OT: NFL 2023/24 Playoff Games Thread

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
238,257
167,980
113
Really torn over this game, as I love Pacheco and want to see him advance with the Chiefs, but I have a real soft spot for the Bills, given how great their fans are and how much heartache they've seen in Super Bowls. Even moreso with the Lions. Would love to see a Lions-Bills Super Bowl so that at lost one long downtrodden city will get some redemption.
im anti Taylor so go Bills
 

bac2therac

Hall of Famer
Jul 30, 2001
238,257
167,980
113
It improves the chances of winning and you're seeing more and more coaches do it...I'd guess it will continue to become more common as we move forward.

If you're going to go for 2, it makes much more sense to do it after the first TD. You miss after the first one, and you've still got the chance to go for it again after the 2nd to tie it up. You miss after the 2nd one, and you're screwed.
its a playoff game, if you want to go for 2, why not decide on that last td if you want ot or to win it there
 

Rutgers Chris

All-Conference
Nov 29, 2005
4,194
4,779
97
its a playoff game, if you want to go for 2, why not decide on that last td if you want ot or to win it there
They want two chances at going for two. The odds are you’ll make one of two. Make the first one then you kick the second one to win. Im not advocating this and don’t really like it, but many coaches are going this route the last few years .
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
64,358
43,467
113
It improves the chances of winning and you're seeing more and more coaches do it...I'd guess it will continue to become more common as we move forward.

If you're going to go for 2, it makes much more sense to do it after the first TD. You miss after the first one, and you've still got the chance to go for it again after the 2nd to tie it up. You miss after the 2nd one, and you're screwed.
The analytics are simple on the face of it. If a team's conversion rate is 50% or better (actually about 48% or better), that team should always go for two, as that will lead to more points over time (and therefore wins) than by going for 1, especially given the ~94% success rate for XPs since they moved it back (of course those are avg stats and some teams have been 100% on XPs). But coaches take a long time to change behaviors and are much more averse to taking chances that are generally considered too risky, but I expect that will change over time, like it has, to some extent, for going for it on 4th down.
 

mdk02

Heisman
Aug 18, 2011
26,053
18,402
113
Anyone keeping track of the Taylor Swift shots? I saw her twice.

Speaking of Taylor Swift shots, maybe they should do a don't drink and drive public service spot aimed at those who might be matching shot for shot
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
64,358
43,467
113
Love listening to Romo diagnosing plays - that gaffe by the Bills zone was just terrible on the Kelce TD. And what makes it worse is having to watch more footage of TS, lol.
 

RUPete

Heisman
Feb 5, 2003
26,846
16,117
0
The analytics are simple on the face of it. If a team's conversion rate is 50% or better (actually about 48% or better), that team should always go for two, as that will lead to more points over time (and therefore wins) than by going for 1, especially given the ~94% success rate for XPs since they moved it back (of course those are avg stats and some teams have been 100% on XPs). But coaches take a long time to change behaviors and are much more averse to taking chances that are generally considered too risky, but I expect that will change over time, like it has, to some extent, for going for it on 4th down.
Yeah, that’s great. Still rather not chase the point early. #overthinking 😂
 

Rutgers Chris

All-Conference
Nov 29, 2005
4,194
4,779
97
I'm rooting for the Bills to end the Swift/Kelce **** show.
My daughter’s basketball team was all asking for score updates after their game ended earlier. She’s clearly onboarding some more fans but I can’t imagine a Super Bowl with this going on.
 

ashokan

Heisman
May 3, 2011
25,325
19,686
0
I like both teams but like Buff a little more - being the only team than actually lives/plays in NY
 

RU848789

Heisman
Jul 27, 2001
64,358
43,467
113
Huge call here - looked like the ball might've started moving before he was down, but the call on the field was he was down, so need convincing evidence...