New Polling is ugly for DJT
- Thread starter dpic73
- Start date
Not surprising that Trump's popularity with African Americans took a big hit after that Obama/apes post of his. Wonder how he is polling with the apes.
Someone should sticky this post. It's just too good. Full blown MAGA wet dreaming.
This is one of the funniest things I have seen in a long time. "Rasmussen goes AWOL on MAGA." BWAHAHAHAHA!! Deal with it, Hermy!
Now it looks like Hobbs will be going against POS Andy Biggs.
Hobbs vs. Biggs
Key Polls and Probabilities
Factors Shaping the Race
Hobbs vs. Biggs
Key Polls and Probabilities
- Head-to-Head Polling:Recent surveys show a highly competitive race, though most give Hobbs a slim edge within the margin of error.
- Emerson College: Hobbs 44% vs. Biggs 43% (November 2025).
- Noble Predictive Insights: Hobbs 39% vs. Biggs 37% (August 2025).
- NextGen Polling: Hobbs 51% vs. Biggs 32% (December 2025). This poll showed a wider gap, particularly among Independents.
- Win Probabilities: As of February 13, 2026, the prediction market Kalshi gives Hobbs a 66% chance of winning re-election, while forecaster Race to the WH estimates her chances at 78.5%.
Factors Shaping the Race
- The "Trump Factor": Biggs is a staunch ally of Donald Trump, whose endorsement is a major asset in the GOP primary but may be a liability in the general election. Polling suggests 45% of Arizona voters are less likely to support a candidate backed by Trump.
- Independent Voters: Independent and "No Party Preference" voters are critical in Arizona. One poll found Hobbs leading Biggs among Independents 62% to 19%, while another showed Biggs narrowing that gap significantly.
And Quantus is a Trump-friendly pollster, which makes you think the real numbers could be even worse for him.
The Yahoo/YouGov survey of 1,704 adults, conducted February 9-12, placed 52% viewing Trump below average or worse, with his job approval at 38% and 58% disapproving. That's tougher than Biden's rating at a similar point, and even independents largely see him underperforming past leaders. Amid immigration backlash and low independent support, the results highlight hurdles as his second term nears the 2026 midterms,
Poll: How many Americans rank Trump as the 'worst' vs. 'best' president in U.S. history?
Amid this year's Presidents' Day celebrations, survey respondents tell Yahoo and YouGov that Trump is doing a worse job than Joe Biden and Barack Obama.
i mean, several of em totally missed the sarcasm font in my post last week about how effed the middle east is.