Things to remember:
1) Bama is coming off a bye week. An extra week with Saban to plan? Advantage Saban.
2) aTm jumped on Bama last year, scoring 20 points in the first quarter. Bama's defense adjusted well in the second half, holding them to only 9 points.
3) Bama had a chance to win it in the dying moments of the game. McCarron threw an uncharacteristic INT on the goal line. A TD would have put Bama on top.
All things considered, I think Bama can win this on the road.