One thing about Mike R...he might have the best basement set-up ever (plus other good stuff in this thread)...
BWI Sports Betting Thread
- Thread starter Grant Green
- Start date
I have no interest in either of these teams, or the game, generally ... but I'm bored so I'm hypothetically going with Rice -2.5 and take the over at 42.5.
That means, for you bettors, your lock of the week is Charlotte +2.5 and under 42.5.
You're welcome.
That means, for you bettors, your lock of the week is Charlotte +2.5 and under 42.5.
You're welcome.
Hey, this blind squirrel found his nut. But I’ll be going on the DL - sprained shoulder joint from patting myself on the back.
Some tricky spots this week.
Delaware is off a big OT win vs UConn to get their first win in FBS. Now they travel to humid Florida to take on a pretty decent FIU team.
Notre Dame has played at Miami and then an OT game vs Texas A&M. They now host Purdue, who hasn't looked terrible under Barry Odom, before playing Arkansas.
Speaking of Arkansas, they are off an in-state game vs Ark St (I know Ark St isn't good, but this may have been a little bigger game than some would expect) and then play ND next. Could be a sleepy game vs Memphis.
GT is off a huge win vs Clemson and now host Temple in a let down spot. I don't expect much running out of Haynes King. Gotta have some stones to bet Temple though.
Mich St travels across country to USC. The Mich St secondary is subpar, ranking 121 in pass success and USC passing game is very good. Youngstown scored 24 on them. There are a few injuries to MSU starters.
Delaware is off a big OT win vs UConn to get their first win in FBS. Now they travel to humid Florida to take on a pretty decent FIU team.
Notre Dame has played at Miami and then an OT game vs Texas A&M. They now host Purdue, who hasn't looked terrible under Barry Odom, before playing Arkansas.
Speaking of Arkansas, they are off an in-state game vs Ark St (I know Ark St isn't good, but this may have been a little bigger game than some would expect) and then play ND next. Could be a sleepy game vs Memphis.
GT is off a huge win vs Clemson and now host Temple in a let down spot. I don't expect much running out of Haynes King. Gotta have some stones to bet Temple though.
Mich St travels across country to USC. The Mich St secondary is subpar, ranking 121 in pass success and USC passing game is very good. Youngstown scored 24 on them. There are a few injuries to MSU starters.
I heard that Nebraska is something like 0-27 vs top 25 teams. Not betting it, but would tend to agree on UM.
Tulsa was +11.5, a day or two ago. Now at +9.5. I thought +11.5 was a slam dunk. So is 9.5.
Ark v. Memphis over 60.5 seems obvious. One team may score that.
FSU v Kent St over 55.5
Ole Miss v. Tulane over 61.5
I kinda think Western Mich +14.5 could be a sneaky good play v Toledo
Oklahoma -6.5 over Auburn
Notre Dame -25.5 over Purdue
UCF -6.5 over UNC
Troy +6.5 over Buffalo
BYU -6.5 over ECU
SHSU +39.5 v. Texas
Take those picks and roll around in your resultant millions. And if you're ignoring me and my awesomeness, you deserve your poverty and despair.
Ark v. Memphis over 60.5 seems obvious. One team may score that.
FSU v Kent St over 55.5
Ole Miss v. Tulane over 61.5
I kinda think Western Mich +14.5 could be a sneaky good play v Toledo
Oklahoma -6.5 over Auburn
Notre Dame -25.5 over Purdue
UCF -6.5 over UNC
Troy +6.5 over Buffalo
BYU -6.5 over ECU
SHSU +39.5 v. Texas
Take those picks and roll around in your resultant millions. And if you're ignoring me and my awesomeness, you deserve your poverty and despair.
Tulsa W
Ark W
FSU W
Ole Miss L (stupid inept Tulane)
WMU W
OU W
ND W
UCF W
Troy W
BYU W
SHSU L (the little engine that couldn’t)
plus (from earlier)
Rice W
Rice W
11-2. Not bad for 10 minutes worth of “work.” Skipped over 4 other games I had as “no duhs” and went 3-1 in those, but I know I can’t talk about things if I didn’t post them first, or I’ll get yelled at …
Early season college football is the best (after March Madness), because there are so many games to choose from, so many mismatches, and the books haven’t dialed their stuff in. It’s too bad I can’t actually capitalize on this.
Nice job…Geez, I saw some stats from Bet MGM Sportsbook and over 95% of the money was on Texas -39.5! I’ve seen high 80%‘s but 95%? That was a red flag, but the money was right, Texas covered easily.
Yeah, don't know what I was thinking there ... I never think huge underdogs are a good play ... I either think the favorite will cover, or I skip the game. There's something weird with rooting for a team that's expected to get pummeled to not get pummeled by THAT much.
... I blame it on being tired, after scanning through all those earlier games in rapid succession, and my disdain for the Manning hype.
The other loss - the Ole Miss over that wasn't ... I still stand by that. I was right ... the teams just didn't hold up their end of the bargain.
