SEC 3-point shooting

anon1758050382

All-American
Oct 6, 2022
4,548
6,807
113
We have struggled against teams that shoot and defend the 3-point line. We have had success against teams that don't.

[SEC games only stats]

6 losses:
team3P%Opposing 3P%
Kentucky.407.314
Missouri.376.337
Auburn.375.278
Alabama.368.306
Florida.358.299
Tennessee.327.321
combined.368.310

6 wins:
team3P%Opposing 3P%
Ole Miss (x2).348.308
Vanderbilt.324.410
Georgia.288.311
South Carolina (x2).286.384
combined.314.349

6 remaining:
team3P%Opposing 3P%
Alabama.368.306
Oklahoma.349.319
Texas.306.350
Arkansas.305.345
Texas A&M.301.346
LSU.295.348
combined.321.336

I'll probably regret saying this, but I like the following matchups: Texas, Arkansas, Texas A&M, and LSU
 

MSUDC11-2.0

Heisman
Sep 29, 2022
8,910
13,869
113
That A&M game on Tuesday has a chance to be gross. Both teams in the 50s or 60s kind of game.

You imply Oklahoma is maybe not a good matchup, perhaps that’s true but they are also 3-9 in SEC play and just lost at home to LSU. And they’re at Florida on Tuesday so probably going to be 3-10 when we see them. Feel like we are better than them and that’s a game we should win if we play decently.
 

anon1758050382

All-American
Oct 6, 2022
4,548
6,807
113
You imply Oklahoma is maybe not a good matchup, perhaps that’s true but they are also 3-9 in SEC play and just lost at home to LSU. And they’re at Florida on Tuesday so probably going to be 3-10 when we see them. Feel like we are better than them and that’s a game we should win if we play decently.
Yeah, I'm definitely not conceding the Oklahoma game, but looking at the metric I highlighted, their 3-point numbers (offense and defense) are more in line with our losses than our wins. It's also a road game.

Another way to put it: I like our chances in Fayetteville more than Norman.
 

onewoof

Heisman
Mar 4, 2008
14,969
13,066
113
We have struggled against teams that shoot and defend the 3-point line. We have had success against teams that don't.

[SEC games only stats]

6 losses:
team3P%Opposing 3P%
Kentucky.407.314
Missouri.376.337
Auburn.375.278
Alabama.368.306
Florida.358.299
Tennessee.327.321
combined.368.310

6 wins:
team3P%Opposing 3P%
Ole Miss (x2).348.308
Vanderbilt.324.410
Georgia.288.311
South Carolina (x2).286.384
combined.314.349

6 remaining:
team3P%Opposing 3P%
Alabama.368.306
Oklahoma.349.319
Texas.306.350
Arkansas.305.345
Texas A&M.301.346
LSU.295.348
combined.321.336

I'll probably regret saying this, but I like the following matchups: Texas, Arkansas, Texas A&M, and LSU
Data driven hot takes. This is what we need.

Thanks for sharing.
 

lazlow

Senior
Jul 9, 2009
1,114
435
83
Yeah, I'm definitely not conceding the Oklahoma game, but looking at the metric I highlighted, their 3-point numbers (offense and defense) are more in line with our losses than our wins. It's also a road game.

Another way to put it: I like our chances in Fayetteville more than Norman.
OU's biggest prob is rebounding (they'll prob grab a season high next sat.)
 
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POTUS

Heisman
Sep 29, 2022
3,905
10,327
113
Sometimes it’s really that simple. We don't defend the 3 well. Need bricks from our opponents on the wide open looks we give. Looks like we could potentially go 4-2 though based only off that one stat!
 
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MSUDC11-2.0

Heisman
Sep 29, 2022
8,910
13,869
113
I said this right before we beat A&M and then lost to Oklahoma and Alabama. If we win our final three games, I will start telling people I know ball.

In conference only games, 32% is the mid point of what teams are shooting from 3. Half the league shoots over 32%, the other half shoots below 32%.

We are 2-8 against teams shooting over 32% from 3 in conference play (Ole Miss x2 is the outlier)

We are 5-0 against teams shooting below 32% from 3 in conference play.

LSU, Texas, and Arkansas are all shooting under 32% from 3 in conference play.
 

o_HuntDawg

All-Conference
Oct 25, 2018
3,220
1,583
113
In conference only games, 32% is the mid point of what teams are shooting from 3. Half the league shoots over 32%, the other half shoots below 32%.

We are 2-8 against teams shooting over 32% from 3 in conference play (Ole Miss x2 is the outlier)

We are 5-0 against teams shooting below 32% from 3 in conference play.

LSU, Texas, and Arkansas are all shooting under 32% from 3 in conference play.
yea anything less than a 3-0 finish would be a disappointment in my eyes. I give us some leeway on Arkanasas in Arkansas b/c its on the road and they may be playing for their season....but these 3 games are games good teams win.... and we need a solid stretch... also 10-8 in conference play sure looks better than 9-9.
 

MSUDC11-2.0

Heisman
Sep 29, 2022
8,910
13,869
113
yea anything less than a 3-0 finish would be a disappointment in my eyes. I give us some leeway on Arkanasas in Arkansas b/c its on the road and they may be playing for their season....but these 3 games are games good teams win.... and we need a solid stretch... also 10-8 in conference play sure looks better than 9-9.

My mentality is win the next two at home, no questions asked, and then let’s read the terrain in a week to determine what we need from Arkansas + SEC Tourney.
 
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