Arkansas vs. Missouri odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Razorbacks, Tigers

The Arkansas Razorbacks are getting set to take on the Missouri Tigers on Wednesday in an SEC battle. It’s a game that both teams need to win to get their season back on track and make a push during conference play.

Arkansas enters the game 10-10 and just 1-6 in SEC play. The Razorbacks have also lost three in a row. Meanwhile, Missouri is 8-12 on the season and 0-7 in conference play. With that, the Tigers have lost seven straight games. Both teams are toward the bottom of the conference standings but a win would potentially give them something to build on over the next month and a half of the season.

Ahead of the game, here is a look at the odds, win probability, and final score predictions for the game between the Razorbacks and the Tigers.

Odds for Arkansas vs. Missouri

Entering the game, Missouri is a 5.5-point favorite over Arkansas, according to FanDuel. The Tigers are listed at -245 for the game’s moneyline while the Razorbacks are currently listed at +198.

The current point total for this game is 143.5 points. In the Razorbacks’ last three games, there were fewer points scored than that while the Tigers are coming off two games in a row where fewer points than that were scored.

Final score predictions for Arkansas vs. Missouri

BPI Predicted winner: Missouri
BPI Predicted point differential: 4.9
BPI Win probability (for Mizzou): 67.6 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 67.6

BPI is a model from ESPN that is designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success. In this case, it agrees with Vegas about what to expect from this game. BPI is projecting a point differential of 4.9 points in Missouri’s favor. It is also giving the Tigers a 67.6 percent chance to win the game.

Interestingly, BPI also gives this game a matchup quality score of 67.6, which coincidentally is the same as the Tigers’ chance to win. It is the 13th-best quality score of the day.

KenPom Predicted final score: Missouri 74, Arkansas 71
KenPom Win probability (for Mizzou): 62 percent

KenPom, like BPI, is a predictive system for college basketball. It’s designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. For this game between Arkansas and Missouri, KenPom agrees with BPI and Vegas, projecting the Tigers to win by three points.

How to watch Arkansas vs. Missouri

Time: 8:30 p.m. ET
Channel: SECN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Columbia, MO

On Wednesday, Arkansas will travel to Columbia to take on Missouri at Mizzou Arena, making this a home game for the Tigers. The game will tip-off at 8:30 p.m. ET.

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Fans who can’t make it to Columbia for the game can watch it on the SEC Network. It will also be available for streaming on FuboTV, which has an option for a free trial.