OT: Stock and Investment Thread

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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The two analysts that I trust most are Tom Lee and Jeremy Siegel. They been right most of the time. He did say the FAANG will fall while the S&P goes up which basically the rotation play thats been happening for a couple of quarters. They talked about AMZN and Apple falling which I agree with but will rise before the earnings. I agree with the oil play and much of his talk.

Funny, I worked with a person with the last name Lee that looks and talks like him and mannerism is like him. Not many people talk and act that way. That was about 40 years ago and he was also very interested in stocks. I wonder if he’s his son.
+1
I have a good deal of XLE and will look into OIH (which Lee mentioned). Need to be careful with tech, when it goes back up and happens in a blink of an eye. I'm not moving out of any traditional tech plays, but I have moved a portion of my normal index allocations to a value lean (VTV, XLE, PRSVX, and TRMCX). Working nicely so far.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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They looking at this long term and a “ride” versus a short term investment. They’ve counted the money spent. We’ve been having more fun tracking it together.
Careful with the long term. Dogecoin has no point or value as a crypto. It's just a spec coin. If you want a long term hold beyond BTC or ETH, check out Cardano, Polkadot, or Theta. Filecoin has an interesting use story as well.
 

RU05

All-American
Jun 25, 2015
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Well one son has $500 at .07 and one $1200 at .17. Right now they look like geniuses.
I recently set up a Coinbase account and def would have thrown a couple bucks down on doge, except doge is not traded on the Coinbase platform. What it has that most other crypto's don't is name recognition.
Get out soon, before the post SNL tank.
At the very least trim down.

Edit: I think he's the head guy at the Galaxy miner that you like, but he said the same thing about SNL being it's peak.
 
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RUAldo

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Sep 11, 2008
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I recently set up a Coinbase account and def would have thrown a couple bucks down on doge, except doge is not traded on the Coinbase platform. What it has that most other crypto's don't is name recognition.

At the very least trim down.

Edit: I think he's the head guy at the Galaxy miner that you like, but he said the same thing about SNL being it's peak.
Dogecoin is a perfect example of why I’ve started to doubt Musk’s sanity and leadership. While I’m sure there will be stories about Dogecoin millionaires after this crazy run up, there will be way more speculators that get crushed. Even Novogratz won’t touch Doge and called it a ****-coin. Musk is a billionaire that clearly doesn’t understand or care that he has the ability to influence young naive people that have no business parking their life savings in speculative assets.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
31,206
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I recently set up a Coinbase account and def would have thrown a couple bucks down on doge, except doge is not traded on the Coinbase platform. What it has that most other crypto's don't is name recognition.

At the very least trim down.

Edit: I think he's the head guy at the Galaxy miner that you like, but he said the same thing about SNL being it's peak.
Check out Galaxy. It's essentially a crypto investment bank. Nice way to diversify within the crypto market (coins, miners, all others). Very profitable operation. The lead, Mike Norogratz, has been hiring a ton of people from Goldman Sach and other WS banks.

Been watching to buy more on the dip.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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Dogecoin is a perfect example of why I’ve started to doubt Musk’s sanity and leadership. While I’m sure there will be stories about Dogecoin millionaires after this crazy run up, there will be way more speculators that get crushed. Even Novogratz won’t touch Doge and called it a ****-coin. Musk is a billionaire that clearly doesn’t understand or care that he has the ability to influence young naive people that have no business parking their life savings in speculative assets.
Novogratz is right. Doge is a purely spec coin without any use or utility. I have no idea when, but it will crash hard, back below 5 cents. This is not a good look for the crypto market, but hey, it is our GME.
 
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T2Kplus20

Heisman
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Dogecoin is a perfect example of why I’ve started to doubt Musk’s sanity and leadership. While I’m sure there will be stories about Dogecoin millionaires after this crazy run up, there will be way more speculators that get crushed. Even Novogratz won’t touch Doge and called it a ****-coin. Musk is a billionaire that clearly doesn’t understand or care that he has the ability to influence young naive people that have no business parking their life savings in speculative assets.
 

