| Conceivably there are 7 SEC teams remaining for 3-4 spots. Here are the current | |||||||||
| rankings by RPI, with conference and overall records beside each team. | |||||||||
| Ranking by RPI | |||||||||
| (1) Florida | 13-5 / 36-6 | ||||||||
| (3) South Carolina | 14-4 / 33-8 | ||||||||
| (4) Texas A&M | 12-6 / 32-8 | ||||||||
| (5) Ole Miss | 10-8 / 31-10 | ||||||||
| (13) Miss. State | 10-8 / 27-13 | ||||||||
| (14) Vandy | 10-8 / 30-10 | ||||||||
| (16) LSU | 10-8 / 27-13 | ||||||||
| Remaining Schedule and projected outcomes: | |||||||||
| I projected the outcomes by using these scenarios: | |||||||||
| Home National Seed possible going 3-0 against non National Seed possibles. | |||||||||
| Home National Seed possibles going 2-1 against other National Seed possibles. | |||||||||
| Visiting National Seed possibles going 3-0 against non National Seed possibles with a losing conference record. | |||||||||
| Visiting National Seed possibles going 2-1 against non National Seed possibles with a winning conference record. | |||||||||
| (1) Florida | Projected Outcome | (3) South Carolina | Projected Outcome | ||||||
| @ South Carolina | 1-2 | Florida | 2-1 | ||||||
| @ Tennessee | 3-0 | @ Kentucky | 2-1 | ||||||
| Vandy | 2-1 | Texas A&M | 2-1 | ||||||
| @ LSU | 1-2 | @ Alabama | 2-1 | ||||||
| (5) Texas A&M | (6) Ole Miss | ||||||||
| @ Arkansas | 3-0 | LSU | 2-1 | ||||||
| Vandy | 2-1 | @ Georgia | 3-0 | ||||||
| @ South Carolina | 1-2 | Kentucky | 2-1 | ||||||
| Ole Miss | 2-1 | @ Texas A&M | 1-2 | ||||||
| (12) Miss. State | (15) Vandy | ||||||||
| @ Alabama | 2-1 | Georgia | 3-0 | ||||||
| Missouri | 3-0 | @ Texas A&M | 1-2 | ||||||
| @ Auburn | 3-0 | @ Florida | 1-2 | ||||||
| Arkansas | 3-0 | Auburn | 3-0 | ||||||
| (17) LSU | |||||||||
| @ Ole Miss | 1-2 | ||||||||
| Arkansas | 3-0 | ||||||||
| @ Tennessee | 3-0 | ||||||||
| Florida | 2-1 | ||||||||
| Every team other than MSU has at least 2 games with other teams comprising the list | |||||||||
| of possible National Seeds. Two, Florida and Texas A&M have 3 series with these teams. | |||||||||
| With 4 series to go, MSU has positioned themselves to be in the National Seed conversation. | |||||||||
| Alabama should be the toughest team left on the schedule. If we can win 2 of 3 there, we | |||||||||
| should be in position to realistically take 7 of the last 9 from the three teams remaining. | |||||||||
| That would put our conference record at 19-10. | |||||||||
| Here are those final conference standings using the outcomes above: | |||||||||
| (3) South Carolina | 22-8 | ||||||||
| (13) Miss. State | 21-9 | ||||||||
| (1) Florida | 20-10 | ||||||||
| (4) Texas A&M | 20-10 | ||||||||
| (16) LSU | 19-11 | ||||||||
| (5) Ole Miss | 18-12 | ||||||||
| (14) Vandy | 18-12 | ||||||||
| Using the scenarios above means we would finish 11-1 over our last 12 conference games. | |||||||||
| Personally, I don't think we can do that with our Sunday play, and I say play because I don't | |||||||||
| think it's all pitching on Sundays. The fielders can do their part to stink things up on Sunday, | |||||||||
| (here I have visions of that little pop up falling in front of our first baseman while he stands | |||||||||
| on the bag for whatever reason). | |||||||||
| I can see however, things playing out pretty close to what is projected for the other teams | |||||||||
| in contention for a National Seed. | |||||||||
| We're in the conversation at least, something I wasn't sure we could do at the beginning | |||||||||
| of the season. If we keep our focus, I believe we can get one of those National seeds. | |||||||||
| Another thing that I think will play into who is selected and who is not is going to be | |||||||||
| how teams play in the SEC tourney. I believe the committee will take the regular | |||||||||
| season resume and let the results in the SEC tourney go into who might get in and | |||||||||
| who they will leave out. | |||||||||
| If two teams are neck and neck going into the tourney and one goes 0-2 while the other | |||||||||
| goes 2-2, I think that might tip the scales for that team. | |||||||||
| So I believe we'll have to wait it out until after the tourney before we know anything for certain. | |||||||||
| Go Dog's! |
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