically the Big10 had 3-4 teams at top but our Bottom 3 teams were worse than any Big Ten team. Anyone looking at predictive models from last year to this year expected a competitive ball game with Cincinnati. They struggled last year but had 9 dudes on Phile Steeles top four All Big 12 (average team would have 4) including Corleone and that TE that were each on various all Big 12 teams and a returning starter at QB that is pretty decent player and a bad matchup the way we were scheming on defense. According to any predictive model I saw Cincy is expected to better opponent than Maryland, MSU and Northwestern as quite frankly, the bottom quarter of Big was hot garbage last year and all those teams have QB issues this year.
2024 ESPN Analytics
Nebraska 39
Cincinati - 51
Maryland - 69
MSU - 82
Northwester - 89
Purdue - 120
Predicting 7-8 wins with a win over Cincinnati and HCU, Akron, Maryland, MSU and Northwestern on schedule is not far fetched based on predictive analytics models. That is why models predicted 7.5 wins and a 1 score win over Cincy. Nothing has changed from Cincinnati game with run defense being a concern with all new starters on front 6 but offset a lot but what appears to be a complete overhaul of special teams (which not one is talking about)