Unless a hedge fund manager is physically on the Russia/Ukraine border or has a contact on the inside, he/she has no idea whether troops are actually arriving or leaving. They can only rely on the available info and then decide what’s credible and what’s not. Again, it’s a risk analysis. A geopolitical event such as an invasion has real potential ripple effects that can impact economies and the market. On the other hand, I cleaned up during the one-day market plunge over Brexit a few years back, which I viewed as silly.
OT: Stock and Investment Thread
- Thread starter RU05
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Minor/irrelevant distraction, especially to the US. Perhaps a little more interesting to Europe. As I said before, is AAPL now going to downgrade guidance for next Q? Chicken Littles getting scared for no reason. Based on the past several decades, the market gets emotional for a few days and then quickly moves on, regardless of what happens. Why? Because it just doesn't matter to the big picture.
I thought you were being sarcastic before. But now i see you are serious. Not sure how anyone can think the Russia/Ukraine issue won’t impact markets.
While tensions between Russia and Ukraine have been rising for years, the current Russian military buildup near the 2 countries' borders could possibly lead to military action. It also is creating concerns about the potential impact of the conflict on financial markets and the global economy. Fortunately, however, history shows that while geopolitical crises such as the one unfolding between Russia and Ukraine can temporarily roil markets, they don't typically have long-term consequences for investors.
As Dirk Hofschire of Fidelity's Asset Allocation Research Team says, "In general, these types of crises tend to only have a significant and lasting impact on global financial markets if they have a sustained macroeconomic impact on major economies." While Russia's economy ranks as the world's 11th largest, according to the International Monetary Fund, at only 1/20th the size of the US and 1/15th the size of China, it is likely not big enough by itself to affect global markets or economic growth, even if it were to suffer significant economic damage as a result of sanctions or other measures taken against it by the US and Europe.
^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^^ To summarize: stop being so emotional and silly.
If there was an invasion and supply chains were further disrupted, or the markets plummeted, Apple’s guidance could absolutely be impacted. Every company with international operations/services could be impacted. And, I’m not suggesting an invasion is imminent. I’m still nibbling on dips but I’m not deploying a lot of cash until I see where this is headed.
^^^^^ Nice "The End is Near" projection. You are getting close to winning the Chicken Little Award of the day.
Nah, I’ve made it clear that I believe an invasion is unlikely and been trading/buying. If you think these geopolitical events don’t matter when managing investments then you won the Ostrich Award for burying your head in the sand. If you aren’t actively managing or monitoring events such as this then best not even to look at your accounts until the end of year statements. Trust me, if the market collapsed tomorrow I’d buy hand over fist.
S&P is flat (only up 0.3%) since my 1/24 buys. (See 1/24 post above)
AAPL up 9.83%
AMZN up 16%
OGN up 29.9%
PLTR up 4.6% (was up a lot more before today)
SWN up 23.2%
Although the market is volatile; there are opportunities.
PLTR is the case of study of great product, but bad business. As in, the leadership just can't run the company well.
Looking at adding to a few crypto-related plays. My leveraged ETFs are not buys yet, but hoping to add to these soon. Would like to jump into URTY, but I want to see it dip below $70, so I will be patient.
I’ve been trading SI lately but wouldn’t be upset if I got stuck with it as a long-term hold.
I definitely like SI for the long-term. Make bets on the crypto companies that will make money regardless if BTC price goes up or down (based on activity). I also like Galaxy Dig. BITQ is a very nice ETF play of the market as well.
I like Micron a lot and have been in and out of the stock. But I will look for a long term position at some point.
Other than NVDA, my semi play is just SOXX. It's a focused ETF with only 30 holdings.
I got GS, HD, SBUX and UNH. Sold UNH and brought back some and have buy order at lower limit. Brought MMM this morning down 4 to new 52 week low at 15 PE 4% dividend. cutting some of my tech exposure and adding these S&P stocks. Looking at HON also. Will add more Tech when I think it start moving up.
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I’m doing the same re: trimming tech exposure. Recent buys are GT, GS, ALGN, SBUX, and C.
Her answers can be a bit long winded, so I did lose focus, but I didn't see that thing pop up.
Edit: Ha, found it.
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Look at UNH, was close to high near 500 when I sold and now down 37 points To 472. I placed another order at 460 limit.
What happen to Second Life, sounds very similar? I was wondering why there wasn’t a virtual mall to go shopping like a real mall 20-25 years ago. I think it’s happening now with metaverse. McDonald is in the metaverse just in case someone wants to order food while they are in the metaverse.
All the green I see is in safety..staples and utilities.
Two of the biggest recent dogs:
FB coming in on the 200s now and I'll be looking to average in at that 190-210 range.
PYPL coming towards 100 but I'll be seeing if that can get to the 80s and if it does that's where I'll average in, maybe earlier but that's my target to see if it comes to me.
