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South Carolina vs. Tennessee odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Gamecocks, Vols

Screen Shot 2024-05-28 at 9.09.17 AMby: Kaiden Smith01/30/24kaiden__smith

The No. 1 and No. 2 ranked teams currently in the SEC standings will square off on Tuesday night, as Tennessee will host South Carolina in a matchup featuring two squads that have gotten off to red hot starts in conference play.

The No. 6 ranked Vols will look to secure their fifth straight win on Tuesday following an impressive run of dominant victories over conference opponents. While South Carolina will look to continue adding to their impressive bounce back season in year two under head coach Lamont Paris, who will seek out the Gamecocks’ 18th win of the season after winning just 11 total games a season ago.

The stage is set for two of the Southeastern Conference’s best to square off in Rocky Top, and with that in mind, here’s everything you need to know about the game from how to watch it to who the experts favor to secure the win.

Odds for South Carolina vs. Tennessee

Entering Tuesday night’s matchup, the Volunteers are heavy 14.5-point favorites on their home court over South Carolina according to FanDuel Sportsbook. Tennessee also has steep -1700 odds to win outright while the Gamecocks currently sit at +890 for the moneyline, providing a nice payout if picking them to win outright in an upset.

The point total for the game is currently set at an over-under of 136.5, with Vegas clearly anticipating a defensive matchup representing one of the lowest point totals in Tuesday’s slate of games.

Final score predictions for South Carolina vs. Tennessee

BPI Predicted winner: Tennessee
BPI Predicted point differential: 15.6
BPI Win probability (for Tennessee): 92 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 76.6

ESPN’s BPI (Basketball Power Index) agrees with the FanDuel odds for Tuesday’s SEC showdown, predicting a 15.6-point differential in favor of Tennessee while also giving the Vols a sky high win probability of 92%.

The BPI is a model designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success, also giving the upcoming matchup between South Carolina and Tennessee a matchup quality score of 76.6, representing the ninth best game on Tuesday’s college basketball schedule.

KenPom Predicted final score: Tennessee 75, South Carolina 63
KenPom Win probability (for Tennessee): 87 percent

KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball, designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account.

Like ESPN’s BPI and FanDuel, KenPom agrees that Tennessee will come out victorious on Tuesday night, giving the Vols an 77% chance of winning the ballgame and forecasting a 12-point win over South Carolina with a score that’s just one point off of the exact outcome of Tennessee’s last game against Vanderbilt.

How to watch South Carolina vs. Tennessee

Time: 6:30 p.m. ET
Channel: SEC Network, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Knoxville (TN)

Tennessee returns to Thompson-Boling Arena on Tuesday where they haven’t lost a single game so far this season. The Volunteers have protected their home court with an impressive 10-0 record in Knoxville, and even did so last year, not suffering a home loss since they fell to Missouri on February 11 of last year.

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South Carolina’s impressive 17-3 record this year represents a massive improvement from last season, but two of their three losses were on the road, falling to Clemson in non-conference play and the SEC’s current top seed Alabama earlier this month.