OT: RAIN TO SNOW OVERNIGHT INTO THURSDAY 4-8 INCHES FOR MOST

[RU848789]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by RCTrooper:
Drove in and out of Manhattan b/c it was only supposed to be 1.5 inches of snow by 6 pm. Wrong! Probably 3-4 inches of snow by then. NYC roads and Rt 80 were a complete mess. Looks like 4 inches here in Morris county by 8 pm and still coming down. This storm definitely over performed.

Actually, as I said yesterday and this morning, as per the NWS, NYC and points north of 78 were likely to get 3-5" of snow, which was a pretty good forecast, although even that is going to bust low for many, as lots of folks in NYC/NENJ/LI/Hudson Valley have 5-6" and it's still snowing. A few of the TV mets, who typically suck on the weekend, were calling for only 1-3" in NYC Metro/NE NJ/LI, which was a bad forecast.

 

[Exit117]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Hazlet schools on 90 minute delay. 3"+ on ground with at least a 1/4" of ice on top. Plow came down my street and plowed and sanded. I was pushing the stuff in front of my driveway the plow left, and it was like pushing broken glass chips,lol.

 

[RCTrooper]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

SO IT LOOKS LIKE WE ARE GETTING ANOTHER STORM TUESDAY EVENING.

 

[mollie24]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by Colonel Henry:
Most schools are not going to have delayed opening tomorrow if they can possibly avoid it due to PARCC testing. You're not supposed to test on days of delayed opening so they'll have to do make up testing which is just another headache. You'll be surprised, schools that are known to shut down or delay for anything will resemble New York City schools the next couple weeks.

Message from So Brunswick was 90 minute delays & tests are on

 

[BigEastPhil]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE


Freehold area is a sheet of ice...........roads are very icy and bad.....

 

[ClassOf02v.2]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Decided to clean my car off tonight instead of the morning and and man what a mess. I'm in Lambertville and there's gotta be a good 1/3 inch of ice on top of everything. I'll thank myself in the morning.

 

[RU848789]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Peeking ahead, Upton has 2-4" for Tuesday afternoon/night for Union/SI and 3-5" almost everywhere else in their point and clicks (i.e., NE NJ, NYC, LI etc.) and in the hourly weather graphics, but their AFD is pretty non-committal on snowfall amounts and we're only 48 hours out. Interestingly, just next door, in northern Middelsex County, the NWS Mt. Holly point/click and graphic all have about 0.5" of snow for us and similar amounts for Somerset County and elsewhere. Big disparity. Hope Upton is right. This is all before the snow changes to rain late Tuesday/early Wednesday and we get an inch or so of rain with temps in the 40s. Will definitely be some urban flooding.

Also will be really interesting to see if we can get the late Weds to Thursday storm to thread the needle and give us some good snows. Model disparity right now is huge with everything from an inch of snow to 10" of snow. Very skeptical of a very snowy solution, but it's at least possible.

 

[bac2therac]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

You might have been better off leaving it if we get any residual freezing drizzle that will recoat your car

This post was edited on 3/1 11:14 PM by bac2therac

 

[bac2therac]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Numbers...why the f are you hoping Upton is right....we dont need more snow and there is a mens hoops game that night...this event has been modeled as quick burst of snow to rain pretty much everyone is hoping mt holly is right
..this aint the weenie board give it a rest

This post was edited on 3/1 11:26 PM by bac2therac

 

[RUMike410]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by bac2therac:
Numbers...why the f are you hoping Upton is right....we dont need more snow and there is a mens hoops game that night...this event has been modeled as quick burst of snow to rain pretty much everyone is hoping mt holly is right
..this aint the weenie board give it a rest

This post was edited on 3/1 11:26 PM by bac2therac

 

[vm7118]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

i agree with numbers, 10" of snow this late in the season would be fun. not all of us are grouches like bac. i think our area is good enough at this to deal and ensure minimum danger/damage.

