Tie goes against him, but otherwise he still wins. I don't think he will win it because I don't think he repeats last year from a statistical perspective and dominates in a marquee matchup like Alabama. But as far as him showing his ***, I think it only hurts him if there is an argument for another player. If he does dominate like last year, he'll win. My only caveat would be if he manages to go all season acting like a NWO wrestler, maybe people will hate him enough to vote against him regardless. But I can't imagine that Sumlin will let him do that, and if he actually tries to do that, I can't imagine that his head is going to be right enough to duplicate last year.