Schedule

chasepollard

Heisman
Nov 25, 2005
92,918
14,555
48
If he goes 0-2 then he shouldn't be going to NCAA. Can't believe a 60-0 guy would bring up 0-2. :oops:
If my aunt had balls, she’d be my uncle.

In this particular situation, you do not chance missing NCAAs.

Anybody can be beat every single time you toe the line.

Don’t chance it.
 
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Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
2,975
6,092
113
Exactly! Don’t chase the NCAA seed, chase the auto.
He will already allocate and the top 7 will go. I don't see a scenario where 133 does get 7 unless someone gets hurt.

One of those guys would need to beat Jax after he lost to someone else who's gonna allocate. That's not happening Chase.
 

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chasepollard

Heisman
Nov 25, 2005
92,918
14,555
48
He will already allocate and the top 7 will go. I don't see a scenario where 133 does get 7 unless someone gets hurt.

One of those guys would need to beat Jax after he lost to someone else who's gonna allocate. That's not happening Chase.
For the record, I don’t think anyone beats Jax!

I also believe the staff thinks he can win it.

But, the Big Xii hasn’t allocated 7 in several years.
 

Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
2,975
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For the record, I don’t think anyone beats Jax!

I also believe the staff thinks he can win it.

But, the Big Xii hasn’t allocated 7 in several years.
You can't look at past years at all. It's about the guys currently at the weight and them actually allocating with CR , WP and RPI or 2 of the 3
 

chasepollard

Heisman
Nov 25, 2005
92,918
14,555
48
You can't look at past years at all. It's about the guys currently at the weight and them actually allocating with CR , WP and RPI or 2 of the 3
So give me the rundown on how 33 gets enough spots to guarantee Jax gets in regardless of results at the conference tournament.

Educate me.
 

Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
2,975
6,092
113
So give me the rundown on how 33 gets enough spots to guarantee Jax gets in regardless of results at the conference tournament.

Educate me.
No guarantee but when you allocate typically 4-5 guys who allocate don't fall on their face conference weekend. If he was upset and didn't place top 7 he would get one of the 4-6 spots remaining. I listed the 7 guys above take a look at the records and where they're ranked. WS also has an RPI that's pretty accurate
 
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ionel

All-Conference
Jan 5, 2008
2,131
2,205
113
So give me the rundown on how 33 gets enough spots to guarantee Jax gets in regardless of results at the conference tournament.

Educate me.
Jax doesn't want to be guaranteed in, he wants to earn his way in.
 

alephpoke

Junior
May 16, 2023
100
318
58
Okay but when a guy already has a 99% of making the tournament, you should start making decisions based on improving his seed instead of trying to increase his chances of making it to 99.5%.

Maybe getting an RPI ranking ends up being more important for seeding than one big win, but I feel like a win against an undefeated Seidel would go a long way towards improving his seed
 
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Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
2,975
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Then Jax (and rest of our Fr) would get 8 more years correct? :)
At least. The Dusty Hone plan 😂. He was done at Oklahoma st 9 years after he graduated HS. He did a 2 year mission in the middle though.
 

okokzach

All-Conference
Dec 18, 2024
878
2,314
93
All the talk about a Jax hypothetical victory over Seidel boosting Jax seed more than a guaranteed 15-match RPI seems to discount Seidel might not wrestle a la Evan Frost. Seidel will get to 15 without wrestling Jax.

I'm with @chasepollard, a bird in the hand and all.
Seidel definitely would not duck. He sought out Jax for his final PIAA state championship run. And you know ever since that match he's been dying for another chance.
 

98lberEating2Lunches

All-Conference
Feb 11, 2018
764
1,334
93
Seidel definitely would not duck. He sought out Jax for his final PIAA state championship run. And you know ever since that match he's been dying for another chance.

Seidel could've sat other matches to get to 15 he will still have a couple matches at ACCs. I don't see him sitting

Maybe Tony Robie wants to keep his eye on the prize, whatever he sees gives Aaron the best shot at a NCAA title. So it might not matter what Aaron might prefer.

