<p class="MsoNormal">Because I have dreams of winning out and making it to a BCS
bowl...call me crazy but it could happen, only if those in front of us fall.
The BCS stipulates that it can take ANY at-large team provided that they are
in the top 14 of the final standings and have at least 9 wins.
All of this is assuming both Oregon and Auburn win out and play
each other in the Championship.
#21 Baylor(7-2, 4-1) @ # 17 Oklahoma State(7-1, 3-1): Baylor
A win by Baylor helps State out by dropping a team ahead of them, but also
hurts them because Baylor could possibly jump us. Both teams still have Oklahoma on the
schedule. So if Oklahoma takes care of business against both and Baylor
wins today, both Baylor and Oklahoma State end the season with 3 losses and
little chance of jumping ahead of a 2 loss state.
#3 TCU(9-0, 5-0) @ #5 Utah(8-0,
5-0): TCU
This one is tough to call as far as which on to cheer for. TCU seems so
far to be the better team and will likely be a BCS at large...a loss by TCU
could drop them, but not out of the top 10 with only 2 games remaining, home against San
Diego State and on the road at New Mexico. If Utah looses they will probably drop a good bit. Utah has a little bit harder schedule ahead,
@Notre Dame, @San Diego State, and finishing at home with BYU. Rivalry
game at the end of the season smells of an upset. Whoever wins this game
is probably going to be the MWC champion and will be in the top 12 and will
receive an automatic BCS bid. What might hurt State is that if these two
teams win out after this week they could steal an at-large bid.
#6 Alabama(7-1, 4-1) @ #10 LSU(7-1, 4-1): Alabama
This one is pretty easy to call, Bama beats LSU and gives the tigers their 2nd
loss of the season and probably drops them to the 15-18 range in the BCS, with
the potential to loose 1 or even possibly 2 more to Ole Miss and Arkansas.
This also sets Bama up to be a top 5 team the next week which, a State victory
in Tuscaloosa
would drop the tide and move State up a bunch of spots. If not in the
human polls, the computer will.
#18Arkansas(6-2, 3-2) @ #19 South Carolina(6-2, 4-2): Arkansas
A victory by Arkansas sets up to improve State resume with a win over them in a
few weeks, with both teams having 3 or more losses by the end of the season
they will drop out of the BCS and push State higher.
#15 Arizona(7-1, 4-1) @ #13 Stanford(7-1,
4-1): Arizona
With both of these team being equal you have to look at their future schedules
to predict their futures. Stanford has a pretty easy schedule down the
road with with games @Arizona State, @Cal, and at home against Oregon State...all
very winnable games. The fighting ninjas still have USC at home, @Oregon,
and end at home against Arizona State, which they will lose at least one against Oregon and possibly all
3. A win by Arizona
gives Stanford their 2nd loss and prevents them from finishing 11-1.
I figure the automatic bids go this way:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Auburn[/b] SEC champ.</p><p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Oregon[/b] Pac-10
champ.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Boise[/b] WAC
champ and in BCS top 12</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">TCU/Utah[/b] winner
MWC champ and in BCS top 12</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">ACC champ.[/b]</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Big 10 champ.[/b]</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Big 12 champ.[/b]</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Big East champ.[/b]</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">At large:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">1: Big 10 runner up</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2: Dare I say Mississippi
State University</p><p class="MsoNormal">If the Oregon/Auburn match-up happens then State is in New Orleans.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">If a Oregon/Boise match-up happens then State end up at one
of the other 3 bowls.</p>
bowl...call me crazy but it could happen, only if those in front of us fall.
The BCS stipulates that it can take ANY at-large team provided that they are
in the top 14 of the final standings and have at least 9 wins.
All of this is assuming both Oregon and Auburn win out and play
each other in the Championship.
#21 Baylor(7-2, 4-1) @ # 17 Oklahoma State(7-1, 3-1): Baylor
A win by Baylor helps State out by dropping a team ahead of them, but also
hurts them because Baylor could possibly jump us. Both teams still have Oklahoma on the
schedule. So if Oklahoma takes care of business against both and Baylor
wins today, both Baylor and Oklahoma State end the season with 3 losses and
little chance of jumping ahead of a 2 loss state.
#3 TCU(9-0, 5-0) @ #5 Utah(8-0,
5-0): TCU
This one is tough to call as far as which on to cheer for. TCU seems so
far to be the better team and will likely be a BCS at large...a loss by TCU
could drop them, but not out of the top 10 with only 2 games remaining, home against San
Diego State and on the road at New Mexico. If Utah looses they will probably drop a good bit. Utah has a little bit harder schedule ahead,
@Notre Dame, @San Diego State, and finishing at home with BYU. Rivalry
game at the end of the season smells of an upset. Whoever wins this game
is probably going to be the MWC champion and will be in the top 12 and will
receive an automatic BCS bid. What might hurt State is that if these two
teams win out after this week they could steal an at-large bid.
#6 Alabama(7-1, 4-1) @ #10 LSU(7-1, 4-1): Alabama
This one is pretty easy to call, Bama beats LSU and gives the tigers their 2nd
loss of the season and probably drops them to the 15-18 range in the BCS, with
the potential to loose 1 or even possibly 2 more to Ole Miss and Arkansas.
This also sets Bama up to be a top 5 team the next week which, a State victory
in Tuscaloosa
would drop the tide and move State up a bunch of spots. If not in the
human polls, the computer will.
#18Arkansas(6-2, 3-2) @ #19 South Carolina(6-2, 4-2): Arkansas
A victory by Arkansas sets up to improve State resume with a win over them in a
few weeks, with both teams having 3 or more losses by the end of the season
they will drop out of the BCS and push State higher.
#15 Arizona(7-1, 4-1) @ #13 Stanford(7-1,
4-1): Arizona
With both of these team being equal you have to look at their future schedules
to predict their futures. Stanford has a pretty easy schedule down the
road with with games @Arizona State, @Cal, and at home against Oregon State...all
very winnable games. The fighting ninjas still have USC at home, @Oregon,
and end at home against Arizona State, which they will lose at least one against Oregon and possibly all
3. A win by Arizona
gives Stanford their 2nd loss and prevents them from finishing 11-1.
I figure the automatic bids go this way:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Auburn[/b] SEC champ.</p><p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Oregon[/b] Pac-10
champ.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Boise[/b] WAC
champ and in BCS top 12</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">TCU/Utah[/b] winner
MWC champ and in BCS top 12</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">ACC champ.[/b]</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Big 10 champ.[/b]</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Big 12 champ.[/b]</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"><b style="">Big East champ.[/b]</p>
<p class="MsoNormal"></p>
<p class="MsoNormal">At large:</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">1: Big 10 runner up</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">2: Dare I say Mississippi
State University</p><p class="MsoNormal">If the Oregon/Auburn match-up happens then State is in New Orleans.</p>
<p class="MsoNormal">If a Oregon/Boise match-up happens then State end up at one
of the other 3 bowls.</p>