I think with Hicks and Meeks, with Berry being gone it's been harder for them to get good looks in the post. I agree that Meeks is what he is, but Hicks has a higher ceiling and I've seen what he can do when his game is on. He's very dangerous. I think the problem is, that without a good PG Roy has a harder time putting together a good lineup. We've seen that time and again. Britt is a capable backup, but it's not a coincidence that our play has dropped off when he takes the point.
However, I do agree whole heartedly that we have a significantly less of a margin for error than you. We have 7 maybe 8 capable players, while Duke has around 9-10, including 3 of the top freshman in the country. If we are to beat you, every single aspect of our game has to be on lock.
I remember after we beat Wisconsin rather handily, I was cautiously optimistic and confident that a more team orientated style play, instead of relying on Marcus and Brice was the right way to go, but I wasn't convinced we were top 3 just yet. After the last 2 games, my caution proved wise. The good news is (for UNC anyway) it's still early in the season and there's plenty of time to make adjustments before ACC play.
I'm still not sure on Hicks. Yes, he's capable of big nights. Yes, he's very talented. But we've known all of those things for four years. What we don't know is can he be a consistent factor? That's the unknown right now. If UNC is going to be really good this season, IMO, they're going to need to be able to rely on Hicks more than just once in a while.
Duke is better than UNC, IMO. That said, I'm biased....but I'm trying to look at it as objectively as you. That was where my comparison to last season came in. We were good enough to beat you on any given night, but our margin for error was so razor thin. This year, I think Duke beats UNC more than UNC beats Duke. But still, I expect two really good games (maybe three) and wouldn't be surprised at all if the Heels tripped us up....no pun intended.
Every season, especially early on, there's a couple sexy picks with the experts. I think UNC jumping out of the gate and looking so good, so soon made them one of those handful of teams. We saw Kansas stumble early, then Duke lost, IU goes down to something called Fort Wayne and so on and so on. Meanwhile, UNC bulldozed their way through Maui and looked to be in complete control. Then they lost to a good team. Then their best player got injured. Now they look pretty ordinary. The season is a marathon and not a sprint....as cliche as that may sound. If completely healthy, I find it hard to see more than five teams that I think can or will be better than the Heels.