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Michigan vs. Nebraska: Keys to victory, HuskerOnline score predictions for Saturday

On3 imageby: Sean Callahan22 hours agoSean_Callahan
Matt-Rhule-reveals-how-he-prepares-Dylan-Raiola-for-the-storyline-of-battling-Bryce-Underwood
Nebraska's Dylan Raiola and Michigan's Bryce Underwood. © Dylan Widger-Imagn Images | © Junfu Han / USA TODAY NETWORK

Nebraska will kick off Big Ten play at home against No. 21 Michigan (2-1) on Saturday. The Huskers (3-0) are 0-27 in games against ranked opponents since their last win in 2016.

As things get closer to kickoff, here are today’s keys to victory for NU over the Wolverines.

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Nebraska enters today’s game as a light 1.5-point underdog against Michigan. Kickoff is set for 2:30 p.m. on CBS.


KEY TO VICTORY: Michigan vs. Nebraska

KEY 1: A sound plan to stop the run

We know what Michigan is going to try to do in this football game. They are going to test the teeth of this Husker defense. What will John Butler’s plan be to slow down their running attack led by Justice Haynes?

KEY 2: Recognize Michigan pressure packages

One thing you can expect from Michigan’s defense is a lot of different looks and pressure. They are going to bring a lot at quarterback Dylan Raiola and not let him get comfortable in the pocket. Raiola is 55-of-66 for 618 yards and seven touchdowns when teams only rush four at him, according to PFF. Both of his turnover-worthy plays have come when he’s been under pressure.

KEY 3: Contain Underwood’s QB scramble runs

Of quarterback Bryce Underwood’s 11 rushing attempts on the season, seven have been QB scrambles on pass plays that have gone for 96 yards. He’s had one zone read run and two gap-designed runs that have gone for 22 yards. Six of his 11 rushing attempts have gone for 10+ yards and converted first downs. A lot of it will come down to discipline up front for the Husker defense and not creating rush lanes for Underwood.

KEY 4: 25+ quality touches for Emmett Johnson

Nebraska has been gearing Emmett Johnson up for this day. The last two weeks, Johnson has taken a limited rep load. Today, they are going to need Johnson to probably have at least 25 quality touches on the ground and through the air to win this football game.

KEY 5: Make the crowd a factor like it was in Kansas City

With a true freshman quarterback and an interim head coaching staff, Nebraska needs to make the crowd a factor. In Arrowhead Stadium, NU was responsible for four false start penalties on third down. Three led to punts. You would love to see something similar again today, where the crowd can impact the game.


Expert takes

Sean Callahan – HuskerOnline Publisher

Prepare for a four-quarter fight. This will be a back-and-forth ball game, but the difference will be the home crowd and QB Dylan Raiola. The Huskers will give up some yards on the ground, but Raiola will out-duel Bryce Underwood to lead Nebraska to a 3-point win.

Nebraska 26, Michigan 23


Steven Sipple – HuskerOnline columnist

In order to win this game, Nebraska will have to defy the football axiom that the team that can run the ball best and stop the run best should generally be the pick. Nebraska will rely heavily on Dylan Raiola, special teams, its strong secondary, and what should be a roaring crowd. This one will go down to the wire, but the home team will defy the axiom and get a colossal win for the program.

Nebraska 31, Michigan 28


Robin Washut – HuskerOnline senior writer

This is a matchup where I think Nebraska has every opportunity to win the game and propel what could be a breakout season. However, I remain in the camp that until I see NU finally pull out a victory like this, I have trouble believing it will happen. Hopefully, the Huskers prove me wrong, but after years of watching them fall short in these situations, I’m taking Michigan.

Michigan 24, Nebraska 21


Andy Kendeigh – KETV ABC-Omaha

We can talk about Dylan Raiola’s 76% completion rate or his 8 touchdowns vs zero interceptions but what this Big Ten Opener comes down to is who wins the line of scrimmage.  That means containing Bryce Underwood and Justice Haynes and Nebraska being able to run it with Emmett Johnson.   Nebraska has the benefit of the home crowd which will play a huge role as the Huskers snap a losing streak against AP Top 25 Teams nine years in the making.

Nebraska 24, Michigan 21


Jim Rose – 1110 KFAB Radio-Omaha

Big, big measuring stick for the Big Red.

This is the game when we find out if Nebraska is truly ready to take a step into relevance.  Everything seems to be falling Nebraska’s way… Two easy wins after a fairly tough opener. Home game against a name-brand team that doesn’t have the elite line play of the last five years.

If anything screams coming-out party for Dylan Raiola, it’s this.

Nebraska 31, Michigan 17


Mike’l Severe – Big Red Wrap-Up

I think there will be more points than what most folks expect. A combination of factors should lead to more scoring opportunities, like the Huskers being in the bottom 10 in defensive rush success rate despite having a 99th-ranked strength of schedule (Justice Haynes prop). Nebraska is in the top 10 in quality drives and improving its finishing drive rate (currently scoring 5.6 per successful drive). The one wrench in all of that is if the two teams can produce quality havoc plays with their defensive fronts. 

Nebraska 30, Michigan 27


HuskerOnline Week 4 Score Predictions

Week 7Sean CallahanSteven SippleRobin WashutAndy KendeighJim RoseMike’l Severe
Michigan at Nebraska (+1.5)26-23
Nebraska
31-28
Nebraska
24-21
Michigan
24-21
Nebraska
31-17
Nebraska
30-27
Nebraska
Maryland at Wisconsin (-10)27-23
Wisconsin
28-21
Wisconsin
27-24
Wisconsin
20-17
Wisconsin
35-28
Maryland
27-20
Wisconsin
Illinois at Indiana (-6.5)34-31
Indiana
31-24
Indiana
35-31
Indiana
31-28
Indiana
24-14
Illinois
38-24
Indiana
Texas Tech at Utah (-3.5)34-30
Utah
34-24
Texas Tech
38-33
Texas Tech
35-20
Utah
42-31
Utah
27-24
Utah
Auburn at Oklahoma (-6.5)27-20
Auburn
24-21
Oklahoma
21-20
Oklahoma
24-14
Oklahoma
31-20
Oklahoma
35-28
Auburn
Florida at Miami (-8.5)41-34
Miami
27-21
Miami
38-28
Miami
37-21
Miami
35-24
Miami
37-30
Miami

HuskerOnline Score Prediction Standings

PickerStraight UpVs. SpreadCumulative
Jim Rose12-612-624
Sean Callahan11-710-821
Robin Washut11-710-821
Mike’l Severe11-710-821
Andy Kendeigh10-89-919
Steven Sipple10-88-1018

Sean Callahan can be reached at [email protected] and is heard daily at 6:45 am and 5:05 pm on Big Red Radio 1110 KFAB in Omaha during the football season. He can also be seen on KETV Channel 7 in Omaha during the fall, and each week, he appears on Nebraska Public Media’s Big Red Wrap-Up Tuesdays at 7 pm.


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