I am open minded to the possibility.

Of course, Seidel will wrestle if Jax doesn't.
 

Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
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Maybe Tony Robie wants to keep his eye on the prize, whatever he sees gives Aaron the best shot at a NCAA title. So it might not matter what Aaron might prefer.

I am open minded to the possibility.

Of course, Seidel will wrestle if Jax doesn't.
The athlete typically decides that nowadays with NIL and rev share . I know most people won't like that but it's just the truth. Some coaches will say it will be up to him if he goes or not
 

Howie_Fartz

All-Conference
Jan 29, 2024
860
3,129
93
Jax's seed at NCAAs will be fine when he beats Ayala in the dual and Larkin in the B12 semis and Frost in the finals regardless of not wrestling seidel. I think he gets the 2 or the 3. I could see Byrd , Davino, and Blaze getting some combo of the 1,4 and 5. Not sure where an undefeated and conference champ Seidel fits in. His best win is Knox. Im of the opinion a guy MIGHT get an easier match in the quarters (rather see a Larkin than some others) but most likely youre getting a hammer that some are picking to win it and the semis will be insane. This weight alone is worth the price of NCAA tix.
 

Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
2,975
6,092
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Jax's seed at NCAAs will be fine when he beats Ayala in the dual and Larkin in the B12 semis and Frost in the finals regardless of not wrestling seidel. I think he gets the 2 or the 3. I could see Byrd , Davino, and Blaze getting some combo of the 1,4 and 5. Not sure where an undefeated and conference champ Seidel fits in. His best win is Knox. Im of the opinion a guy MIGHT get an easier match in the quarters (rather see a Larkin than some others) but most likely youre getting a hammer that some are picking to win it and the semis will be insane. This weight alone is worth the price of NCAA tix.
In that scenario I see it
#1 big 10 champ if undefeated
#2 Jax
#3 big 10 2nd
#4 Seidel
#5 big 10 3rd
#6 Frost
#7 Larkin
 

98lberEating2Lunches

All-Conference
Feb 11, 2018
764
1,334
93
Seidel definitely would not duck. He sought out Jax for his final PIAA state championship run. And you know ever since that match he's been dying for another chance.
People often buy into a media contrived story lines.

Facts are: Seidel was growing. He went up weight classes each year. Seidel was seen as a college 133lber. Northern Lebanon had a capable senior who could hold down 127lbs.

But yeah, it could only be about moving up for the challenge of (aka not going out of his way to avoid) Jax Forrest when seeking his 4th PA state title.

The relative ranking positions of Seidel and Forrest make this meaningless out of conference dual a text book case for Seidel to duck.

I will be pleasantly surprised if Jax and Seidel meet up from a competition standpoint. Still, it would mean one less undefeated conference champion entering NCAA seeding. And it might put Jax in a slightly less desirable position for peaking at NCAAs, having competed in two tournaments just before, assuming he goes to a later tournament.
 
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Corby2

All-American
Jul 14, 2025
2,975
6,092
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People often buy into a media contrived story lines.

Facts are: Seidel was growing. He went up weight classes each year. Seidel was seen as a college 133lber. Northern Lebanon had a capable senior who could hold down 127lbs.

But yeah, it could only be about moving up for the challenge of (aka not going out of his way to avoid) Jax Forrest when seeking his 4th PA state title.

The relative ranking positions of Seidel and Forrest make this meaningless out of conference dual a text book case for Seidel to duck.

I will be pleasantly surprised if Jax and Seidel meet up from a competition standpoint. Still, it would mean one less undefeated conference champion entering NCAA seeding. And it might put Jax in a slightly less desirable position for peaking at NCAAs, having competed in two tournaments just before, assuming he goes to a later tournament.
Well if Jax is going to a tournament its this weekend or next. And theyre not gonna sit him against Iowa. So he either wrestles Sunday against Oklahoma st or he hits an open in PA or SD
 

okokzach

All-Conference
Dec 18, 2024
878
2,314
93
People often buy into a media contrived story lines.