 

[RU848789]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by bac2therac:
Numbers...why the f are you hoping Upton is right....we dont need more snow and there is a mens hoops game that night...this event has been modeled as quick burst of snow to rain pretty much everyone is hoping mt holly is right
..this aint the weenie board give it a rest

This post was edited on 3/1 11:26 PM by bac2therac

You're not seriously asking this question are you? After 15+ years of posts talking about how much I love snow? Don't be a troll on this board like you are on AmericanWx. Also, a snow-out of the men's hoops game is probably the best result we could get.

 

[FastMJ]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Maybe the basketball team will defend better on an icy court.

 

[WhiteBus]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by JERZEE73:
So Brunswick schools on a 90 minute delay tomorrow.
Waiting for White Bus's latest post on how the weather prognosticators missed again with this snow. The guy must really live in Florida. Tired of hearing his comments on how every storm prediction has underperformed this season.

I live in Bucks County in PA and every snow prediction outside 24 hours has been wrong this year. Some not even close! Where they predicted over a foot and we got barley 2 in. I don't know where you live but it's been the same from NYC and south. Only Boston has lived up to the strong storms.

Again yesterday predictions of 1-3 was a hoax. No measurable snow just hail and ice.

 

[Sweet Pea's Corner]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Please get over snow already. You are showing your true weeniness. It's March. You had your snow. I made my money. It's time for this stuff to melt, dry out and get me ready for spring work.

 

[bac2therac]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

The only troll is one hoping for two snow events this week right after we had a snow/ice event which was our 7th in the last 6 weeks. Its March 2 people are tired of this **** every few days and tired of the cold. Tine for spring and people to back to nornal activities

This post was edited on 3/2 6:01 AM by bac2therac

 

[BigLou]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by bac2therac:
The only troll is one hoping for two snow events this week right after we had a snow/ice event which was our 7th in the last 6 weeks. Its March 2 people are tired of this **** every few days and tired of the cold. Tine for spring and people to back to nornal activities

This post was edited on 3/2 6:01 AM by bac2therac

Plus 1

 

[RCTrooper]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by bac2therac:
The only troll is one hoping for two snow events this week right after we had a snow/ice event which was our 7th in the last 6 weeks. Its March 2 people are tired of this **** every few days and tired of the cold. Tine for spring and people to back to nornal activities

This post was edited on 3/2 6:01 AM by bac2therac

Haters gonna hate!

 

[RULoyal]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by BigLou:

Originally posted by bac2therac:
The only troll is one hoping for two snow events this week right after we had a snow/ice event which was our 7th in the last 6 weeks. Its March 2 people are tired of this **** every few days and tired of the cold. Tine for spring and people to back to nornal activities

This post was edited on 3/2 6:01 AM by bac2therac

Plus 1

 

[RU1977]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

So more snow coming?

I'd say we had 3-4 inches in Clifton.

 

[RBS05]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

A therapist could do very well targeting his/her advertising to all you adults who love and "root" for snow.

 

[RUPete]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by RocktheRac:
Please get over snow already. You are showing your true weeniness. It's March. You had your snow. I made my money. It's time for this stuff to melt, dry out and get me ready for spring work.

Can I get an Amen?!

 

[Mikemarc]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

I think everybody, himself included, knows #'s is a "weenie". Who cares???????

Let him enjoy the snow...him hoping for it has ZERO effect on whether it will happen or not.

Let it go..we live in New Jersey, not Florida. A 3-5 inch snowfall i doubt will cancel the men's game. Just add extra time if you need to go.

