I admire your steadfast dedication to predictions, sir
The truth is, no one - including the bowl committees - has any idea where teams are headed right now. There's a variety of scenarios preventing the non-BCS SEC tie-ins from shoring up their selections early. Everything from the politics of a UT/AM Cotton Bowl to Kent State's potential BCS eligibility to the conference title games. For instance, in order for Vandy to go to the Gator, it's likely they'd need Wisconsin to lose this weekend, to avoid seeing Northwestern in a rematch game.
There's a ton of these type situations going on. If I was forced to pick, I'd say State ends up in Nashville or Jacksonville, but to come on a board and proclaim the Gator Bowl like you're even an iota in the know is the kind of shortsighted bravado that earned you such a sterling rep.