Agree. And I find that to be the case. I don’t recall Dani veering off dramatically from the other forecasts on that station.
OT: Moderate to Significant Snowfall Incoming for Late Sat through Sunday Morning (12/14)
- Thread starter RU848789
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It was pretty damn cold walking back from church in NP tonight. Thinking it will be all snow here so on the higher end of accumulations. Shore area could be a different story to start.
No, it's in the shop which is not part of the fenced back pastures where they free range. But it does have about a 1/8" of dust on it.
Local weather at Monmouth Airport says light rain. No rain here. Looking at radar, looks like we are in a dry slot.
lol, visually, Dani >> AmyThank for adding “for accuracy.” I was beginning to think you were experiencing diminishing vision in your retirement.
After a nice nap, at 3:00 am we're up to 1.6" and snowing moderately at 32F and I just finished my first round of shoveling. Needless to say, it's gorgeous out there, especially with light wind and the snow sticking nicely to all of the trees. What I shoveled was fairly wet, but what is falling now are much drier dendrites of a higher snow to liquid ratio, I'm sure.
4 am and time to make the donuts. But we will really wait till after it stops since its Sunday. My official Komelon tape measure shows 2 inches in Raritan Twp just 25 feet west of Flemington. It's a very wet snow as I was able to make a snowball. So much for using a leafblower which is all I heard from forcasters.
Looks like I see back edge and should be over by 9 am in Hillsborough. BTW, I called the Hillsborough Deli to se if they were open so I could swing by for a coffee and buttered roll but the voice message said they will have a delayed opening stating they don't want anyone going out and dealing with this many inches.
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As of 6:00 am we have about 3.6" otg, so 0.6" last hour, and it's still 32F, which is probably why the snow has been a bit wetter than I expected - great packing snow, although not sopping wet, as I just finished my 2nd shoveling of the storm. I think 5" is doable looking at the radar/HRRR model. Here's a pretty pic of the church across the street.
As of 7 am we're up to 4.4" otg and it's still 32F. Saw a report on Channel 7 of 4.8" from Metuchen - sounds a tad high to me, but it's possible. 5-6" looks likely now as I think we'll get another 1-1.5". Stunningly beautiful out there - about to go for a drive, just because.
perfect timing- covered the outside furniture on the patio yesterday afternoon. at about 5am this morning, walking the dogs, looks like 1.5 inches has stuck here in Middletown Delaware and still coming down hard.
The dogs didn't get any snow last year so the were having a blast. Since we can't have fences here, I have to walk them by leash and they walk together in the morning. Trying to hold a 90lb German Shepherd and 65lb Boxer playing in the snow was interesting. lol but fun
The dogs didn't get any snow last year so the were having a blast. Since we can't have fences here, I have to walk them by leash and they walk together in the morning. Trying to hold a 90lb German Shepherd and 65lb Boxer playing in the snow was interesting. lol but fun
Agreed, they got it right for once. At least in my area of MercerWith the way it’s still coming down at 8am, this one might be correct…
5.0" as of 8:00 am, which was my forecast for our house, so we're going to overperform by maybe 1", looking at the radar and the latest HRRR; temp down to 31F. Just went for a drive, for fun, on 27/1/287 in our area and these major roads were all a bit slushy and slippery, but not terrible (could go 40-50 mph on 287); local sidestreets that haven't been plowed are fun to drive on, lol.
Forecast looks pretty good for all of the counties south of 78 (3-5/4-6"), but the storm has way overperformed for places like Sussex/Warren/Morris, Lehigh Valley, Hudson Valley, Poconos, etc., where many have seen 4-7" when 1-3" maybe 2-4" was predicted. NYC is underperforming so far with 2-3" reported - likely due to the urban heat island.
Forecast looks pretty good for all of the counties south of 78 (3-5/4-6"), but the storm has way overperformed for places like Sussex/Warren/Morris, Lehigh Valley, Hudson Valley, Poconos, etc., where many have seen 4-7" when 1-3" maybe 2-4" was predicted. NYC is underperforming so far with 2-3" reported - likely due to the urban heat island.
going over 4 inches here maybe even closing in on 5 after heavier band from 6-8 am. Back edge showing up in NW NJ so as that sweeps down we should see winding down in the 9-10 am time frame and a bit later for the coast and eastern areas
Judging by my deck railing we have at least 5 inches, maybe 6 in So. Brunswick.
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some early totals from NJ and PA
| 07:04 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Doylestown, PA | 7.3 |
| 07:09 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Hilltown Twp, PA | 7 |
| 06:14 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Harleysville, PA | 6 |
| 06:48 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Nazareth, PA | 6 |
| 07:00 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 2 E Tatamy, PA | 6 |
| 07:45 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 1 S Manville, NJ | 6 |
| 07:35 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Bath, PA | 5.5 |
| 06:17 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 1 WNW Stanton, NJ | 5.3 |
| 06:49 am EST - 12/14/2025 | North Catasauqua, PA | 5.3 |
| 07:00 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Bridgewater, NJ | 5.2 |
| 06:43 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Chesterbrook, PA | 5 |
| 06:44 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Budd Lake, NJ | 5 |
| 07:00 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Lehigh Valley Internati, PA | 5 |
| 07:00 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Trenton Mercer Airport, NJ | 5 |
| 07:11 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Levittown, PA | 5 |
so this storm was the little one that could...went from predictions of 1-3 and a dry powdery snow with 5% shot at 6 inches or more and the models kept nudging amounts each nest. Even with that its still generally going to overperform given the updated widespread 3-5 inch forecasted amounts
Just got a text from the town. Beach Badge and Parking Pass sales are cancelled.
I guess I'll have to put the umbrella and chairs away for now lol.
I guess I'll have to put the umbrella and chairs away for now lol.
South wall here too. At least 5" on the ground and snowing steadily. Solidly in that yellow patch in the forecast map.
| 7:50 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Belle Mead, NJ | 5 |
| 07:50 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 1 SW Glen Ridge, NJ | 3.6 |
| 07:52 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 1 W Hoboken, NJ | 2.5 |
| 07:55 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Plainfield, NJ | 4.7 |
| 07:57 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 1 NW Cranford, NJ | 4.5 |
| 08:00 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 1 SW Three Bridges, NJ | 6.2 |
| 08:00 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Somerville, NJ | 6 |
| 08:05 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 1 NE Ridgefield, NJ | 1.5 |
| 08:09 am EST - 12/14/2025 | 1 NW Newark, NJ | 4 |
| 08:10 am EST - 12/14/2025 | South River, NJ | 3.8 |
| 08:30 am EST - 12/14/2025 | Whitehouse Station, NJ | 5.8 |