"I’ve also seen claims the bill increases the deficit. This lie is based on a CBO accounting gimmick. Income tax rates from the 2017 tax cut are set to expire in September. They were always planned to be permanent. CBO says maintaining current rates adds to the deficit, but by definition leaving these income tax rates unchanged cannot add one penny to the deficit. The bill’s spending cuts REDUCE the deficit against the current law baseline, which is the only correct baseline to use."
This is word play and not true. When Trump and MAGA passed the tax cuts, they were set to expire this year. They were not permanent. If they intended them to be permanent, they would've made them permanent then, as they have this time. The baseline takes into consideration what they passed previously. To add them back now does indeed raise the deficit/debt.
"Reconciliation bills are not spending bills. They establish a budget, or propose a budget, but the actual spending must be established in a bill that starts in the House. A separate bill."
Yes, Republicans are still using reconciliation bills. I know this. No, the CBO is not considering parts of spending outside of reconciliation. It's all about the tax cuts. Not only did Trump continue the tax cuts from prior, but now, has added nearly $400 billion of additional cuts without spending cuts to match.
The 2 "gimmicks" from the CBO that Trump is complaining about are the growth rate and including the tax cut extensions. Both are valid, especially considering we're probably going into a recession due to tariffs in Q3/Q4.