If you want a real answer...
First, so it doesn't seem like Im trying sugar coat things. The one area where things are a little down, from the past couple years, is interest from the tip top kids as in the 5*s and bordline 5*s. We are still getting plenty of mention but more in the second group looking up instead of being one of the teams being chased. In addition, amongst Michigan fans there is some worry about our OL recruiting (more on this below).
With that said:
1) as mentioned above, this will be a small class. The last couple classes were massive which allowed us to load up early AND keep spaces open to land kids late. This staff has done its best work (in recruiting) in the last month of the cycle. Our staff has been focussed on fewer prospects this year with many deciding late (more on this below).
2) this is the worst year for instate talent I can remember - both from a top end talent and depth perspective. Heck, Michigan didn't even go after the two top rated, by rivals, instate players. Ohio is a bit down also thus the low hanging fruit that you fill up on early just isn't there.
3) I know everyone says there players are underrated but we have 2 verbals that are 4*s on EVERY OTHER site, ranked as the #96 and #107 players nationally by 247,and not even high 3*s here (5.6 REs). They finally upgraded a third kid who was already 4*s everywhere else and as high us the #104 player nationally (247)...but rivals only made him an unranked 4*. In addition, we had a 3* who was invited to and participated in The Opening. So those are some pretty big discrepancies between what rivals and everyone else thinks.
4) speaking of which, the two guys who are rated 3*s here and are top 100 and right outside the top 100 elsewhere are both OL. We brought in a new (well brought back from a past regime) OL coach who has a different philosophy on recruiting. He is going after tall, long armed, super athletic types...that...will need to spend quite some time eating and lifting to get up to weight. Prior we were going after the types that had to cut weight which I guess rivals likes better (note: the last time we had a 1st round pick at OL was a kid he recruited and developed...using the same philosophy).
5) This year the staff has been trying to cash in on the areas where they have been holding satellite camps the last few years. Of our 3 highest rated, according to rivals, commits 2 are from Georgia and 1 is from FLA. Its a nice start but as I'm sure most of you know that when you are talking about kids that our a 1000+ miles away, who have all the big local offers but are open to leaving (and don't have something like a parent who went to your school, relatives in the area, etc.)...more often than not you are talking about battles that will be decided in the last couple months of the cycle. This staff is betting on that they win enough of these battles to put together a stellar class. So I guess we'll have to wait until then to see if Harbaugh and crew still have that mojo.