Facts are: Seidel was growing. He went up weight classes each year. Seidel was seen as a college 133lber. Northern Lebanon had a capable senior who could hold down 127lbs.

But yeah, it could only be about moving up for the challenge of (aka not going out of his way to avoid) Jax Forrest when seeking his 4th PA state title.

The relative ranking positions of Seidel and Forrest make this meaningless out of conference dual a text book case for Seidel to duck.

I will be pleasantly surprised if Jax and Seidel meet up from a competition standpoint. Still, it would mean one less undefeated conference champion entering NCAA seeding. And it might put Jax in a slightly less desirable position for peaking at NCAAs, having competed in two tournaments just before, assuming he goes to a later tournament.
I agree too much has been made of him "going up" which makes it seem like he was at a size disadvantage and that isn't true. But however you want to slice it, he was the winningest wrestler in PIAA history and he was going for his 4th state title. He could have easily avoided Jax if he was the type to do that
 

DocVdog

Junior
Jun 30, 2025
153
239
43
No, it’s about qualifications for NCAAs.

The big Xii’s will allocate a certain number of spots at 33. I don’t know that number yet, but say it’s two?

If Jax were to get upset in the semis, he wouldn’t have enough matches to earn an at-large and would miss the NCAA tourney and lose a RS.

IMO, it pays to get the surefire path to Cleveland AND it may get another Big Xii guy a shot at Cleveland.

So, it’s smarter for Jax and better for the conference for him to Wrestle the open.
Agree, if he wrestles this weekend anywhere, he will go post season. Figs will probably wrestle Vtech.
 

DocVdog

Junior
Jun 30, 2025
153
239
43
The Lakin comment confused me I think you meant Larkin but Jax won't be wrestling him . I agree with head to head being worth 25 and RPI 10 winning the head to head will definitely seed him above Seidel. But for seeding you are pointed out against each guy individually. My opinion they should wrestle Jax against Seidel and Ayala and not worry about an RPI
It could be to get reps in too. Comments were that he was a little rusty, though it’s hard for me to understand how one could be a little rusty in the middle of a season, even if it’s high school. Scary to think, if he is rusty now, how will he be come March.
 

okokzach

All-Conference
Dec 18, 2024
878
2,314
93
I agree too much has been made of him "going up" which makes it seem like he was at a size disadvantage and that isn't true. But however you want to slice it, he was the winningest wrestler in PIAA history and he was going for his 4th state title. He could have easily avoided Jax if he was the type to do that
Quotes from Seidel after their championship match:

“I didn't want to win at 127 or 139, I knew I could — I knew that wasn't gonna be the hardest route. I wanted to take the hardest route and beat the best guy in the country, it sucks it didn't happen, but I wouldn’t want to go out at 127 or 139.”

“That's my last match probably ever — I don't think there's anything to be sad about, I’m going to wrestle him in college and I'll beat him next time."

Story: https://www.ldnews.com/story/sports...aron-seidel-jax-forrest-class-2a/79434186007/
 

chasepollard

Heisman
Nov 25, 2005
92,918
14,555
48
It could be to get reps in too. Comments were that he was a little rusty, though it’s hard for me to understand how one could be a little rusty in the middle of a season, even if it’s high school. Scary to think, if he is rusty now, how will he be come March.
Because the difference in FS and folk is more significant than many think.

It is highly plausible to have rust. Gas tank isn’t as good generally, training is much different and the mental side of preparing is different.
 
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DocVdog

Junior
Jun 30, 2025
153
239
43
Supposedly, both Jax and Ramirez are slotted to wrestle this weekend. That would leave me to believe Ramirez will wrestle in post season and Jax came to OSU early to get somewhat of a redshirt year, as Taylor alluded to when Jax first came to Stillwater. I doubt they would scrap RR’s RS for one match with VTech, unless this is not RR’s “6th” match.