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USC vs. Arizona odds: Win probability, final score prediction for Trojans, Wildcats

Screen Shot 2024-05-28 at 9.09.17 AMby: Kaiden Smith01/17/24kaiden__smith
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Jayne Kamin-Oncea-USA TODAY Sports

Arizona hosts USC in a Pac-12 showdown on Wednesday night in a matchup that will feature some of the conference’s top players squaring off against one another.

Players like Boogie Ellis, Caleb Love, and freshman Isaiah Collier will all share the court tonight and are also all top 10 point scorers in the Pac-12 so far this season. It’s safe to say plays will be made, as both teams brightest stars will look to make an impact and secure their team a much needed win with both squads coming off of losses in their last matchup.

Ahead of Wednesday night’s action, here’s everything you need to know from point spreads, to score predictions, to how to make sure you don’t miss any of the action after the opening tip off.

Odds for USC vs. Arizona

According to FanDuel, Arizona enters Wednesday night’s matchup as 19.5-point home favorites over USC. The Wildcats are also set at steep -4000 odds if bettors wanted to take them to win the game outright, with USC holding +1400 odds on the moneyline.

FanDuel also has the point total line set at 140.5 points, with USC notably boasting a 12-5 record against the over-under this season.

Final score predictions for USC vs. Arizona

BPI Predicted winner: Arizona
BPI Predicted point differential: 19.5
BPI Win probability (for Arizona): 93.6 percent
BPI Matchup Quality: 76.6

ESPN’s BPI is designed to provide a statistical comparison between two teams and predict future success, and like FanDuel, the model predicts a dominant performance from the Wildcats. Similar to the point spread, ESPN’s BPI expects Arizona to win by 19.5 points over USC, giving them a high 93.6% chance of defeating the Trojans.

BPI also gave the game a matchup quality score of 76.6, making the Wildcats and Trojans’ showdown the eighth-best matchup on Wednesday night’s slate of games.

KenPom Predicted final score: Arizona 88, USC 72
KenPom Win probability (for Arizona): 94 percent

Like ESPN’s BPI, KenPom is another predictive system for college basketball designed to show how strong a team is at a given time, without taking factors like injuries into account. KenPom also has confidence that the Wildcats will win on Wednesday, giving them a 94% chance and predicting a win-margin of 16 points.

How to watch USC vs. Arizona

Time: 10:00 p.m. ET
Channel: ESPN, FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Tucson (AZ)

Arizona will host USC in the McKale Center on Wednesday night, a venue the Wildcats have defended well boasting an undefeated record at home so far this season. On the flip side USC has struggled on the road recently, going 0-3 in their last three away games as they still seek their first road win of conference play on the year.

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The Wildcats may be heavy favorites ahead of tonight’s showdown, but they have shown some vulnerability this season, already dropping two games in conference play this season. Four games ago they fell to a Stanford team that USC has defeated already this season, and will also look to shake back from a loss to Washington State in their latest matchup.