Ole Miss vs. Texas A&M odds: Win probability, final score prediction in SEC Tournament

Tonight in the 7-10 game as part of Day 2 of SEC Tournament play, Texas A&M begins another quest for the tourney championship vs. Ole Miss after coming in runner-up each of the last two seasons.

The Aggies limped into Tampa off a very up-and-down conference slate in 2021-22 and ultimately made a spirited run to the championship game on Sunday before having their hearts broken by barely being left out of the NCAA Tournament field anyway. Well, they’re in a similar situation this year and it’s the Rebels who stand in their path before a second-round rematch with Kentucky for whoever wins this game.

Before tip-off later this evening, check out all of the relevant information on the matchup below — point spreads, predictions, TV info, etc.

Odds for Ole Miss vs. Texas A&M

FanDuel spread: Texas A&M -5.5 points
FanDuel money line: Texas A&M (-225), Ole Miss (+184)
FanDuel over/under: 141.5 total points

Texas A&M fans might be pretty surprised to see the Aggies only favored by 5.5 points on FanDuel, which is actually a decent amount considering these two teams finished very close to each other in the standings. However, they actually faced one another in their last game of the regular season, with A&M winning in Oxford by 26 points. Although, the Rebels did win in College Station back in January.

Final score predictions

KenPom final score: Texas A&M 74, Ole Miss 70
KenPom win probability: Texas A&M 64%

A&M gets the KenPom nod as well with a predicted four-point victory, a bit lower than the spread suggests it will be. Really, Ole Miss has been on a downslide ever since their last matchup. The Rebels were 4-3 in league play after that win and then got to 5-3, but after that, they lost eight of 10 to end the regular season. So, Texas A&M is certainly playing the better ball as we enter the postseason.

BPI prediction: Texas A&M by 5.4 points
BPI win probability: Texas A&M 74.3%
BPI matchup quality: 78.4 (23rd of the day)

To wrap up an A&M sweep in the prediction game, ESPN’s Basketball Power Index is more in line with FanDuel than KenPom, believing in a win by more than five points for the Aggies. Meanwhile, it also gives A&M nearly a three in four chance of pulling off the win to survive and advance.

How to watch

Time: 7 p.m. ET / 6 p.m. CT
Channel: (SEC Network), FuboTV (streaming)
Location: Nashville, Tennessee (Bridgestone Arena)

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After their losing streak, Ole Miss is now in need of an SEC Tournament title to make the NCAA Tournament. Meanwhile, Texas A&M is square on the bubble and once again needs to make a splash in the SEC tourney to give themselves a shot at the Big Dance. Beating Ole Miss, and then Kentucky, could really do wonders for their cause.