So, if we "meet" the low expectations next season?

point1zerorock

All-Conference
Jun 18, 2010
2,187
1,012
0
Most view the 2016 schedule as more difficult. Many think 4-5 wins is the ceiling. That said, if that's the expectation and we meet that expectation (don't underachieve, but still miss another bowl) should Stoops be given a 5th year?
 

UKErik

All-Conference
May 29, 2001
27,441
3,092
0
Honestly man, I think Stoops gets a 5th year even if UK goes 1-11 in '16. Kentucky isn't going to pay him $12 million to go away.

IMO, he needs to get to a bowl in 2017. If he leads UK to a 5th straight losing season, it would be tough to justify bringing him back (unless the product was clearly better).

GBB!!!
 

TJS4UK

Junior
Jun 27, 2002
6,789
281
83
Why not wait till next year to ask that question. Impossible to say without seeing the product or what the 2017 recruiting class looks like. However, if he doesn't make a bowl by 2017, he will likely be on a sizzling hot seat.
 

CatDaddy4daWin

All-Conference
Dec 11, 2013
6,147
1,580
0
Let's not kid ourselves. If the Cats don't win 6 or 7 games next year, gonna be hard to justify keeping Stoops. But it really all depends on how the team plays. Another year like this year and he's gone IMO.

I do think we could be better next year and still only win 5 games. Really worried to see what the shakeout looks like on the roster before spring.

Big plus, roster is pretty much 100% Stoops guys and the first group of seniors. If we can get some better coaching and passion, next year's team can be a bowl team.
 

akaukswoosh

Hall of Famer
Jan 14, 2006
78,857
120,330
93
Honestly man, I think Stoops gets a 5th year even if UK goes 1-11 in '16. Kentucky isn't going to pay him $12 million to go away.

IMO, he needs to get to a bowl in 2017. If he leads UK to a 5th straight losing season, it would be tough to justify bringing him back (unless the product was clearly better).

GBB!!!
Yep. Sure looks like he gets two more years no matter what happens next year.
 

docholiday51

Heisman
Oct 19, 2001
22,011
26,718
0
I think we are potentially at a point that 4 or 5 wins might be 2 or 3 more than we get next year.We are at a point that next season could go either way.Who here thinks we will start 5-0 or 4-1,we have done things like that and still can't post a winning season.Maybe we will be better but right now it is difficult to see how that will happen
 

K_TIME

Heisman
Jan 2, 2003
18,100
24,958
113
He gets 1 maybe 2 years...but it's almost impossible to see UK pulling off a 6-6 in 2016. With the DL we're about to put out there next year....things could be really ugly and fall to a 3-9 performance. If that occurs...UK will go back to days of 20k - 30k range that we saw in JOker's last year. It's going to be ugly as can be I fear.
 

zannmann

Heisman
Feb 17, 2006
23,191
14,781
0
Right now his buy out is 15.5 million, next year it is 12 million. Thanks to Barney he isn't going anywhere.
 

gojvc

All-American
Feb 5, 2005
28,744
7,273
0
Most view the 2016 schedule as more difficult. Many think 4-5 wins is the ceiling. That said, if that's the expectation and we meet that expectation (don't underachieve, but still miss another bowl) should Stoops be given a 5th year?
At first glance the schedule appears more difficult but looking closer, I'm not really so sure. We'll be underdogs in all 5 road games most likely, and in three there would appear to be very little realistic chance for us. But....a lot of the "toss up" type games are at home. You look at those - you have three scheduled victories, South Carolina sucks, Vanderbilt sucks, and there's no Dak Prescot (or maybe even Dan Mullen) at Mississippi State anymore. Only Georgia might project to be really formidable and that's one SEC power program we've actually had some luck against over the years. So the schedule thing doesn't wash. Mark Stoops has done enough to deserve a 4th year but we better get a trip over the 2016 holidays or his time is up IMO.
 

docholiday51

Heisman
Oct 19, 2001
22,011
26,718
0
Right now his buy out is 15.5 million, next year it is 12 million. Thanks to Barney he isn't going anywhere.
We all get that,the question is what will the football program look like in 3 years.Are we looking at a sub Joker situation?
 