3M is one I've mentioned in the past when it hit a 52 week low and I'm keeping an eye on it. Have a core position in it from long ago. Dividend ruler type stock..love those kind of stocks. But they have some legal issues that I think might weighing on it so I'm not stepping in yet.
NKE, ABT, QCOM are other ones I've traded recently or am keeping an eye one with stops underneath.
Two of the biggest recent dogs:
FB coming in on the 200s now and I'll be looking to average in at that 190-210 range.
PYPL coming towards 100 but I'll be seeing if that can get to the 80s and if it does that's where I'll average in, maybe earlier but that's my target to see if it comes to me.
3M is one I've mentioned in the past when it hit a 52 week low and I'm keeping an eye on it. Have a core position in it from long ago. Dividend ruler type stock..love those kind of stocks. But they have some legal issues that I think might weighing on it so I'm not stepping in yet.
NKE, ABT, QCOM are other ones I've traded recently or am keeping an eye one with stops underneath.
Chicken Littles winning the day, but they always lose the war. We will see ATHs in short order. Until then, just keep buying, especially tech. Tech is what makes the world and our economy go around.
Some info on MS and GS.....from Cramer and team:
Shares of Morgan Stanley (MS) were getting hit hard Thursday and have had a rough few days. While some of this pressure could be related to concerns around Russia-Ukraine tensions and worries that the Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates too fast and slow the economy down into a recession to stamp out surging inflation, news that the SEC and DOJ are investigating the business of block trading isn’t helping either. Earlier this week, The Wall Street Journal named Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as two firms that received subpoenas from the SEC. We’ll continue to monitor this story. In the interim, we are hesitant to lock in gains on Morgan Stanley down here because of its solid near 3% dividend yield and management buys back roughly $3 billion of stock per quarter. CEO James Gorman is speaking at the Credit Suisse Financial Services Forum now so let’ stay close to what he has to say ...
Shares of Morgan Stanley (MS) were getting hit hard Thursday and have had a rough few days. While some of this pressure could be related to concerns around Russia-Ukraine tensions and worries that the Federal Reserve will have to raise interest rates too fast and slow the economy down into a recession to stamp out surging inflation, news that the SEC and DOJ are investigating the business of block trading isn’t helping either. Earlier this week, The Wall Street Journal named Morgan Stanley and Goldman Sachs as two firms that received subpoenas from the SEC. We’ll continue to monitor this story. In the interim, we are hesitant to lock in gains on Morgan Stanley down here because of its solid near 3% dividend yield and management buys back roughly $3 billion of stock per quarter. CEO James Gorman is speaking at the Credit Suisse Financial Services Forum now so let’ stay close to what he has to say ...
ATHs in most tech stocks will take a loooong time to recover especially without the retail knuckleheads chasing stocks with gov’t stimulus. It’s a whole diff ball game now.
Not established tech. You should load the boat with the big boys that are printing their own money. Gotta be selective on the unprofitable ones, but there are some gems in there. Stick will the top portion of the QQQ and you will be rewarded.
Unfortunately, the market didn't reach my buy levels for TQQQ, UPRO, and URTY. Maybe tomorrow?
Load the boat! CRM is one of the best companies out there today.
Salesforce Shares Look Increasingly Attractive in the Face of Tech Sell-Off; $320 FVE (Morningstar)
Analyst Note | Updated Jan 31, 2022
We view shares of wide-moat Salesforce.com as increasingly attractive in the recent sell-off related to growth-oriented technology stocks, and we highlight it among our top picks. While shares sold off on the company's most recent quarter, we view results more constructively and believe that after reports from other large software peers 2022 should see continued robust demand. We think the company benefited from strong demand throughout COVID-19, as customer-related software became an imperative for companies trying to do business in a new remote reality. Coming out of the pandemic now we see hybrid work environments driving durable digital transformation investments over the next couple years, and we reiterate our $320 fair value estimate.
We believe Salesforce.com represents one of best long-term growth stories in large cap software due to its ever expanding portfolio of complimentary solutions that allow users to completely embrace their customers, thereby building relationships, strengthening retention, and driving revenue. In our view, the firm will benefit further from natural cross-selling among its clouds, upselling more robust features within product lines, pricing actions, international growth, and continued acquisitions such as the recent deals for Slack and Tableau. Salesforce is widely considered a leader in each of its served markets, which is attractive on its own, but the tight integration among the solutions and the natural fit they have with one another make for a powerful value proposition, in our view.
Cramer: “Cathie Wood invests like she started investing yesterday.” He said he is not necessarily criticizing what she buys, but how she goes about doing it. Yikes!!
and ARKK’s 2nd biggest holding (ROKU) is down another 11% after hours after being down 10% for the day.
and ARKK’s 2nd biggest holding (ROKU) is down another 11% after hours after being down 10% for the day.
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