OT: Electric vehicles

Dec 4, 2010
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No, clean car facts. Kicker is he bought it from a dealer. That means they bought it even cheaper.
Based on current, used Model X prices, and your track record for honesty.....
I Dont Believe You Will Ferrell GIF
 

mildone_rivals

Heisman
Dec 19, 2011
55,607
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Interesting. You can be certain it's not, as Tesla claims, them looking out for folks who really want the car versus flippers in it for the money. It's not a new game.


My Porsche dealer initially wanted me to sign a one-year agreement not to sell my GT3 to anybody but them. Which they also claimed was to get the cars into the hands of people who want the car and keep it out of the hands of flippers (which is equally BS).

Another P dealer I talked to claimed to not charge ADMs. But then they had all these super-low mileage "used" GT3s for sale for $50K+ over the original MSRP.

I'm guessing Tesla is hoping that producing smaller numbers means driving up initial rarity so they can buy the car back and then sell it used at prevailing market prices, same as other brands have been doing. Sell the car twice, for more money the second time. And people will pay for the immediacy if nothing else.
 
Dec 4, 2010
5,866
5,256
0
Interesting. You can be certain it's not, as Tesla claims, them looking out for folks who really want the car versus flippers in it for the money. It's not a new game.


My Porsche dealer initially wanted me to sign a one-year agreement not to sell my GT3 to anybody but them. Which they also claimed was to get the cars into the hands of people who want the car and keep it out of the hands of flippers (which is equally BS).

Another P dealer I talked to claimed to not charge ADMs. But then they had all these super-low mileage "used" GT3s for sale for $50K+ over the original MSRP.

I'm guessing Tesla is hoping that producing smaller numbers means driving up initial rarity so they can buy the car back and then sell it used at prevailing market prices, same as other brands have been doing. Sell the car twice, for more money the second time. And people will pay for the immediacy if nothing else.
Tesla did this in 2017 w/ Model 3 launch.
 

mildone_rivals

Heisman
Dec 19, 2011
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Especially considering half the country has no interest in buying a BEV as their next vehicle.
I think that, eventually, more and more people will gravitate towards EVs. But I also think it's gonna take more time, possibly a lot more time, than EV evangelists (and Tesla shareholders) want it to take (in the US).

Toyota might be positioning itself to be one of the last non-EV manufacturers standing at a time when people in certain parts of the world are still buying tons of ICEs and hybrids. They're far from a stupid corporation and they aren't making decisions for reasons other than lots and lots of analysis.
 
Dec 4, 2010
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Especially considering half the country has no interest in buying a BEV as their next vehicle.
What about the other half of the country that is interested in buying a BEV? That's a pretty big market, no? Especially considering US BEV adoption is currently 7 to 8%.

You guys seem to be forgetting Toyota's first go at BEVs were an epic disaster. They were ****, they couldn't turn a profit on them, and no one wanted them. Do you think they'd be doubling down on hybrids if that wasn't the case?
 
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RUTGERS95

Heisman
Sep 28, 2005
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EV is dying despite massive gov't help and subsidies. Tech sucks, cars suck, too many variables to consider

rev that motor!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
 
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fsg2_rivals

Heisman
Apr 3, 2018
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What about the other half of the country that is interested in buying a BEV? That's a pretty big market, no? Especially considering US BEV adoption is currently 7 to 8%.

You guys seem to be forgetting Toyota's first go at BEVs were an epic disaster. They were ****, they couldn't turn a profit on them, and no one wanted them. Do you think they'd be doubling down on hybrids if that wasn't the case?

If that's a big market, so is the non-interested half. That's how halves work.

Also, being interested doesn't mean actively shopping. Only about 20 percent falls in the serious category.

Toyota's first go at electrics was a team up with Tesla. I guess Tesla's a failure, too.
 

fsg2_rivals

Heisman
Apr 3, 2018
10,881
13,184
0
EV is dying despite massive gov't help and subsidies. Tech sucks, cars suck, too many variables to consider

rev that motor!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

Yeah rev your big, bad V8 ...before the EV outsprints you so fast it damn near knocks the retard outta ya.
 

mildone_rivals

Heisman
Dec 19, 2011
55,607
51,272
0
You guys seem to be forgetting Toyota's first go at BEVs were an epic disaster. They were ****, they couldn't turn a profit on them, and no one wanted them. Do you think they'd be doubling down on hybrids if that wasn't the case?
I do, yes. I think they’re engaged in deliberate, strategic risk-taking because they see a potentially large reward.

It’s just a guess. We will have to see how things play out over the 5, 10, 15 years.
 
Dec 4, 2010
5,866
5,256
0
EV is dying despite massive gov't help and subsidies. Tech sucks, cars suck, too many variables to consider

rev that motor!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!
If legacy auto was able to be cash flow positive on volume production of EVs, I assure you they wouldn't be announcing they're scaling back on EVs because of "demand problems". This narrative is BS, and the corporate media is helping them to push it. Facts are facts, and the EV market continues to grow. Consumers just want good EVs.
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,044
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If legacy auto was able to be cash flow positive on volume production of EVs, I assure you they wouldn't be announcing they're scaling back on EVs because of "demand problems". This narrative is BS, and the corporate media is helping them to push it. Facts are facts, and the EV market continues to grow. Consumers just want good EVs.
EV market share in auto is 7.9% with an YOY growth of 29.5%. Hybrid is 16% with YOY growth of 29%.
 

mildone_rivals

Heisman
Dec 19, 2011
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EV market share in auto is 7.9% with an YOY growth of 29.5%. Hybrid is 16% with YOY growth of 29%.
Hybrids might be more technologically complex (which can be problematic). But, for the many single-car persons/families out there, I think they are probably more compelling with their ability to operate electrically most of the time, but be backed up by ICE when necessary.

