The western panhandle has improved to the "abnormally dry" category in the latest drought monitor. Baby steps.
US Drought
- Thread starter DFSNOLE_rivals
- Start date
WFLA Tampa weatherman is worried that the predicted heavy rains from the potential tropical depression/storm may stay offshore
Big Bust Potential 
Very sharp cut off of coastal rain. If I’m being honest, this is both an incredibly tough and likely to be frustrating outcome. Can’t say I’ve ever seen quite this “stark” a contrast on the models, insisting the rain will stay “miles” offshore, hugging the coast for days, but barely moving onshore the whole time.
So the end result is an exaggerated version of what I’ve been talking about which is emphasis for rain on the coast, and when I say “Coast”, it may be “Beach”. That’s what the models show for total rain. A foot over Gulf, a few inches on the Beach, an arid desert
miles inland. I’m only slightly exaggerating.
This is the German model, but most models show something similar with low pressure drifting west into the #Gulf. It makes some sense because it may turn out to be so cloudy that land areas don’t warm enough for rain to break out, so it stays over the warm unstable Gulf casually rubbing up against the Barrier Islands, but only teasing crossing the bridges.
We’ll see… I hope it’s wrong, but I wanted to be transparent about this possibility.
Big Bust Potential Very sharp cut off of coastal rain. If I’m being honest, this is both an incredibly tough and likely to be frustrating outcome. Can’t say I’ve ever seen quite this “stark” a contrast on the models, insisting the rain will stay “miles” offshore, hugging the coast for days, but barely moving onshore the whole time.So the end result is an exaggerated version of what I’ve been talking about which is emphasis for rain on the coast, and when I say “Coast”, it may be “Beach”. That’s what the models show for total rain. A foot over Gulf, a few inches on the Beach, an arid desert
miles inland. I’m only slightly exaggerating.This is the German model, but most models show something similar with low pressure drifting west into the #Gulf. It makes some sense because it may turn out to be so cloudy that land areas don’t warm enough for rain to break out, so it stays over the warm unstable Gulf casually rubbing up against the Barrier Islands, but only teasing crossing the bridges.
We’ll see… I hope it’s wrong, but I wanted to be transparent about this possibility.
WFLA Tampa weatherman is worried that the predicted heavy rains from the potential tropical depression/storm may stay offshore
So the end result is an exaggerated version of what I’ve been talking about which is emphasis for rain on the coast, and when I say “Coast”, it may be “Beach”. That’s what the models show for total rain. A foot over Gulf, a few inches on the Beach, an arid desert
This is the German model, but most models show something similar with low pressure drifting west into the #Gulf. It makes some sense because it may turn out to be so cloudy that land areas don’t warm enough for rain to break out, so it stays over the warm unstable Gulf casually rubbing up against the Barrier Islands, but only teasing crossing the bridges.
We’ll see… I hope it’s wrong, but I wanted to be transparent about this possibility.
The Tampa Shield in effect early?