 

[bac2therac]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE


what was weenie about his post was the posting of those totals for Tuesday which are not likely to happen, most likely a computer generated error by Upton in their point and click extrapolating all qpf as snow in that timeframe when a lot of it will be ice and plain rain

looking like a period of snow to start that could accumulate a slushy inch for most around Central Jersey (probably not on treated roads) late Tuesday afternoon into the evening that will change to sleet and freezing rain and then hopefully go over to plain rain as temperatures warm. Mt Holly snow maps are inch or less. You have to go further north for maybe 1-2 before the changeover to mix. This event will not be as bad as yesterdays.

its the Thursday event that bares watching for its potential of 6 plus inches of snow...this has the potential to be our biggest snow of the season for many if the models hold. GFS/NAM supporting this right now but as always things will shift.

 

[Mikemarc]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by bac2therac:

what was weenie about his post was the posting of those totals for Tuesday which are not likely to happen, most likely a computer generated error by Upton in their point and click extrapolating all qpf as snow in that timeframe when a lot of it will be ice and plain rain

looking like a period of snow to start that could accumulate a slushy inch for most around Central Jersey (probably not on treated roads) late Tuesday afternoon into the evening that will change to sleet and freezing rain and then hopefully go over to plain rain as temperatures warm. Mt Holly snow maps are inch or less. You have to go further north for maybe 1-2 before the changeover to mix. This event will not be as bad as yesterdays.

its the Thursday event that bares watching for its potential of 6 plus inches of snow...this has the potential to be our biggest snow of the season for many if the models hold. GFS/NAM supporting this right now but as always things will shift.

Fair enough, and thanks.

 

[RU4Real]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

"major snow event Thursday"

********.

 

[RU1977]

Re: OT: MINOR MIX EVENT TUES NIGHT BUT MAJOR SNOWSTORM POTENTIAL THURSDAY


Isn't it supposed to be 50 on wednesday or thursday?

 

[bac2therac]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by RU4Real:
"major snow event Thursday"

********.

Ill raise your ******** a ********

there will be a wave riding along the front for Wednesday night into Thursday...all the models have this...will it be too far south, we shall she but the nam and gfs both spit 6 inches plus out for this system...which could change based on the evolution of the first wave that will hit us Tuesday night and Wednesday morning

that event is snow to ice to some rain but looking less potent qpf wise with the rainfall than initially thought...temps may get into the upper 40s briefly but no appreciable warmup and then things cool down at night

 

[RU4Real]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

I hear ya.

Here's why it busts:

Marginal temps and marginal QPF.

I think this winds up being a sloppy 3" thing.

(That's what she said)

 

[bac2therac]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE


that's a concern here if the front does not get here in time, its warmer longer at the start....also concern that this is further south where best precip could be kept south of central jersey...lots to be played out here...these type of bigger storms have almost always trended less snowier this year as we got closer to start time

 

[RU848789]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by bac2therac:

what was weenie about his post was the posting of those totals for Tuesday which are not likely to happen, most likely a computer generated error by Upton in their point and click extrapolating all qpf as snow in that timeframe when a lot of it will be ice and plain rain

looking like a period of snow to start that could accumulate a slushy inch for most around Central Jersey (probably not on treated roads) late Tuesday afternoon into the evening that will change to sleet and freezing rain and then hopefully go over to plain rain as temperatures warm. Mt Holly snow maps are inch or less. You have to go further north for maybe 1-2 before the changeover to mix. This event will not be as bad as yesterdays.

its the Thursday event that bares watching for its potential of 6 plus inches of snow...this has the potential to be our biggest snow of the season for many if the models hold. GFS/NAM supporting this right now but as always things will shift.

What's "weenie" about pointing out a discrepancy in the two NWS office's predictions for tomorrow? Nothing. Turns out Upton backed down a bit and now has 1-2" for NYC/adjacent NJ and 2-4" well N of 80 and Mt. Holly has an inch or less for most of Central Jersey. The event will certainly be less impactful than yesterday's - never said otherwise.