RUAldo

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Novogratz is right. Doge is a purely spec coin without any use or utility. I have no idea when, but it will crash hard, back below 5 cents. This is not a good look for the crypto market, but hey, it is our GME.
Totally agree - but I think some of the blame lands on public figures like Musk and Cuban because it’s no different than if they were endorsing cigarettes or slot machines. Completely irresponsible.
 
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Jtung230

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Jun 30, 2005
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More problems for Tesla. Regulatory credit sales are expected to decline. Better get ready to sell more BTC to dress up the shortfalls.
 

RU05

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GM like F crushes earnings. 2.25 eps vs 1.04. But unlike F, the guidance is good. F dipped 10% after earning. GM currently up 3.5%.

Edit: GM's battery to be used by Honda.
 

Jtung230

Heisman
Jun 30, 2005
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wonder if this is the turning point for the fall of Japanese auto. Just like how they lost the TV market to S Korea.
 

RU05

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wonder if this is the turning point for the fall of Japanese auto. Just like how they lost the TV market to S Korea.
I'm going to say the Auto sector is significantly different then TV's.

China is definitely going to be a more prominent auto player, but Japan, like the US, and like Germany, will still be a strong presence. So yeah, I think you are right that they are losing it's grip a bit, but I don't think it will be like TV's.
 
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RU05

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UA which jumped initially off earnings yesterday morning, but then sank back during the day, (likely dragged down by the whole of the market), up 7% today. Guidance for full year profit.
 

RU05

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CNBC chart master Carter Werth, noted that T's chart was showing a transition from a bearish trend to a bullish one.

Super cheap, big dividend, 5g, and HBO streaming. Pretty good package.

I sold a couple weeks ago. Will likely look to jump back in soon.
 

toby83

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Interesting follow for retail/mall "resurgence" is PREIT earnings today. (PEI and PEI.B which is the one I got into)
 

RUAldo

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CNBC chart master Carter Werth, noted that T's chart was showing a transition from a bearish trend to a bullish one.

Super cheap, big dividend, 5g, and HBO streaming. Pretty good package.

I sold a couple weeks ago. Will likely look to jump back in soon.
I picked up a bunch of AT&T. Not sexy but Between the dividend and potential upside I figured it was low risk and would be a safe bet in just about any downturn.
 

T2Kplus20

Heisman
May 1, 2007
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I picked up a bunch of AT&T. Not sexy but Between the dividend and potential upside I figured it was low risk and would be a safe bet in just about any downturn.
To date, T has been the quintessential value trap. May change, may not.
 

RU05

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I picked up a bunch of AT&T. Not sexy but Between the dividend and potential upside I figured it was low risk and would be a safe bet in just about any downturn.
You are the boards resident spokesmen for T are you not? Or do I have you confused?

Anyhow I think you tried talking me out of my recent sale, and though it hasn't been a huge move, it wasn't a good trade on my part.
 

RU in IM

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To date, T has been the quintessential value trap. May change, may not.
looking backwards is a mistake. Where are they at now, and where are they going is what is important. As Ark continues to slide, and the late comers down as much as 28% chasing yesterday’s returns, my purchase of T in late 2020 is up 12.66% with a yield close to 7% on my initial investment. Will it continue to go up? I’m in agreement with you “(may change, may not)” but that is the case with many stocks. I not a big fan of T, but I have them and VZ in my balanced portfolio. Do I have tech, sure, but only in the mature companies. Too old to gamble.
 

RU05

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Sold BMY and WMT, each at very small gains.

Been in and out of WMT twice since Sept, and got very little out of it each time. I'm telling myself not to get back into it again, learn my lesson, look elsewhere, but I can't help but keep an eye on it.
 

RUAldo

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You are the boards resident spokesmen for T are you not? Or do I have you confused?

Anyhow I think you tried talking me out of my recent sale, and though it hasn't been a huge move, it wasn't a good trade on my part.
Haha - I did say T was finally showing signs of turning the corner and mentioned the opportunity here - which was not well received by the usual suspects LOL. I’ve been playing this game long enough that I always temper my enthusiasm over stocks especially when discussing them on message boards because it’s always a crap-shoot. However, if T can put together one more solid quarter I think it will signal “buy” as long as it hasn’t already run-up. The dividend alone provides some downside protection. I bought a bunch recently as a safe haven and hope for meaningful growth.
 