I think, though, that that will change as EVs get better and better, which they will surely do. I could be wrong, it's the future so who knows what's gonna happen, but eventually, I think EVs will prove to be the more compelling option for everyone, for all the reasons EV evangelists love them now.
 

fsg2_rivals

Heisman
Apr 3, 2018
10,881
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Hybrids might be more technologically complex (which can be problematic). But, for the many single-car persons/families out there, I think they are probably more compelling with their ability to operate electrically most of the time, but be backed up by ICE when necessary.

I think, though, that that will change as EVs get better and better, which they will surely do. I could be wrong, it's the future so who knows what's gonna happen, but eventually, I think EVs will prove to be the more compelling option for everyone, for all the reasons EV evangelists love them now.

I'd be curious to know how many of the EV bulls here are actually in plug-in hybrid households.
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,044
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Hybrids might be more technologically complex (which can be problematic). But, for the many single-car persons/families out there, I think they are probably more compelling with their ability to operate electrically most of the time, but be backed up by ICE when necessary.

I think, though, that that will change as EVs get better and better, which they will surely do. I could be wrong, it's the future so who knows what's gonna happen, but eventually, I think EVs will prove to be the more compelling option for everyone, for all the reasons EV evangelists love them now.
Not sure it’s more complex. It’s two existing technologies in one. Not sure EV will get much better. To me, it’s the infrastructure that needs to improve.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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If legacy auto was able to be cash flow positive on volume production of EVs, I assure you they wouldn't be announcing they're scaling back on EVs because of "demand problems". This narrative is BS, and the corporate media is helping them to push it. Facts are facts, and the EV market continues to grow. Consumers just want good EVs.
It's really a supply issue. The legacies teaming up with the startups have flooded the market. It's a demand problem only in the sense that it could need keep up with this wave of new production.
 
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RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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I find these types of reports disingenuous. Figure they are accounting for a ton of the initial cap ex in these initial years of production.

Lucid's real issue is the # of cars sold. Just 1500 in the quarter and as the story says "Lucid entered 2023 with a goal of selling around 14,000 cars, but waning demand for the EV sedan is causing Lucid to reduce expectations to just 8,500-ish units with just October, November, and December left to be accounted for."
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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Just looked at the Kelley Blue book EV report for the 3rd qtr.

Interestingly for Tesla, all of the Model 3, S, and X sales are down yoy.

Their sales increase yoy is all in the Model Y, which was up 58%
 

mildone_rivals

Heisman
Dec 19, 2011
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Not sure it’s more complex. It’s two existing technologies in one. Not sure EV will get much better. To me, it’s the infrastructure that needs to improve.
It's more complex because it must contain all the various components for both propulsion approaches, right? More parts means more that can break, more that must be wired up correctly, more that must be operated via software, etc.

Infrastructure has to improve for sure as that will help with EV adoption by those whose living situations aren't conducive to at-home charging. But also, EVs are a relatively young technology, so I'm pretty sure they'll improve in lots of ways. Aero improvements, tire improvements, efficiency improvements, materials improvements, battery improvements, etc.
 

mildone_rivals

Heisman
Dec 19, 2011
55,607
51,272
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I find these types of reports disingenuous. Figure they are accounting for a ton of the initial cap ex in these initial years of production.

Lucid's real issue is the # of cars sold. Just 1500 in the quarter and as the story says "Lucid entered 2023 with a goal of selling around 14,000 cars, but waning demand for the EV sedan is causing Lucid to reduce expectations to just 8,500-ish units with just October, November, and December left to be accounted for."
Jalopnik is often pretty disingenuousness. It's part of their schtick. I don't really use them for serious reporting so much as comic entertainment - mostly from the comments on articles by all the gear-heads out there, which are often priceless.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
14,639
9,156
113
Jalopnik is often pretty disingenuousness. It's part of their schtick. I don't really use them for serious reporting so much as comic entertainment - mostly from the comments on articles by all the gear-heads out there, which are often priceless.
I hear it said often from the talking heads regarding RIVN as well.

The loss is more a moment in time accounting measure then it is indicative of the companies long term ability to make money.
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,044
12,218
82
It's really a supply issue. The legacies teaming up with the startups have flooded the market. It's a demand problem only in the sense that it could need keep up with this wave of new production.
It’s only a small % of auto market. Demand has hit a wall. Need to get ICE owners to switch.
 
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fsg2_rivals

Heisman
Apr 3, 2018
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Why do you think they are better?

Good time to ask. Today was the first day of the LA and Guangzhou auto shows.


But even during other weeks - new cars or tech with more range, faster charging, new features, new segments, more competition, etc.
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
19,044
12,218
82
Good time to ask. Today was the first day of the LA and Guangzhou auto shows.


But even during other weeks - new cars or tech with more range, faster charging, new features, new segments, more competition, etc.
Is range due to bigger battery packs? That’s not better. How fast are the charging now? New features for EV or for autos. There are more options but are they better?