And the Thursday event is a serious potential event, especially with today's 12Z models almost all showing 6" of snow or more region-wide. Of course they can still be wrong, as many moving parts have to work out nearly perfectly to get a major snowfall with this setup, but to dismiss it because you don't want to see it is just silly. And who the f are you to tell me what I should want? I'd love more snow - you and 90% of the world wouldn't. Big f-ing deal, especially since what we want doesn't matter a whit anyway.

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45922-34-35-post-frontal-snow-chance/page-2

 

[RU848789]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by WhiteBus:

Originally posted by JERZEE73:
So Brunswick schools on a 90 minute delay tomorrow.
Waiting for White Bus's latest post on how the weather prognosticators missed again with this snow. The guy must really live in Florida. Tired of hearing his comments on how every storm prediction has underperformed this season.

I live in Bucks County in PA and every snow prediction outside 24 hours has been wrong this year. Some not even close! Where they predicted over a foot and we got barley 2 in. I don't know where you live but it's been the same from NYC and south. Only Boston has lived up to the strong storms.

Again yesterday predictions of 1-3 was a hoax. No measurable snow just hail and ice.

Are you going to stick with your story of no snow and just "hail?" Especially when no "hail" fell - sleet, maybe, but hail is the product of thunderstorms. Looks like everyone got 1-3", as predicted for Bucks. Yes, the "blizzard" was a badly busted forecast, but that doesn't mean the rest have been.

...BUCKS COUNTY...
SPRINGTOWN 3.2 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER
SELLERSVILLE 3.0 700 AM 3/02 CO-OP OBSERVER
PERKASIE 3.0 301 PM 3/01 SOCIAL MEDIA
HILLTOWN TWP 2.8 258 PM 3/01 SOCIAL MEDIA
WEST ROCKHILL TWP 2.0 209 PM 3/01 TRAINED SPOTTER
BEDMINSTER 2.0 205 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
LOWER MAKEFIELD TWP 1.6 206 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
QUAKERTOWN 1.5 123 PM 3/01 PUBLIC
IVYLAND 1.4 204 PM 3/01 PUBLIC

 

[knightfan7]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by RU848789:

Originally posted by bac2therac:

what was weenie about his post was the posting of those totals for Tuesday which are not likely to happen, most likely a computer generated error by Upton in their point and click extrapolating all qpf as snow in that timeframe when a lot of it will be ice and plain rain

looking like a period of snow to start that could accumulate a slushy inch for most around Central Jersey (probably not on treated roads) late Tuesday afternoon into the evening that will change to sleet and freezing rain and then hopefully go over to plain rain as temperatures warm. Mt Holly snow maps are inch or less. You have to go further north for maybe 1-2 before the changeover to mix. This event will not be as bad as yesterdays.

its the Thursday event that bares watching for its potential of 6 plus inches of snow...this has the potential to be our biggest snow of the season for many if the models hold. GFS/NAM supporting this right now but as always things will shift.

What's "weenie" about pointing out a discrepancy in the two NWS office's predictions for tomorrow? Nothing. Turns out Upton backed down a bit and now has 1-2" for NYC/adjacent NJ and 2-4" well N of 80 and Mt. Holly has an inch or less for most of Central Jersey. The event will certainly be less impactful than yesterday's - never said otherwise.

And the Thursday event is a serious potential event, especially with today's 12Z models almost all showing 6" of snow or more region-wide. Of course they can still be wrong, as many moving parts have to work out nearly perfectly to get a major snowfall with this setup, but to dismiss it because you don't want to see it is just silly. And who the f are you to tell me what I should want? I'd love more snow - you and 90% of the world wouldn't. Big f-ing deal, especially since what we want doesn't matter a whit anyway.

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45922-34-35-post-frontal-snow-chance/page-2

Please any day but Thursday. I have a 10AM meeting with the Jersey Strong people that's been in the works for almost 2 years. I don't want it delayed again.