Deeeefense

Heisman
Staff member
Aug 22, 2001
43,969
50,641
113
The schedule may be a little harder though it appears at first blush it may have more winnable home games. Honestly though with this team in the state it is in, not knowing which coaches are staying, which are leaving, who's coming in to take their place, and what players might transfer I don't see how anyone can even attempt to make any predictions about 2016 right now.
 
Apr 25, 2015
188
82
0
I don't think we'll see the Joker roster regardless of wins or loses. People just do not realize how bad that was. Next year will be a challenge but I'm looking forward to it.
 

WildcatofNati

Heisman
Mar 31, 2009
8,183
12,420
0
At first glance the schedule appears more difficult but looking closer, I'm not really so sure. We'll be underdogs in all 5 road games most likely, and in three there would appear to be very little realistic chance for us. But....a lot of the "toss up" type games are at home. You look at those - you have three scheduled victories, South Carolina sucks, Vanderbilt sucks, and there's no Dak Prescot (or maybe even Dan Mullen) at Mississippi State anymore. Only Georgia might project to be really formidable and that's one SEC power program we've actually had some luck against over the years. So the schedule thing doesn't wash. Mark Stoops has done enough to deserve a 4th year but we better get a trip over the 2016 holidays or his time is up IMO.
I agree with most of your post, but would take issue with the idea that we have three scheduled victories at home. In fact, right now, I would rate Southern Miss at least as tough as Vandy or South Carolina. But we have five games at home where we can presumably see our as favorites. Without Prescott, Mississippi State might be a lot more winnable than we think.

On the road, we're toast at Tennessee, Florida, and Alabama, and it's not going to be easy to beat Lousville. Mizzou is a tossup probably.
 

UKWildcats#8

All-American
Jun 25, 2011
30,327
9,337
0
At first glance the schedule appears more difficult but looking closer, I'm not really so sure. We'll be underdogs in all 5 road games most likely, and in three there would appear to be very little realistic chance for us. But....a lot of the "toss up" type games are at home. You look at those - you have three scheduled victories, South Carolina sucks, Vanderbilt sucks, and there's no Dak Prescot (or maybe even Dan Mullen) at Mississippi State anymore. Only Georgia might project to be really formidable and that's one SEC power program we've actually had some luck against over the years. So the schedule thing doesn't wash. Mark Stoops has done enough to deserve a 4th year but we better get a trip over the 2016 holidays or his time is up IMO.

How do we know SC will quote "suck" next year? They almost beat UT and almost beat Clemson later this season. I am sure those 3 schools you listed have UK scheduled as a road win IMO as well. I agree, the home schedule is managable but "schedule victories" is comical for UK football at this point in time when it comes to the SEC.

We have 5 near sure losses @UT, @FL, @Bama, @UL (never gonna pick Stoops to beat Petrino again), and UGA (IMO, but your point is fair). So we have to win 6/7 including a bunch of toss up games. Can UK win 4 out of 5 of SC, Vandy, MSU, @Missouri, and Southern Miss (New Mex ST and APSU are sure wins IMO)? Time will tell.
 

gojvc

All-American
Feb 5, 2005
28,744
7,273
0
How do we know SC will quote "suck" next year? They almost beat UT and almost beat Clemson later this season. I am sure those 3 schools you listed have UK scheduled as a road win IMO as well. I agree, the home schedule is managable but "schedule victories" is comical for UK football at this point in time when it comes to the SEC.

We have 5 near sure losses @UT, @FL, @Bama, @UL (never gonna pick Stoops to beat Petrino again), and UGA (IMO, but your point is fair). So we have to win 6/7 including a bunch of toss up games. Can UK win 4 out of 5 of SC, Vandy, MSU, @Missouri, and Southern Miss (New Mex ST and APSU are sure wins IMO)? Time will tell.
To be clear, I always call those OOC games against mid-major/FCS teams "scheduled victories". That's what they're supposed to be even if they turn out to not be. But I'll stick with that because if Stoops loses one of those then the rest of this discussion is moot anyway. I guess what we do know about USCjr is they were 3-9 this year and they'll be a program in transition with a first year coach. They can't be all that great. If we're making the strides we're supposed to be making then I think that should be a "W". But you're right - we have to go 6-1 at home and I think we should be able to do that against this schedule. And if we can't, call Jim Tressel.