BACATOLOGY: 3/6 NCAA TOURNAMENT ANALYSIS***RUTGERS PROJECTED 11 SEED***
- Thread starter bac2therac
- Start date
KenPom updated: Rutgers #35 PSU #48 Miss St #49
Bubble watch: FAU survives against MTSU. Onto the champ game where if they win we avoid a bid stealer.
Houston takes care of ECU, another bid stealer gone.
Tonight:
7:30 go UK over Vandy
9:30 go UVA over Clemson
11:30 go AZ over ASU
Houston takes care of ECU, another bid stealer gone.
Tonight:
7:30 go UK over Vandy
9:30 go UVA over Clemson
11:30 go AZ over ASU
Maybe the B1G isn't that much better than the WAC and they could finish 19-14.
We were 9-4 in Q3 and Q4 combined
Perhaps they go 11-2 in those 13 games and would have to scratch 7 wins out of the 20 other games.
They did beat 76 BYU and 41 Oregon on road AND beat 61 sam Houston at home
Perhaps they could have scracthed 7 games.
apply the same standard that you would use looking at the 3-4 different weather models and add the variability the storm is 3 days away. I promise you that you wouldn't come up with the same answer.
It's an interesting question. Say you take two teams and they play 10 Q3/Q4 games. Each goes 9-1. By adjusted efficiency margin they perform virtually the same. Do they have the same expected performance against Q1 and Q2 teams? I would say no or at least not necessarily. Dozens of other factors go into that.
A 35 NET in the B1G is a nice metric and hard to achieve. Crushing cupcakes and never getting blown out helps that
Am i correct to assume Mich St losing to OSU in B10 Tourney could be helpful since they'll then be 19-12 and less likely to be looked at better than us (vs getting to 20 or more wins)?
If we want to avoid Dayton, Utah State and Arizona State losing later would go a longggg way. Those are the key ones.
And obviously hope for no bid stealers.
And then it comes down to whether our showings against Purdue/Michigan are enough to move us up over Pitt, NC State, Miss State and into one of the two 11 "bye" seeds
And obviously hope for no bid stealers.
And then it comes down to whether our showings against Purdue/Michigan are enough to move us up over Pitt, NC State, Miss State and into one of the two 11 "bye" seeds
MSU way locked in over us. We want MSU to win to get us another Q1 win.
I saw his odd ball interview. He just looks uncomfortable all of the time. And clueless. He’s just ready to run his algorithm and runs his calculations. He’s an unrealistic dwork. 2 weeks ago, he had us playing PSU in one of the playin games and Michigan in the other at large playin. It would and never happen where one league solely would dominate the 2 at large play in game. If they thought he was worth anything, he would be on the Selection Show. ESPN at least parades Lunardi around like he’s kind of right. Palm is nowhere to be seen near selection Sunday.
He’s a tool and he knows it. Just like last year, every time they interview him on CBS, Seth Davis can’t stop laughing at him and rolling his eyes. Even Adam Zucker and the Inside College Basketball crew cut his cameo the other night . They just “reference” his last 4 in , last 4 out , etc….
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Interesting that NET has Rutgers and Nevada back to back but huge gap in BPI
Looks like we need Purdue tomorrow.
The worst part about the OSU game is MSU didn’t even make them work
The worst part about the OSU game is MSU didn’t even make them work
Ohio State thing is very annoying. Could also conceivably help a tiny bit if committee is comparing the Big Ten to the ACC.
Nah, 0.1% is what I use when it's really 0%, but I'm not an absolutist, so I can't say 0%. And I actually think our resume (especially our very strong wins, including 3 Q1 road wins and almost a 4th (WI barely into Q2) and 7 wins against teams in the tourney (and the best road win in the country at Purdue), plus 3 of our 4 Q3 losses were barely Q3 losses (and we had 2 starters out for Temple) puts us at maybe the 3rd or 4th 10 seed, but I'm assuming a couple of bid stealers to knock us to 11, but not in Dayton, so I think we have a bit of a not-in-Dayton cushion - hence my 10% estimate on that. I also believe that the Committee knows that there is close to zero difference between the 4th 10 and the 3rd 11th seed and that "loss" against OSU will help us stay out of Dayton.apply the same standard that you would use looking at the 3-4 different weather models and add the variability the storm is 3 days away. I promise you that you wouldn't come up with the same answer.
that will not come into play because the contingency bracket will lop the last team in and put them out of the field
Ohio State would only be stealing our bid if we are the last team in
it does not matter one iota that they are from the same conference, that will never come into play
it does not matter one iota that they are from the same conference, that will never come into play
I'd be shocked if OSU has enough to beat Purdue tomorrow. Not too concerned about them. Really need UCLA/Arizona, Houston/Memphis, and FAU to win their tournaments.
It’s a crappy result for us regardless. We played both teams twice so it’s NET neutral. Just deteriorates the Michigan State win. If OSU gets a bid that’s one less at large spot which pushes us closer to Dayton.
The only possible attention is maybe more attention possibly called to that asterisk if OSU was part of the actual field.
keeps msu from getting into q1 and Indiana hanging by a thread and they face Maryland barely in top 30
I still really don’t understand why Creighton is expected to get a ton of slack for missing a player during a losing streak (the first 3 games in the losing streak in which that player played in). But Rutgers is not expected to get any consideration for missing 2 starters who average 32+ mpg vs Temple. People keep mentioning Mag, but what gives? He’s one single player who averaged 24 mpg. He doesn’t handle the ball. It’s mountains different. What gives there? We don’t lose that game if both Paul and Caleb play. There’s no way. It was all ball handling issues. Simpson was a frosh a few games into his collegiate career.