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Notre Dame

Urban Meyer, Mark Ingram agree on Notre Dame's win total of 10.5 for 2025 season

On3 imageby: Dan Morrison05/15/25dan_morrison96
Marcus Freeman, Notre Dame
Notre Dame head coach Marcus Freeman, flanked by offensive linemen Pat Coogan (left) and Rocco Spindler (right). (Brett Davis-Imagn Images)

Coming off a trip to the College Football Playoff National Championship Game, Notre Dame is looking to make another deep run in 2025 and potentially win the national championship. Standing in its way is a potentially tricky regular season schedule.

On The Triple Option, former running back Mark Ingram and forward head coach Urban Meyer looked at Notre Dame’s win total that Vegas has set at 10.5 games. There, they agreed that this season the Irish are likely to win 10 or fewer games.

“I don’t have them winning 10.5 games,” Ingram said. “I see two losses on this thing somewhere, just in the first four games… I’m sorry, Fighting Brady Quinns. I don’t have you guys over 10.5 wins.”

Notre Dame will open the season with a challenging September. The Irish open with a road trip against Miami. They’ll then return home to play Texas A&M amid a string of four Power Four opponents to open the season. In total, they’ll play 10 Power Four opponents. One of the only two Group of Five teams on the schedule is Boise State, a CFP team from last season.

“I love Notre Dame,” Ingram said. “I love Marcus Freeman, I like the Irish, I like the four-leaf clover, I like Rudy, I like the gold helmets, but I don’t see 11 wins. I’ve got to go under in the crystal ball. I’ve got to go under.”

Meyer, for his part, still expects Notre Dame to be good. The problem is that it faces three teams with equal talent in recruiting, from his perspective. To get above 10.5 wins, they’d have to win at least two of those games and avoid an upset somewhere else on the schedule.

“I’m gonna take a different swing,” Meyer said. “There’s only three teams on that [schedule] that will have the same checkers as Notre Dame. When you look at the sideline, there’s only three teams that recruit that level of player — USC, A&M, and Miami. USC is still a year away from being that level, in my opinion. A&M, I don’t know enough about. I’ve got to study them. Miami is going to be a tough one. So, I think Vegas is right on it with 10. I don’t see 11, though.”

Ahead of the season, Notre Dame does have several other questions it needs to answer as well. The most notable of those is going to be who wins the starting quarterback job going into the season. Without figuring that out, the Irish won’t have a chance to go over 10.5 wins.