If Biden's leads hold up, which it appears it will, I just don't understand why people are having a hard time believing it to be legit. Once you step back and remove the mentality of the angry fan who's pissed off that the refs cost his team a ball game you can use common sense to evaluate everything and see the voter-fraud claims are simply not real.
1. Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016 by beating a historically disliked candidate who had a good portion of her own party turn on her mid-campaign. Trump was able to win 2016 by capturing three historical Democrat strongholds from this despised and disparaged candidate by a total of 77,000 votes across the three states.
2. Donald Trump never achieved close to a 50 percent approval rating from a legitimate polling service in his 4 years in office.
3. Rather than try to win over swaths of voters who opposed him, Trump spent much of his term making clear his disdain for the, "other side." He and his surrogates have been particularly good at stoking divisional flames and directing inflammatory comments and actions toward almost anyone different than him (straight white male).
4. Most every reputable poll has shown Biden consistently in front. Fivethirtyeight, probably as strong as any site I have seen in political data analysis, had been showing Biden as about a 7 point national favorite, with a standard margin off error. Based off the popular vote as it stands now, and attempting to factor in California's nearly 25 percent more votes to calculate, Biden should finish with a little over 52 percent of the vote and Trump should finish at slightly better than 47.5 percent. These are conservative estimates, as Biden will probably fare a little better in California mail-in ballots than he has in-person.
As a side note about Fivethirtyeight, the site's founder, in a piece about voter turnout, projected a few weeks back that Trump would have virtually no shot to win if turnout surpassed 144 million. Today, at the same time Biden was shown to move ahead in Pennsylvania, national voter turnout hit 144 million.
5. The blueprint for the path of this election was evident as early as 9:00 PM on November 3rd.
Joe Biden trailed in Virginia, a state he was projected to handily win, the entire evening. The constant during his trail was Fairfax County, the largest and bluest in the state, was sitting at 25% counted. The county turned reported the remaining votes all at once and Biden went from down a couple points to up six and declared the winner.
The same thing, in reverse order, was happening at the same time in Ohio and Florida. Both those states were allowed to process mail-votes early and Biden got out to an early lead. Once day of, in-person votes began running, Trump walked off with states he was projected to win. The reason Arizona is different than other late counting mail-in voting states is because Republicans have a history of voting in person there so Trump's fearmongering rhetoric did not scare them off.
6. Every analyst worth anything knew Biden would overwhelmingly win mail-in votes nationally. His campaign spent months encouraging it among his voters whereas Trump spent months scaring his supporters into thinking the only way their votes would be counted was in person.
7. Whoever made the statement earlier about crowd sizes at rallies and appearances should look at it the same way as the mail-in versus in-person voting. Beyond that, it is clear that the passion of a few means nothing. New Jersey was a state where Trump supporters shut down an interstate but Biden is currently blowing his doors off at the ballot box.
That's pretty much all I have, except for a couple questions for those who believe the mail-in system has rigged the election for the Democrats.
1. If the Democrats fixed the election by the use of mail-in ballots why didn't they secure the Senate and at least break even in the House races?
2. If you're acknowledging that the above things did happen (not securing Senate, losing seats in the House), do you think the GOP is in on the fix? A collaborative effort to rig the election allow Republicans to take their party back from the Trump family (Kushner has stated he feels Trump came in and did a hostile takeover of the party) and get back to actual Republican politics while maintaining control of the Senate.
1. Donald Trump won the presidency in 2016 by beating a historically disliked candidate who had a good portion of her own party turn on her mid-campaign. Trump was able to win 2016 by capturing three historical Democrat strongholds from this despised and disparaged candidate by a total of 77,000 votes across the three states.
2. Donald Trump never achieved close to a 50 percent approval rating from a legitimate polling service in his 4 years in office.
3. Rather than try to win over swaths of voters who opposed him, Trump spent much of his term making clear his disdain for the, "other side." He and his surrogates have been particularly good at stoking divisional flames and directing inflammatory comments and actions toward almost anyone different than him (straight white male).
4. Most every reputable poll has shown Biden consistently in front. Fivethirtyeight, probably as strong as any site I have seen in political data analysis, had been showing Biden as about a 7 point national favorite, with a standard margin off error. Based off the popular vote as it stands now, and attempting to factor in California's nearly 25 percent more votes to calculate, Biden should finish with a little over 52 percent of the vote and Trump should finish at slightly better than 47.5 percent. These are conservative estimates, as Biden will probably fare a little better in California mail-in ballots than he has in-person.
As a side note about Fivethirtyeight, the site's founder, in a piece about voter turnout, projected a few weeks back that Trump would have virtually no shot to win if turnout surpassed 144 million. Today, at the same time Biden was shown to move ahead in Pennsylvania, national voter turnout hit 144 million.
5. The blueprint for the path of this election was evident as early as 9:00 PM on November 3rd.
Joe Biden trailed in Virginia, a state he was projected to handily win, the entire evening. The constant during his trail was Fairfax County, the largest and bluest in the state, was sitting at 25% counted. The county turned reported the remaining votes all at once and Biden went from down a couple points to up six and declared the winner.
The same thing, in reverse order, was happening at the same time in Ohio and Florida. Both those states were allowed to process mail-votes early and Biden got out to an early lead. Once day of, in-person votes began running, Trump walked off with states he was projected to win. The reason Arizona is different than other late counting mail-in voting states is because Republicans have a history of voting in person there so Trump's fearmongering rhetoric did not scare them off.
6. Every analyst worth anything knew Biden would overwhelmingly win mail-in votes nationally. His campaign spent months encouraging it among his voters whereas Trump spent months scaring his supporters into thinking the only way their votes would be counted was in person.
7. Whoever made the statement earlier about crowd sizes at rallies and appearances should look at it the same way as the mail-in versus in-person voting. Beyond that, it is clear that the passion of a few means nothing. New Jersey was a state where Trump supporters shut down an interstate but Biden is currently blowing his doors off at the ballot box.
That's pretty much all I have, except for a couple questions for those who believe the mail-in system has rigged the election for the Democrats.
1. If the Democrats fixed the election by the use of mail-in ballots why didn't they secure the Senate and at least break even in the House races?
2. If you're acknowledging that the above things did happen (not securing Senate, losing seats in the House), do you think the GOP is in on the fix? A collaborative effort to rig the election allow Republicans to take their party back from the Trump family (Kushner has stated he feels Trump came in and did a hostile takeover of the party) and get back to actual Republican politics while maintaining control of the Senate.