SEC Tournament (statistical look at bracket)

[615dawg]

Based on the 615 Index, here is the likely seeding in the SEC Tournament. Just for info. Florida has a 70% chance of winning the overall SEC title, Alabama has a 30% chance.

E1: Florida (100%)
W4: Ole Miss (48%)
E5: Tennessee (30%)

W2: Mississippi State (54%)
E3: Vanderbilt (42%)
W6: Auburn (89%)

W1: Alabama (100%)
E4: Georgia (45%)
W5: LSU (75%)

E2:Kentucky (41%)
W3:Arkansas (52%)
E6: South Carolina (60%)

So if this were our bracket - Vanderbilt (a team we should have beaten), then a pod that we went 4-0 against, do you like our chances to make a run to Sunday? I would much rather play Vandy than Georgia or Kentucky in the quarterfinal. Call me an optimist, but if we can get to Sunday, anything is possible against Alabama/Kentucky.

 

[dawgstudent]

if we don't, we need to hope Ole Miss wins their last 2 and we win Saturday.

 

[tenureplan]

*

 

[615dawg]

W3 is going to have a brutal road. I think we can easily beat everyone in the top half of the bracket. The bottom half, not so much.

 

[the delta dawg]

Is the 2 seed posssible with a loss Saturday? What is we beat SC on Sat and Ole Miss wins Wed & then beats Arky in Oxford on Sat. Then us, Arky, & TSUN would all be 8-8. Who would have the tie-breaker?

 

[the delta dawg]

Answered my own question - we would be #2 in a 3-way tie based on following found on SEC Website.


2. Three-Team Tie (or more): When three of more teams are tied for a division finish, the following procedure will be used in the following order until the tie is broken. A) Total won-lost record of games played among the tied teams (Example: Team A is 3-1, Team B is 2-2 and Team C is 1-3 — Team A would be seeded highest, Team B second-highest and Team C lowest of the three). B) Division won-lost record of the tied teams (10 games). C) Won-lost record of the tied teams versus the No. 1 seed in their division (and proceeding through the No. 6 seed, if necessary). D) Non-division won-lost record of the tied teams (six games). E) Won-lost record of the tied teams versus the No. 1 seed in the opposite division (and proceeding through the No. 6 seed, if necessary). F) Draw by the Commissioner.