2025 NCAA Tournament: Where every potential regional host stands entering conference tournaments

College baseball’s postseason has arrived. Over the next week, conference tournaments will be underway with teams fighting for their position in the NCAA Tournament. That spans from teams on the bubble all the way up to teams fighting to host a regional.

On Sunday, On3 released our latest Field of 64 projections. On the hosting line, eight came from the SEC. The other half of the top 16 came from the ACC (4), Big Ten (2), Sun Belt (1) and independent Oregon State.

In the top eight alone, six SEC teams got the nod. Of course, what happens during conference tournaments will changee the outlook, but we have a pretty good idea on what the top 16 will look like in the end.

The full NCAA Tournament field will be unveiled during the selection show on Monday, May 26. Keep track of every conference tournament and who wins the automatic bids here.

Current Top 8 Regional Hosts

Texas (1), Vanderbilt (2), North Carolina (3), Arkansas (4), Georgia (5), LSU (6), Oregon (7), Auburn (8)

To no surprise, the SEC is heavily represented at the top. Texas (42-11, 22-8 in SEC, No. 4 in RPI, 17-10 in Q1 games) is the frontrunner for the top overall seed, winning the SEC regular season. Vanderbilt (39-16, 19-11 in SEC, No. 3 in RPI, 15-14 in Q1 games) and Arkansas (43-12, 20-10 in SEC, No. 5 in RPI, 14-9 in Q1 games, along with Texas, feel safe as a top eight no matter what happens this week.

That leaves Georgia, LSU and Auburn from the SEC. Georgia is the top-ranked RPI team, sitting 42-14 overall and 18-12 in the SEC with an 11-10 Q1 record. At No. 1 in RPI, the Bulldogs are also safe as a top eight. LSU is 42-13, 19-11 in the SEC, No. 8 in RPI and 13-10 in Q1 games. The Tigers are undoubtedly on the right side of the top eight right now, and likely will be on Selection Monday. Still, with RPI hovering right at 8, it’s possible another team leaps them.

Finally, Auburn is 38-17 overall, 17-13 in the SEC, 15-12 in Q1 games and No. 2 in RPI. They sit behind the teams in front of them in terms of SEC standings, but they are also comfortable right now as a top eight. It would take a lot for any of those SEC teams to fall out of the top eight.

That leaves North Carolina (39-12, 18-11 in ACC, No. 7 in RPI, 8-5 in Q1 games) and Oregon (41-13, 22-8 in Big Ten, No. 12 in RPI, 9-1 in Q1 games). UNC fell just short of the regular season ACC crown, but still sit in a great spot. They have a non-conference RPI of No. 2, which will boost them at least a little bit. A quick exit in the ACC Tournament could put them on the top eight bubble. As for Oregon, they stormed back to clinch the top seed in the Big Ten Tournament and a share of the regular season title. The Ducks would be served well to have a good showing this week regarding their top 8 chances. Even if they don’t, they likely won’t fall too much lower.

Top 8 Contenders

Oregon State (9), Clemson (10), Coastal Carolina (11), Alabama (12), Georgia Tech (13), Florida State (14)

Oregon State was forced to play an independent schedule this year, but still finished No. 6 in RPI with a 41-12-1 record. They went 10-9 in Q1 games, and No. 9 might be their ceiling due to the lack of a conference tournament to boost their resume. But if they get help around them, the Beavers have a shot to move up.

The group of ACC teams fighting to host as a top eight is an interesting one. Clemson struggled at times down the stretch, but finished 41-15, 18-12 in the ACC, No. 10 in RPI and 8-9 in Q1 games. Georgia Tech is No. 20 in RPI, but finished 39-16 overall, 19-11 in the ACC, 12-10 in Q1 games and won the ACC regular season. Florida State finished 37-13, 17-10 in the ACC, No. 14 in RPI and 12-9 in Q1 games. All three feel safe as a host, although Georgia Tech’s RPI could limit them if they don’t play well in the ACC Tournament and it drops. Still, all three are in contention for a national seed.

That leaves Coastal Carolina (44-11, 26-4 in Sun Belt, No. 11 in RPI, 4-5 in Q1 games) and Alabama (40-15, 16-14 in SEC, No. 9 in RPI, 14-11 in Q1 games). The Chanticleers ran away with the Sun Belt regular season, and last year’s committee showed to value conference champions a lot. Still, they have just four Q1 wins which could limit their upside as a host, though they are likely a lock to host. As for Alabama, they are top ten in RPI and are one of six teams with 14 Q1 wins. Though the Crimson Tide are ranked below some other teams, they probably have the best chance to slide up into the top eight if teams around them fall.

Hosting Bubble

Ole Miss (15), UCLA (16), TCU, Southern Miss, Florida, Tennessee, Dallas Baptist, UTSA

Ole Miss (37-18, 16-14 in SEC, No. 18 in RPI, 16-14 in Q1 games) and UCLA (39-15, 22-8 in Big Ten, No. 15 in RPI, 3-7 in Q1 games) got the nod as our final two hosts entering conference tournaments. The Rebels are in a great spot all of a sudden, and their 16 Q1 wins are a strong selling point. UCLA is far less secure, and it’ll be interesting to see how the committee balances a share of the regular season Big Ten title with just three Q1 wins. The Bruins feel like they need a strong showing this week to hang on to their spot as a host.

The rest of the bubble, to say the least, is heated. Southern Miss (41-13, 24-6 in Sun Belt, No. 21 in RPI, 7-4 in Q1 games) has a hosting-caliber resume. If they win, or go on a deep run in the Sun Belt Tournament, they’re going to host, more than likely. The only question is who do they push out? TCU (37-17, 19-11 in Big 12, No. 17 in RPI, 7-7 in Q1 games) was another tough cut. It’s important to note that the Big 12 has zero hosts in this week’s projections. If the Horned Frogs have a good week and win some more games, they’re going to make a strong push to be at home next weekend.

The two SEC teams on the outside are on very different trajectories. Florida (37-19, 15-15 in SEC, No. 13 in RPI, 11-16 in Q1 games) started 1-11 in SEC play, but have gone 14-4 since. The Gators will need some help, but a run in Hoover will have them in the mix to host. Tennessee (41-15, 16-14 in SEC, No. 16 in RPI, 12-10 in Q1 games) started 8-1 in SEC play, but are 8-13 since. The Vols have lost five consecutive series, six of their last seven, and have just four SEC series wins. Tennessee needs a strong showing in Hoover to even have a chance.

Finally, Dallas Baptist (38-14, 21-6 in Conference USA, No. 19 in RPI, 4-4 in Q1 games) and UTSA (42-11, 23-4 in AAC, No. 22 in RPI, 5-4 in Q1 games) are in the mix, too, though they’ll need some help. Both are regular season conference champions. Dallas Baptist’s non-conference RPI of No. 13 and non-conference strength of schedule of No. 15 boost them further, while UTSA’s non-conference RPI of No. 44 and non-conference SOS of No. 150 make them a longshot.