And I do think Stans has progressively lost a step.
As far as the NCAA tourney this year, I think from the West, Alabama still has an outside shot since they are 4-1 in league play. They'll probably need to go at least 13-3 in league play to boost their RPI high enough to have a shot at an at large though. Arkansas and Ole Miss have a real long shot due to not completely awful RPIs, but I think either of us would have to finish no worse than 9-1/10-1 in league play and then maybe still would need to do damage in the SEC tourney. That's not happening.
Bama, Arkansas, Ole Miss, and MSU still have a shot at the NIT, but I think even that's a long shot for everyone but Bama, and Bama won't be able to let up if they want the NIT.
If there was ever a year when the SEC West champion could miss postseason play altogether, this is it. I'm betting the division gets 1 team in the NIT, and that's it. I'm gambling on Bama for that bid. Maybe someone gets hot and makes a run through the SEC tourney, but that's the only other way I see a West team in postseason play.
As of yesterday, these were the West RPIs:
Ole Miss - 74
Arkansas - 106
Alabama - 128
LSU - 176
MSU - 179
Auburn - 305
A top 50 RPI is probably needed to have a shot at the tourney. I think Bama with a really good league record and strong finish could sneak in with a top 60 RPI. That's about it. Our RPI isn't too far off of where it needs to be, but we won't finish better than 9-7 in the league, if we're lucky, and that won't be near enough.