 

[Sweet Pea's Corner]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by knightfan7:

Originally posted by RU848789:

Originally posted by bac2therac:

what was weenie about his post was the posting of those totals for Tuesday which are not likely to happen, most likely a computer generated error by Upton in their point and click extrapolating all qpf as snow in that timeframe when a lot of it will be ice and plain rain

looking like a period of snow to start that could accumulate a slushy inch for most around Central Jersey (probably not on treated roads) late Tuesday afternoon into the evening that will change to sleet and freezing rain and then hopefully go over to plain rain as temperatures warm. Mt Holly snow maps are inch or less. You have to go further north for maybe 1-2 before the changeover to mix. This event will not be as bad as yesterdays.

its the Thursday event that bares watching for its potential of 6 plus inches of snow...this has the potential to be our biggest snow of the season for many if the models hold. GFS/NAM supporting this right now but as always things will shift.

What's "weenie" about pointing out a discrepancy in the two NWS office's predictions for tomorrow? Nothing. Turns out Upton backed down a bit and now has 1-2" for NYC/adjacent NJ and 2-4" well N of 80 and Mt. Holly has an inch or less for most of Central Jersey. The event will certainly be less impactful than yesterday's - never said otherwise.

And the Thursday event is a serious potential event, especially with today's 12Z models almost all showing 6" of snow or more region-wide. Of course they can still be wrong, as many moving parts have to work out nearly perfectly to get a major snowfall with this setup, but to dismiss it because you don't want to see it is just silly. And who the f are you to tell me what I should want? I'd love more snow - you and 90% of the world wouldn't. Big f-ing deal, especially since what we want doesn't matter a whit anyway.

http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php/topic/45922-34-35-post-frontal-snow-chance/page-2

Please any day but Thursday. I have a 10AM meeting with the Jersey Strong people that's been in the works for almost 2 years. I don't want it delayed again.

Well there is no sense wishing for it not to happen because you have no control as well as #'s having a hardon for a foot of snow on March 5th.

 

[bac2therac]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Euro is a bit further south and weaker...verbatim 4-6

 

[RUPete]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by bac2therac:
Euro is a bit further south and weaker...verbatim 4-6

We can deal with that, but everyone is down on the Euro this winter.

 

[WhiteBus]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

#s Yes. More than half those towns are upper bucks. Im south of the Burlington Bridge. At no time yesterday was the ground covered where I could not see grass. I live here. There wasn't jack of an accumulation of snow. There was more hail by far than snow. By 4:30 all rain.
Most of those towns are closer to Allentown than where I am at. And some at higher elevations.

 

[RBS05]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

Originally posted by WhiteBus:
#s Yes. More than half those towns are upper bucks. Im south of the Burlington Bridge. At no time yesterday was the ground covered where I could not see grass. I live here. There wasn't jack of an accumulation of snow. There was more hail by far than snow. By 4:30 all rain.
Most of those towns are closer to Allentown than where I am at. And some at higher elevations.

So it was a "hoax" even though they got it right in at least half of the county?

You could use some therapy as well.

 

[DJ Spanky]

Re: OT: MINOR MIX EVENT TUES NIGHT BUT MAJOR SNOWSTORM POTENTIAL THURSDAY

So we got close to 5" here in Wayne - probably not enough to satisfy the Hillsborough MILF's - cleaned out 3" last night when I grilled, and another 2" this morning.

 

[WhiteBus]

Re: OT: WINTER SNOW EVENT SUNDAY AFTERNOON/ NIGHT...1-4 INCHES OF SNOW TO ICE

RBS. No they havent been right 24 hours out of every "major" storm. The Philly stations have had it wrong every time this winter. Inside 24 hours they start backing off but even today they are leading the news about the next two Winter Alerts. Failing to say that everything that came down is completely gone already.
The people that need therapy are those that keep running out because they "gotta get the milk and bread" (insert funny video here).
The news has become the sky is falling show.
Weather winnies are so defensive. Face it they done a poor job this winter around here.
It all about getting people to watch. Damn be any truth.