What will the 2020 POTUS race look like?

[op2]

Of course the big unknown is how Trump does but pretend he's about as popular as he is now, which isn't very popular but considering how hard core his base is and considering how the electoral college works he stay may be able to win in 2020.

Okay, so him aside, what way will the Dems go and more crucially will there be a 3rd party candidate? If there is a 3rd party candidate then I think that would increase Trumps chances greatly, which mitigates against an anti-Trump candidate going 3rd party. OTOH there is such dissatisfaction with both parties it will be tempting for someone to try to buck the system and go 3rd party. And as hard as it is for 3rd party candidates in this country, if there was a time when one might have a chance it could be in 2020 if Trump is still seen as clownish and if the Dems are seen too far left.

Which brings up the point, what kind of Dem will get the nomination? In addition to the GOP infighting, there is Dem infighting. Which wing of the party gets to nominate the candidate? That may be determined by the number and kind of candidates. If there are more candidates from one wing they may split the voting, leading to the nomination of a candidate from the other wing.

And on top of all this, if Trump isn't popular it's not out of the question for a Republican to run against him.

It will be interesting. I think if our political system was more accomodating to 3rd parties we'd have four or so decent sized parties by now. Aside from the Dems and the GOP we'd have Trump's party and Bernie's party.

 

[bamaEER]

Of course the big unknown is how Trump does but pretend he's about as popular as he is now, which isn't very popular but considering how hard core his base is and considering how the electoral college works he stay may be able to win in 2020.

Okay, so him aside, what way will the Dems go and more crucially will there be a 3rd party candidate? If there is a 3rd party candidate then I think that would increase Trumps chances greatly, which mitigates against an anti-Trump candidate going 3rd party. OTOH there is such dissatisfaction with both parties it will be tempting for someone to try to buck the system and go 3rd party. And as hard as it is for 3rd party candidates in this country, if there was a time when one might have a chance it could be in 2020 if Trump is still seen as clownish and if the Dems are seen too far left.

Which brings up the point, what kind of Dem will get the nomination? In addition to the GOP infighting, there is Dem infighting. Which wing of the party gets to nominate the candidate? That may be determined by the number and kind of candidates. If there are more candidates from one wing they may split the voting, leading to the nomination of a candidate from the other wing.

And on top of all this, if Trump isn't popular it's not out of the question for a Republican to run against him.

It will be interesting. I think if our political system was more accomodating to 3rd parties we'd have four or so decent sized parties by now. Aside from the Dems and the GOP we'd have Trump's party and Bernie's party.

I think it depends on what transpires during the midterms.

 

[Mntneer]

Of course the big unknown is how Trump does but pretend he's about as popular as he is now, which isn't very popular but considering how hard core his base is and considering how the electoral college works he stay may be able to win in 2020.

Okay, so him aside, what way will the Dems go and more crucially will there be a 3rd party candidate? If there is a 3rd party candidate then I think that would increase Trumps chances greatly, which mitigates against an anti-Trump candidate going 3rd party. OTOH there is such dissatisfaction with both parties it will be tempting for someone to try to buck the system and go 3rd party. And as hard as it is for 3rd party candidates in this country, if there was a time when one might have a chance it could be in 2020 if Trump is still seen as clownish and if the Dems are seen too far left.

Which brings up the point, what kind of Dem will get the nomination? In addition to the GOP infighting, there is Dem infighting. Which wing of the party gets to nominate the candidate? That may be determined by the number and kind of candidates. If there are more candidates from one wing they may split the voting, leading to the nomination of a candidate from the other wing.

And on top of all this, if Trump isn't popular it's not out of the question for a Republican to run against him.

It will be interesting. I think if our political system was more accomodating to 3rd parties we'd have four or so decent sized parties by now. Aside from the Dems and the GOP we'd have Trump's party and Bernie's party.

Far off, but based on the Dems actions so far, I'd expect them to nominate some far left candidate.

 

[WVPATX]

Of course the big unknown is how Trump does but pretend he's about as popular as he is now, which isn't very popular but considering how hard core his base is and considering how the electoral college works he stay may be able to win in 2020.

Okay, so him aside, what way will the Dems go and more crucially will there be a 3rd party candidate? If there is a 3rd party candidate then I think that would increase Trumps chances greatly, which mitigates against an anti-Trump candidate going 3rd party. OTOH there is such dissatisfaction with both parties it will be tempting for someone to try to buck the system and go 3rd party. And as hard as it is for 3rd party candidates in this country, if there was a time when one might have a chance it could be in 2020 if Trump is still seen as clownish and if the Dems are seen too far left.

Which brings up the point, what kind of Dem will get the nomination? In addition to the GOP infighting, there is Dem infighting. Which wing of the party gets to nominate the candidate? That may be determined by the number and kind of candidates. If there are more candidates from one wing they may split the voting, leading to the nomination of a candidate from the other wing.

And on top of all this, if Trump isn't popular it's not out of the question for a Republican to run against him.


It will be interesting. I think if our political system was more accomodating to 3rd parties we'd have four or so decent sized parties by now. Aside from the Dems and the GOP we'd have Trump's party and Bernie's party.

It all depends on Trump frankly, If Obamacare is overturned and the people generally like the replacement, it helps him greatly. If taxes are reduced, funds are repatriated, companies grow and add jobs, the wall is built and the border more secure and if we are generally kept safe, he benefits greatly. If the military is rebuilt and infrastructure improved (and jobs created), it greatly helps Trump. IMO, it all depends on the economy and jobs for the middle class.

If this doesn't happen, we could see both parties see insurgencies and have 4 potential candidates. The far left progressives, the left liberals, the populist conservatives and the establishment conservatives. That would be a fascinating race.

The ball is in Trump's court.

 

[Keyser76]

Who cares, I can't wait until 2018, but I understand looking forward to a new President, probably sooner than later. Hey, I almost forgot, did the Donald provide any proof of the millions that voted illegally for Hillary? Or are we just supposed to forget the old lies as soon as he comes up with a new one? His credibility is gone with anyone except his Breitbart cheering section and the goobers on boarded up Mainstreet USA.