Sagarin's approach SHOULD be what is used as the primary tool vs. "RPI"
check out his "elo-chess" (RPI)method vs. "predictor" method. Sagarin ranking is a shynthesis of the two- we are a47 (56 elo-chess aka RPI and 36 predictor) - in other words, we haveperformed much better than our w-l record indicates.
basically, the RPI method doesn't care if you lost to uk by 50 pts or lost to them in OT, which to me is ridiculous and terribly inaccurate, but as Sagarin says - it's "politically correct".
the predictor method is a reasonable representation of what you can do in the tournament - the only thing that makes it a bit misleading, is that it doesn't weight the games lighter for the first of the season -- if you are trying to determine who the best teams are going into the tournament, you must weight heavier on the last 6 weeks or so of play.
i appreciate the NCAA trying to take some of the human element out of it, but if they are simply using the "elo-chess" method to do that, it is total garbage. nearly every loss that we have is under 10 pts, and we had the ball with a chance to tie with very little time left. that plus 20+ wins playing in a power conference suggests thatwe are pretty good and would piss a 4 seed off if they had to play us in round 1.
I know i'm a little geeky, but I just crack up whenI see these tools on tv talking about the RPI being like the bible, when it is clearly inaccurate in determining the best teams in the country and who could perform in the tournament.</p>
enjoy........http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/bkt0910.htm
</p>
check out his "elo-chess" (RPI)method vs. "predictor" method. Sagarin ranking is a shynthesis of the two- we are a47 (56 elo-chess aka RPI and 36 predictor) - in other words, we haveperformed much better than our w-l record indicates.
basically, the RPI method doesn't care if you lost to uk by 50 pts or lost to them in OT, which to me is ridiculous and terribly inaccurate, but as Sagarin says - it's "politically correct".
the predictor method is a reasonable representation of what you can do in the tournament - the only thing that makes it a bit misleading, is that it doesn't weight the games lighter for the first of the season -- if you are trying to determine who the best teams are going into the tournament, you must weight heavier on the last 6 weeks or so of play.
i appreciate the NCAA trying to take some of the human element out of it, but if they are simply using the "elo-chess" method to do that, it is total garbage. nearly every loss that we have is under 10 pts, and we had the ball with a chance to tie with very little time left. that plus 20+ wins playing in a power conference suggests thatwe are pretty good and would piss a 4 seed off if they had to play us in round 1.
I know i'm a little geeky, but I just crack up whenI see these tools on tv talking about the RPI being like the bible, when it is clearly inaccurate in determining the best teams in the country and who could perform in the tournament.</p>
enjoy........http://www.usatoday.com/sports/sagarin/bkt0910.htm
</p>
