The Phillies are one of the top 5 to 6 teams in MLB. Their average run differential was #4 in 2024, measured over an entire season. They have made the playoffs the last 3 seasons and I would be surprised if they didn't this year. To think that they are not one of the top teams is overly pessimistic.
Baseball is a game of streaks and slumps, which can last for long portions of a season. The Phils were unfortunate to go on an incredible streak at the start of last season, level off, and then slump into the playoffs.
Hopefully that will reverse itself this season and the Phils will be fortunate down the stretch. Baseball is all about getting hot at the right time and the Phils have the pieces to do so.