That's definitely not right. Huge underdogs can be a really good play in the right situation.
Pretty sure Georgia hasn't covered a spread bigger than -35 for years. Using Texas as an example for this year, they failed to cover -37 and -39 vs UTEP and SJST. PSU didn't cover in any of the 3 games with 40+ point spreads.
No play for me. I have the game at-3. Looks like a lot of shops have it at-3.5, maybe with juice on Oregon.
What's not right? I expressed my personal preference for what I feel comfortable predicting ... there's no right or wrong there. That's like me saying "no fat chicks" and you saying that's not right, and fat chicks are hot. OK. You like them, I don't.
Of course huge favorites sometimes fail to cover the spread. I simply said I'm not comfortable with asserting when a big underdog will "definitely" cover, and I explained my personal issue with why that's the case. Hell, the reason I picked SHSU to cover is because of what you mentioned - that Texas hadn't been covering. And so I said "screw it" ... and look what happened? The fat chick fell into a diabetic coma while on top, and crushed me. I had a moment of weakness and, now, RIP.
If you can properly assess when big losers won't be as big of losers as expected ... my hat's off to you. I stay away because I can't.
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Jamie Tyrone, in O’Neill’s Long Day’s Journey into Night: “I like them fat but not that fat.”
RIP to Dave Sharapan, Pittsburgh native and PSU alum (88-93). AKA, the Sportsbook Consigliere.
It seemed like he was universally beloved in the sports betting community.
https://barrettmedia.com/2025/09/21/dave-sharapan-a-k-a-the-sportsbook-consigliere-has-passed-away/
It seemed like he was universally beloved in the sports betting community.
https://barrettmedia.com/2025/09/21/dave-sharapan-a-k-a-the-sportsbook-consigliere-has-passed-away/
Maryland covers at USC bringing the B10 ATS record to 1-2 for teams traveling 2+ time zones.
Stanford does not cover at UVA brining the ACC ATS record to 0-2.
This week - USC at Illinois, Ohio State at UW, Oregon at PSU, UCLA at NW, Cal at BC
I didn't realize that he was a PSU alum. Way too young.
Interesting thing in that article was the tweet/picture from Spooky...I've communicated with him dozens of times, but never knew what he looked like.
Like, totally. It's actually slightly less than half, but tomAtoes, tomahtoes.
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So what do we have for tonight's CFB action?
I've narrowed down to I'd either go with East Carolina, or Army. And it's either the over or under. You're welcome.
Gun to my head ... and, no doubt, with my performance last week, I fully expect to be kidnapped and threatened at gunpoint for my picks in the very near future ... I'm going with o52.5. I wouldn't bet Army or East Carolina but, again, if forced, I'd probably go with Army. Or East Carolina.
This isn't my pick, but it might be worthwhile to parlay the Thursday and Friday games by selecting the over for all 3 of Army/ECU, FSU/UVA and TCU/ASU, and pick FSU to cover (least convinced of the TCU/ASU over in that grouping). I imagine that's a nice little payout and worth the likelihood it won't pan out.
I've narrowed down to I'd either go with East Carolina, or Army. And it's either the over or under. You're welcome.
Gun to my head ... and, no doubt, with my performance last week, I fully expect to be kidnapped and threatened at gunpoint for my picks in the very near future ... I'm going with o52.5. I wouldn't bet Army or East Carolina but, again, if forced, I'd probably go with Army. Or East Carolina.
This isn't my pick, but it might be worthwhile to parlay the Thursday and Friday games by selecting the over for all 3 of Army/ECU, FSU/UVA and TCU/ASU, and pick FSU to cover (least convinced of the TCU/ASU over in that grouping). I imagine that's a nice little payout and worth the likelihood it won't pan out.
He covers our game at the 11:55ish mark. Said it was the first bet he made this week.
You're obviously wrong. Or right.
I think ECU can pass on Army, and I think Army can run on ECU. Last year was a "shootout" and, while Army isn't the same squad as last year, I think there are plenty of points to be had here.
But, unlike last week's Thursday game, which I thought was a slam dunk, even though I didn't care about the game (the bad lines stood out that much to me), this one I'd probably avoid, unless I was trying to pump up the potential payout on an early week parlay for some yucks and bucks.
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Wow, without hesitation. I'm surprised at his conviction. I wasn't planning to bet PSU but maybe I'll throw in a half unit just based on his assessment.
PS. Love the t shirt
I’m taking his advice and waiting to see if it drops to -3 -15 or something like that.
Even if the PSU early season performance gives you pause, and you're enamored with the superficial results for Oregon early on ... you're still looking at a cross-country trip into a white out.
And you're still looking at a PSU squad that returns the bulk of its nucleus from a national semi finisher. We haven't seen jack poop from the offensive scheme so far.
Put your whole unit in there, fella ... not just the tip.
I meant to add that. I think -3 pops at some point.
Travel/white out is baked into the number. I gave PSU 5 points for HFA white out and I'm at -3 for the game.
If it drops to -2.5 I may consider a full unit.