Take State +24...Bammer is 1-3 at home vs Spread
- Thread starter Coach34
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I don't think Vegas gives Bama "too much credit" as much as they underestimate..
My Dark Lord's mercy....
oh, and W Kentucky played lights out defensively...
That being said... 24 may be a little high... MSU should be jacked for this game and I expect Bammer have some TrapGameItis...
My Dark Lord's mercy....
oh, and W Kentucky played lights out defensively...
That being said... 24 may be a little high... MSU should be jacked for this game and I expect Bammer have some TrapGameItis...
Much like Mullen has done to teams this year- still too much credit by Vegas. 24 is way too high
Mullen has been closing the gap each year on Bammer:
Lost by 28 in 2009
Lost by 20 in 2010'
Lost by 17 in 2011
And this is Mullen's best team yet- we arent suddenly going to regress. WE will go in, compete, and if we get a break or two- it will be close in the 4th
Mullen has been closing the gap each year on Bammer:
Lost by 28 in 2009
Lost by 20 in 2010'
Lost by 17 in 2011
And this is Mullen's best team yet- we arent suddenly going to regress. WE will go in, compete, and if we get a break or two- it will be close in the 4th
That's what I've made of the +24.
There's probably a good population of Bama sidewalk fans that would take Bama even at -50. Vegas baiting a trap for em on this one.
There's probably a good population of Bama sidewalk fans that would take Bama even at -50. Vegas baiting a trap for em on this one.
This is a really interesting line, and you know that's the case when pretty much every sports talk show in America is talking about it. For the record, I don't think we have a prayer of winning this game. I'll be there on Saturday and I think we have a very good team, but I just don't see it happening.
That said, a spread like that indicates to me that Vegas thinks that Bama is going to get some sort of combination of several quick offensive scores, a Pick 6 or two, or they're going to essentially shut State out. Considering the MSU secondary, TR's progression, and the overall improvement in our offense, I don't see any of those scenarios as being likely.
We'll see what happens but if I wasn't so damn superstitious about betting on State, I'd have taken the points already.
That said, a spread like that indicates to me that Vegas thinks that Bama is going to get some sort of combination of several quick offensive scores, a Pick 6 or two, or they're going to essentially shut State out. Considering the MSU secondary, TR's progression, and the overall improvement in our offense, I don't see any of those scenarios as being likely.
We'll see what happens but if I wasn't so damn superstitious about betting on State, I'd have taken the points already.
The problem with that would be that at 11-14, there would be zero money on State
They have to set a line to get betting on both sides, and 11-14 would be literally giving away money. They wouldn't have anything except a few hard core Bulldogs take the Dogs on that line. All the money would go on the Bama side and then they would lose their *** once Bama wins.
Take off the Maroon glasses. This line was never going to be less than 17 points. I wouldn't touch this game with a 10 foot pole at 24, b/c that number seems about like exactly where it will end up. It could be a few points one way are the other, but I don't think anyone other than SPS and Genespage would believe that the spread is off by more than 3 points either way.
They have to set a line to get betting on both sides, and 11-14 would be literally giving away money. They wouldn't have anything except a few hard core Bulldogs take the Dogs on that line. All the money would go on the Bama side and then they would lose their *** once Bama wins.
Take off the Maroon glasses. This line was never going to be less than 17 points. I wouldn't touch this game with a 10 foot pole at 24, b/c that number seems about like exactly where it will end up. It could be a few points one way are the other, but I don't think anyone other than SPS and Genespage would believe that the spread is off by more than 3 points either way.
We have historically played Alabama pretty close, even in the heydays of the Bear, Stabler, and Namath. We didn't win but one game in the old days, but there were several 1, 2, and 3 point differentials (but also a few blowouts).
This is the best team we've had in many years, and MSU wants this game. Maybe we want it more than Bama does. I think it'll be close, and we very well may win.
This is the best team we've had in many years, and MSU wants this game. Maybe we want it more than Bama does. I think it'll be close, and we very well may win.