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RUAldo

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Sold BMY and WMT, each at very small gains.

Been in and out of WMT twice since Sept, and got very little out of it each time. I'm telling myself not to get back into it again, learn my lesson, look elsewhere, but I can't help but keep an eye on it.
WMT is frustrating for sure although I continue to hold it as part of my “set it and forget it” part of my portfolio. I’ve been waiting for it to catch a Target-like tailwind because it seems to be making all the right moves. However, Inflation could be a problem if they can’t pass those increased costs to the customer.
 

toby83

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WMT is frustrating for sure although I continue to hold it as part of my “set it and forget it” part of my portfolio. I’ve been waiting for it to catch a Target-like tailwind because it seems to be making all the right moves. However, Inflation could be a problem if they can’t pass those increased costs to the customer.
Walmart has MAJOR suppliers telling them take the increase or we can't ship. $10k-$12k per container from overseas is already here. (that's IF you can even get the space) Unheard of. Everything is up, every raw material. everywhere.
 

phs73rc77gsm83

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Walmart has MAJOR suppliers telling them take the increase or we can't ship. $10k-$12k per container from overseas is already here. (that's IF you can even get the space) Unheard of. Everything is up, every raw material. everywhere.
Toby, I think you are absolutely right. There are huge problems with containers, shipping, and supply chains in general. These aren’t specific to Walmart and are one of my bigger concerns going forward. In my opinion, the comparative advantage theory and do what you can do best and buy from other countries if they can do it better is highly flawed in this geopolitical environment. We need a degree of self sufficiency and not be held hostage by other countries. Just my opinion.
 
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RU05

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Peleton tanking on recall news. Down 14% today.

Earnings tomorrow, potential for a big pop?
 

toby83

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Toby, I think you are absolutely right. There are huge problems with containers, shipping, and supply chains in general. These aren’t specific to Walmart and are one of my bigger concerns going forward. In my opinion, the comparative advantage theory and do what you can do best and buy from other countries if they can do it better is highly flawed in this geopolitical environment. We need a degree of self sufficiency and not be held hostage by other countries. Just my opinion.
a large portion of my companies sales is WM...it's been horrific over past 6 months. in regards to freight issue, take a look at what Maersk is saying in this article.
WM still plays the game trying not to disrupt supply chain and shuffling suppliers (i.e. large plastics company says "i can't keep this price, resin is $0.90 vs $.55 when we sold it in", Walmart says OK i have others who will gladly take it. smaller guy takes the item on, resin goes over $2, smaller guy can't even break even, now trying to buy the resin from Taiwan, only to run into $10k containers and inability to secure space. so on, so on)

you also still have growing pains from so many who left China when Trump attacked with his tariffs, moved factories to Vietnam, Philippines, (even mexico) etc, and now are getting killed with rising raw material costs on top of fighting for space to ship out of smaller ports with limited sailings. besides, those factories are still relying on China for the raw materials being used.

 

RUAldo

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Peleton tanking on recall news. Down 14% today.

Earnings tomorrow, potential for a big pop?
I’m guessing there is a reason they announced the recall today. Either they didn’t want the bad news to put a damper on a killer quarter or they are splitting up negative news over a two day period. I’m guessing the report a good quarter pulling investors back in.
 

RUAldo

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a large portion of my companies sales is WM...it's been horrific over past 6 months. in regards to freight issue, take a look at what Maersk is saying in this article.
WM still plays the game trying not to disrupt supply chain and shuffling suppliers (i.e. large plastics company says "i can't keep this price, resin is $0.90 vs $.55 when we sold it in", Walmart says OK i have others who will gladly take it. smaller guy takes the item on, resin goes over $2, smaller guy can't even break even, now trying to buy the resin from Taiwan, only to run into $10k containers and inability to secure space. so on, so on)

you also still have growing pains from so many who left China when Trump attacked with his tariffs, moved factories to Vietnam, Philippines, (even mexico) etc, and now are getting killed with rising raw material costs on top of fighting for space to ship out of smaller ports with limited sailings. besides, those factories are still relying on China for the raw materials being used.

So it sounds like it may be time to sell WMT?